Free NFL Week 11 Pick: Buccaneers vs. 49ers Odds
Looking for Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers free NFL Week 11 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Buccaneers taking on the 49ers on Sunday, November 19th at the Levi’s Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 11 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Tampa Bay San Francisco matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 11
(4-5) Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers (6-3)
Date: Sunday, November 19th
Time: 4:05 ET
Venue: Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara CA
NFL Week 11 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Tampa Bay +11 | San Francisco -11
Week 11 NFL Moneyline Odds: Tampa Bay +430 | San Francisco -607
NFL Betting Total: O/U 41.5
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Tampa Bay has reemerged in the NFC South race and has a chance to reach a divisional tie with a pivotal road victory. Meanwhile, the 49ers had a smooth sailing last week, encountering no significant challenges.
San Francisco displayed flawless performance, with recently acquired Chase Young showcasing the menacing potential of their defensive squad, striking fear into future adversaries.
In the only head to head matchup between the teams last season, the 49ers won by a score of 35-7. With a combined 42 points, the Buccaneers and 49ers surpassed the over/under line of 38.5.
The 49ers covered the spread in this matchup.
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Offensively, the 49ers finished with 195 passing yards and 209 rushing yards in their win over the Buccaneers. As for Tampa Bay, they ended the game with 322 yards of total offense.
The Bucs vs. 49ers rivalry has seen 26 matchups (1 in the postseason). The Buccaneers clinched victory in 7, while the 49ers emerged triumphant in 19.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers
As we enter week 11, Tampa Bay is in 2nd place in the NFC-South with an overall record of 4-5. In the NFC, they are currently in 8th place. Against the spread, the Buccaneers have a record of 6-3. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently +0.6.
Despite a slow start with no first-quarter points, the Buccaneers rallied and secured the win.
They generated 340 yards on offense and gave up 209 yards to the Titans. Going into the game, Tampa Bay was favored by 2.5 and went on to cover the spread.
Baker Mayfield threw for 278 yards while completing 62% of his passes and throwing for 278. Mayfield threw for two touchdowns.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers Stats
Against the Titans’ defense, Baker Mayfield led the way with 278 passing yards and a completion rate of 62%. On the ground, the Buccaneers ran the ball 29 times for 77 yards. The team had 7 third-down conversions (46.7%).
So far this season, the Tampa Bay offense has been averaging 19.8 points per game, ranking them 20th in the league.
In terms of yards allowed, the Buccaneers are 24th in the league while giving up 354.1 yards per contest.
Tampa Bay’s defense has allowed 19.2 points per game, placing them 7th in the NFL.
San Francisco 49ers
Heading into their matchup with the Buccaneers, the 49ers have a 6-3 record. In the NFC-West, they are in 1st place and 3rd place in the NFC overall. The 49ers’ current scoring margin stands at +12.1, which has them coming in with a 5-3-1 ATS record.
Despite a slow start with no first-quarter points, the 49ers rallied and secured the win.
They generated 437 yards on offense and gave up 221 yards to the Jaguars. Going into the game, San Francisco was favored by 3 and went on to cover the spread.
Brock Purdy threw for 296 yards while completing 73% of his passes and throwing for 296.
Purdy threw for three touchdowns.
San Francisco 49ers Stats
Against the Jaguars, the 49ers ran the ball 30 times, with Christian McCaffrey as the primary rusher, accumulating 95 yards. Brock Purdy attempted 26 passes, amassing 296 yards and a passer rating of 148.
On offense, the 49ers are currently averaging 28 points per game, ranking them 3rd in the NFL.
San Francisco is 2nd in points allowed defensively. So far, their opponents are putting up an average of 15.9 points per game, accumulating 304.6 yards per contest.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Buccaneers are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the 49ers are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Buccaneers are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the 49ers have gone 5-4-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Buccaneers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The 49ers’ have an over/under record of 0-2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Buccaneers vs. 49ers Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Buccaneers | +410 | +436 | +10.5 | +11 |
| 49ers | -550 | -618 | -10.5 | -11 |
4* Free Week 11 NFL Betting Prediction: Tampa Bay +11
The 49ers will win this one outright, there’s no disputing that, but I think we’ll see Baker Mayfield make enough plays to keep this one within the number. He’s a competitor, I’ll give him that. TB are also 6-3 ATS in their last 9, so they don’t get blown out too often.
They’re also 4-1 in their last 5 on the road. San Fran’s best quality plays right into TB’s best quality. Run attack vs. Run D. I think Tampa’s Run D keeps things interesting here.
Tampa Bay’s most recent game against Tennessee saw them look on the defensive side of the ball. I see them as the best bet to cover the spread for this week, with the line at +11.
Looking for an Over Under play? Go OVER.
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Fran’s last 6 against Tampa.
Having said that, I’m going with the over as my pick, considering the over/under line at 41.5. Thus far, games featuring San Francisco have averaged a combined score of 43.9 points, and I anticipate this game will go beyond 41.5.
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Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. San Francisco 49ers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
We salute you.
"As the 49ers Salute to Service nominee, on behalf of all military veterans, I want to thank you for all you have done to help my fellow brothers and sisters in arms."
Before Sunday's game, a veteran gifted @gkittle46 the uniform he wore in Afghanistan.https://t.co/WviDeiNzwP pic.twitter.com/QsPuYkMaKq
— San Francisco 49ers (@49ers) November 15, 2023
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