Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins 12/11/2023 Free Pick & NFL Betting Prediction MNF

Free NFL Week 14 Pick: Titans vs. Dolphins Odds

Looking for Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins free NFL Week 14 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Titans taking on the Dolphins on Monday, December 11th at the Hard Rock Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 14 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tennessee Miami matchup.

NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 14

(4-8) Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins (9-3)
Monday Night Football on ESPN
Date: Monday, December 11th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
NFL Week 14 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tennessee +14 | Miami -14
Week 14 NFL Moneyline Odds: Tennessee +600 | Miami -904
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47

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Last season, the Titans and Dolphins did not face off head-to-head. Still want NFL matchup statistics and historical data? You’re in luck!

The Titans vs. Dolphins rivalry has witnessed 39 showdowns, which include one postseason game. Among these, the Titans secured victory in 18 matchups, while the Dolphins emerged triumphant in 21.

When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Dolphins have the leg up at 2-1.

The Dolphins also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.

These games averaged a combined total of 36 points per game leading to an over/under record of 1-2.

The last 3 times these two teams have played we’ve seen the following results:

• 1/2/22 – Titans 34 – Dolphins 3 in TEN
• 9/9/18 – Dolphins 27 – Titans 20 in MIA
• 10/8/17 – Dolphins 16 – Titans 10 in MIA

Tennessee Titans

Heading into week 14, the Titans are 4th in the AFC-South on a record of 4-8.

When comparing their mark to other teams in the AFC, they are 15th. So far, they have gone 0-6 on the road and 4-2 at home. This season, the Titans boast an above .500 record versus the spread, currently standing at 5-7.

Their average scoring margin for this season is -3.5.

Defensively, the Titans gave up 355 yards of total offense to the Colts in a 31-28 loss.

The Colts ran the ball for 55 yards while throwing for 300. On offense, the Titans went 6/17 on 3rd down and finished with 381 yards of total offense. Tennessee’s 3 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 1 point underdogs.

Will Levis threw for 224 yards while completing 48% of his passes and throwing for 224. Levis threw for one touchdown.

Tennessee Titans Stats

Tennessee’s offense produced a total of 381 yards against the Colts. When it came to third downs, the Titans had a conversion rate of 35.3%.

The leading rusher for the Titans was Derrick Henry with 102 yards, and Levis contributed 224 passing yards.

In terms of offense, the Titans are at 17.8 points per game, ranking them 22nd in the NFL.

The Tennessee defense has 10 takeaways this season, positioning them 12th in the NFL. Overall, they are at 21.2 points per game allowed and giving up an average of 337.0 yards.

Miami Dolphins

Before their matchup against the Titans, the Dolphins have an overall record of 9-3 and have won three consecutive games. In the AFC-East, Miami is sitting 1st.

The Dolphins hold a 8-4 record against the spread.

As we approach week 14, their scoring margin stands at +9.8 per game.

On offense, the Dolphins racked up 406 yards in their 45-15 win over the Commanders. For the game, the Dolphins ran for 123 yards on an average of 3.6 yards per attempt.

Defensively, they allowed 245 yards of total offense with 107 yards coming through the air and 138 on the ground. Going into the game, Miami was favored by 9 and went on to cover the spread.

Tua Tagovailoa threw for 280 yards while completing 75% of his passes and throwing for 280. Tagovailoa threw for two touchdowns.

Miami Dolphins Stats

In their matchup against the Commanders, the Dolphins ran the ball 34 times, with De’Von Achane emerging as the top rusher with 73 yards. In the passing game, Tua finished with 24 passes, resulting in 280 yards and a passer rating of 140.

On the offensive front, the Dolphins are currently averaging 32 points per game, positioning them 2nd in the NFL.

On defense, the Dolphins come into the game ranked 9th in tackles for loss and 3rd in sacks.

Opponents are scoring 22.2 points per game vs. them along with an average of 300.2 yards per contest.

Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Football Betting Trends

• The Titans are 1-4 in their last five games as an underdog.
• Conversely, the Dolphins are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
• Also, the Titans are 3-6-1 ATS in their last ten road games.
• On the other side, the Dolphins have gone 7-3 across their last ten home games.
• Over the Titans’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
• The Dolphins’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.

Titans vs. Dolphins Line Movement

4* Free Week 14 NFL Betting Prediction: Tennessee +14

Titans come into this one 0-6 on the road, Fins are 5-0 at home, that has to tell you something right? It tells me the Titans are due. There’s a lot of pride in that locker-room, and they’ve got a damn good ball coach who gets the most out of what he has. So, I’m going with Tennessee to cover the spread at +14.

Henry’s availability will help this play big time obviously. Check the injury status before you lock in. Make no mistake, the Fins will have a tough time slowing him down if he plays.

The Tennessee rushing offense is a good bet to keep this game within the number by getting to the Miami run-D, that didn’t defend well against the run in their last game.

I found an interesting stat from past NFL seasons for this Week 14 matchup. The Titans have a strong record, going 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous match.

Lock in Tennessee at +14.

Heading into this matchup, Tennessee’s games have averaged 39 points per game. Given that the over/under line for this matchup is at 47, I’m taking the under.

If you’re into Over/Under trends, I’ve got you covered. Tennessee’s games have gone UNDER in 12 of their last 16. When playing on the road against Miami, the UNDER hit in 11 of their last 14 matchups, and it’s also gone UNDER in 13 of Miami’s last 20 games against Tennessee.

So, if you’re looking for insights on the total points scored, these trends might help you make sleep better at night.

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Tennessee Titans vs. Miami Dolphins NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day

Keep your arms and legs inside the endzone at all times ⚠️@Cheetah | #HardKnocks pic.twitter.com/yNXsq1fOyO

— NFL Films (@NFLFilms) December 6, 2023

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About Brandon Banks

Brandon Banks is back with the Cappers Picks Blog, he has been a sports writer for a few years now. He's been a very successful bettor, especially in NFL, College football & NCAA hoops betting. Reasons for success - not affiliated with any SCAMDICAPPERS. Stay tuned to Brandon, he'll be picking NFL, CFB, CBB and NBA games daily here on the blog.

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