Free NFL Pick: Giants vs. Raiders Odds
Looking for New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders Free NFL predictions? NFL betting sees the Giants taking on the Raiders on 12/28 at Allegiant Stadium, in Las Vegas. This free NFL football pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Giants Raiders matchup.
2025 NFL Handicapping – New York Giants vs Las Vegas Raiders
(2-13) New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders (2-13)
Date: Dec 28, 2025
Time: 4:05 PM ET
Venue: Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, NV
NFL Moneyline Odds: Giants -113 | Raiders -107 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NFL Betting Odds: Giants -0.5 | Raiders +0.5
NFL Football Gambling Total: O/U: 41.5
Here’s why I’m backing an OVER bet below in my Giants Raiders free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Giants vs. Raiders Gameday
Welcome to Week 17, where the New York Giants and Las Vegas Raiders meet at Allegiant Stadium in a matchup that bravely answers the question: what happens when a 2-13 team plays another 2-13 team? Something has to happen… probably.
Both teams are clinging to the idea of “finishing strong,” even if the math stopped working weeks ago.
For the Giants, interim head coach Mike Kafka is still searching for that elusive first road win of the season. New York sits at a pristine 0-8 away from home, which is impressive in its own right.
Tyrone Tracy Jr. and Devin Singletary have at least kept the ground game respectable, occasionally sparing Giants fans from staring exclusively at the punting unit.
Las Vegas isn’t exactly thriving either. Pete Carroll’s Raiders have endured a season that feels much longer than 17 weeks. Still, Ashton Jeanty and Brock Bowers have provided flashes of excitement—just enough to remind everyone what competent football looks like before it disappears again.
With a 1-6 home record, Allegiant Stadium hasn’t exactly been a fortress, but someone has to feel comfortable here.
Week 17, New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders, we’re all hoping a great game is in store. Or at least a memorable one.
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New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders Odds & Last 5
The Giants arrive fresh off a 16-13 loss to the Vikings, a game best remembered for New York’s 13 total passing yards.
Yes, thirteen.
Still, they kept things close by running the ball and playing defense, which is apparently the game plan now. Improving through the air would help, but baby steps.
The Raiders are coming off a narrow 23-21 loss to the Texans, where Ashton Jeanty ran hard and gave Raiders fans something to cheer about—briefly. That rushing success at least offers hope that Las Vegas can move the ball without relying entirely on prayers and third-and-long conversions.
Oddsmakers see this as a toss-up, because of course they do. The Giants sit at -112 on the moneyline, with the Raiders right behind at -108.
New York is favored by 1.5 points, and the total rests at 41.5, suggesting optimism that points will, in fact, be scored.
Raiders Stats
Las Vegas enters Week 17 on a five-game losing streak, because consistency matters.
Losses to the Texans and Eagles have highlighted an offense that ranks 27th in scoring and occasionally looks surprised by its own playbook.
Geno Smith leads the Raiders with 2,849 passing yards and 18 touchdowns, providing stability if not fireworks. Ashton Jeanty has been the most reliable weapon, rushing for 828 yards and five touchdowns. Unfortunately, the Raiders still rank near the bottom in rushing efficiency overall, so help has been limited.
Defensively, Las Vegas can at least pressure quarterbacks. They rank 11th in sacks and 10th in opponent interceptions, which helps compensate for allowing 5,663 total yards. It’s a bend, bend some more, then occasionally make a play kind of defense.
Injuries haven’t helped. Brock Bowers and Jeremy Chinn are on injured reserve, thinning out an already stretched roster.
Depth will be tested once again as the Raiders try to salvage something positive from the final weeks.
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Giants Stats
The Giants’ season has been a lesson in persistence. They rank 29th in scoring and 28th in passing yards, which explains the record.
The rushing attack has been slightly more functional, ranking 22nd, which is now the offense’s primary personality.
New York has lost five straight games, including last week’s 16-13 defeat to Minnesota. That game featured a passing performance best described as “symbolic.” Still, the Giants stayed competitive by leaning on the run and hoping the defense could carry the load.
Jaxson Dart leads the team with 1,835 passing yards and 13 touchdowns, while Wan’Dale Robinson tops the receiving chart with 901 yards. Tyrone Tracy Jr. has been the most consistent rusher, providing balance in an offense that desperately needs it.
Injuries continue to pile up. Graham Gano and Kayvon Thibodeaux are among the players on injured reserve, leaving New York thin in multiple areas.
Overcoming that reality has been a season-long challenge.
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Giants vs. Raiders QB Matchup
Geno Smith has been the steady hand for Las Vegas, throwing for 2,849 yards and 18 touchdowns. His 15 interceptions underline the tightrope he walks each week, but his experience keeps the Raiders competitive more often than not.
Smith averages 235.9 passing yards per game and is projected for around 1.5 touchdowns in this matchup. If the Raiders win, it likely means Smith avoided the big mistake at the wrong time.
Jaxson Dart has shown promise for the Giants, tossing 13 touchdowns against just five interceptions. He adds mobility as well, averaging nearly 34 rushing yards per game, which has become a useful escape plan.
Dart’s 193.2 passing yards per game won’t scare defenses, but his ability to protect the ball gives New York a fighting chance.
In a game like this, that might actually matter.
New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders bottom line: one team will leave with a win, and for both fanbases, that might count as a successful afternoon.
New York Giants vs. Las Vegas Raiders Football Betting Trends
- The Giants have a 4-1 record in over/under in their last 5 away games.
- New York has gone over the total in 7 of their last 9 games following a loss.
- The Giants are 3-1 against the spread in games with totals of 42 or less.
- Also, the Raiders have a 4-1 record in over/under as underdogs in their last 5 games.
- Additionally, Las Vegas has hit the over in 3 of their last 4 home games.
- The Raiders are 2-1 against the spread in their last 3 games as underdogs.
Giants Raiders Free Pick: Over 41.5
Here is my Giants Raiders free pick: the Giants have turned road games into track meets lately, especially after a loss. Going over in four of their last five away suggests defense has taken a very generous vacation.
New York doesn’t exactly tighten things up when things go wrong. If anything, games get louder, faster, and messier. Las Vegas has been more than willing to join that chaos at home.
Three overs in their last four at Allegiant Stadium says points are welcome.
The Raiders, particularly as underdogs, don’t shy away from risk. That usually means trading scores instead of protecting anything.
Neither defense has inspired much confidence this season. Because stops feel optional, drives tend to last longer than planned.
When both defenses struggle, totals stop pretending to be modest.
The Giants can contribute enough offense to keep things moving. Even short fields do plenty of damage.
The Raiders don’t need perfection either, just a few functional stretches. That’s usually achievable.
At the end of the day, this number feels like it’s hoping someone suddenly finds discipline. That’s optimistic. I’m leaning into the over 41.5 and expecting the scoreboard to get plenty of work.
Today’s NFL Free Pick
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NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Tendernism 🎁 #RaiderNation pic.twitter.com/vmnc1IM81p
— Las Vegas Raiders (@Raiders) December 25, 2025
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