
Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Patriots vs. Giants Odds
Looking for New England Patriots vs. New York Giants free NFL Week 12 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Patriots taking on the Giants on Sunday, November 26th at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this New England New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(2-8) New England Patriots vs. New York Giants (3-8)
Date: Sunday, November 26th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL Week 12 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) New England -3.5 | New York +3.5
Week 12 NFL Moneyline Odds: New England -177 | New York +145
NFL Betting Total: O/U 33.5
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The Patriots and Giants are getting ready to clash on the field for the 12th time in the regular season, marking their first meeting since October 10, 2019. Back then, the Patriots came out on top with a 35-14 victory at Gillette Stadium.
When it comes to preseason games, the Patriots have a history with the Giants, having faced off in 31 matchups, the most against any team. Philly comes in second with 24 preseason games against the Pats.
In regular season games, the Patriots hold a 7-4 lead over the Giants. It’s always an exciting showdown when these two teams go head-to-head.
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The Patriots and Giants did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Patriots have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Giants went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 2-1 on an average of 46 points per game.
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New England Patriots
In the current season, the Patriots hold an overall record of 2-8, placing them at 4th in the AFC-East. Their performance consists of a 1-6 record as underdogs and 1-2 when they are favored.
Thus far this season, the Patriots hold a record above .500 against the spread, marked at 2-8. Their average scoring margin in the current season is -9.7.
Even though the Patriots finished with 340 yards of offense compared to the Colts’ 264, the Patriots still lost the game. In the game, the Patriots averaged 4.6 yards per rush for a total of 167.
On the other side, the Colts threw for 194 yards while running for 70. New England’s 4 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 1.5 point underdogs.
Mac Jones did not throw or run for a touchdown, while completing 15 of 20 passes for 170 yards. Jones ended the game with a passer rating of 79.
New England Patriots Stats
New England’s offense finished with 340 yards of total offense vs. the Colts. On third down, the Patriots converted at a rate of 42.9%. Rhamondre Stevenson was the Patriots’ top rusher with 88 yards while Mac Jones threw for 170 yards.
For this season, the New England offense has an average of 14.1 points per game, placing them at 29th in the league.
When it comes to yards allowed, the Patriots rank 16th in the league, conceding an average of 326.5 yards per contest.
New England’s defense has allowed 23.8 points per game, which has them 22nd in the NFL.
New York Giants
The Giants’ week 12 matchup vs. New England will be their 5th home game of the season. On the road, they have gone 1-3 and are 3-8 overall. In the NFC-East, New York is 4th and 13th in the NFC.
Against the spread, the Giants have a record of 3-7-1. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently -12.4.
Even though the Giants finished with 111 fewer yards of offense, they still beat the Commanders. For the game, the Giants’ offense finished with 292 yards compared to the Commanders at 403.
The Giants averaged 4.8 yards per rushing attempt for a total of 91 yards on the ground. New York went into the game as the underdog (+7.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
Tommy Devito threw for 246 yards while completing 69% of his passes and throwing for 246. Devito threw for three touchdowns.
New York Giants Stats
Offensively, the Giants rushed the ball 19 times against the Commanders. Saquon Barkley led the ground attack with 83 yards.
Tommy Devito made 26 passing attempts, accumulating 246 yards and achieving a passer rating of 137.
On offense, the Giants are currently averaging 13.5 points per game, ranking them 30th in the NFL.
On the defensive front, the Giants currently hold the 10th position in tackles for loss and rank 19th in sacks. Opponents are averaging 25.9 points and 371.6 yards per game against them.
New England Patriots vs. New York Giants NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Patriots are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Giants are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Patriots are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Giants have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Patriots’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Giants’ have an over/under record of 2-1 in their last 3 games at home.
Patriots vs. Giants Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots | -220 | -177 | -4.5 | -3.5 |
| Giants | +184 | +145 | +4.5 | +3.5 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: New York +3.5
New England is back on the field this week following their Week 11 break. Their previous game was in Germany, and they lost 10-6 to the Colts. Meanwhile, the Giants had their rookie Third-string QB, Tommy DeVito, earn his first career win as a starter with a 31-19 victory over NFC East rival Washington.
New England’s passing game didn’t look good in their last game against Indianapolis. I’m not anticipating a sudden turnaround, which is why I’m favoring New York as 3.5-point underdogs.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to high and like the outlook of this game to stay below the 33.5 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 30 points. It’s going to be one of the more BORING games you’ll watch in the 2023/24 season.
Here are some NFL betting stats we found for this matchup. New England has struggled, going 1-6 against the spread (ATS) and straight up (SU) in their last 7 games. They’ve also had a tough time against the NY Giants, going 1-5 ATS in their last 6 meetings. On the road, New England’s ATS record isn’t any better, with a 1-5 record in their last 6 away games.
As for the total points scored, the NY Giants have seen the UNDER hit in 7 of their last 9 games, and in 4 of their last 5 home games. New England, too, has trended towards the UNDER, with 7 of their last 9 games going below the total points line.
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New England Patriots vs. New York Giants NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
More Mic’d Up!
https://twitter.com/Giants/status/1727461963981340993
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