Free NFL Week 12 Pick: Vikings vs. Bears Odds
Looking for Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears free NFL picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Vikings taking on the Bears on Sunday, November 24th at the Soldier Field. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 12 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Minnesota Chicago matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 12
(8-2) Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears (4-6)
Date: Sunday, November 24th
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: Soldier Field, Chicago IL
NFL ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Minnesota -3 | Chicago +3
NFL Moneyline Odds: Minnesota -174 | Chicago +148
NFL Betting Total: O/U 39.5
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Week 12 brings us another chapter in the storied rivalry between the Minnesota Vikings and Chicago Bears, a matchup that has spanned 126 games since 1961. With Minnesota holding a narrow edge in the all-time series (66-58-2), this divisional clash at Soldier Field promises plenty of intrigue.
Last year’s contest—a forgettable 12-10 Bears win—was a grind, but there’s a lot more on the line this time as the Vikings come in at 8-2 and the Bears sit at 4-6.
Over the last three times playing each other, the Vikings have a record of 2-1. The Vikings also had the edge vs. the spread in these games, at 2-1.
These games averaged a combined total of 31 points per game leading to an over/under record of 0-3.
Minnesota enters as 3-point road favorites, but recent form suggests some cracks in their armor. The Vikings are just 2-3 in their last five games as favorites, and quarterback Sam Darnold has cooled off after a hot start, struggling to find consistency down the stretch.
Minnesota Vikings
Heading into week 12, the Vikings are riding a three-game winning streak, including a 23-13 victory over the Titans in week 11. This win brought their record to 8-2, putting them 2nd in the NFC North. Minnesota has a +7.4 scoring margin and is 7-3 against the spread, including a 3-0 record as underdogs.
Our projections give the Vikings a 95.1% chance of making the playoffs and a 10.4% chance of winning the division. They are 8th in our NFL power rankings and have an O/U record of 3-7, with the under hitting in their last three games.
Minnesota Vikings Stats
Heading into week 12, the Vikings are 14th in our offensive power rankings. They’re 9th in the NFL in points per game, averaging 24.4, and rank 15th in yards per game with 341. Minnesota has been strong in the first quarter, leading the league with 8.2 points on average. They are 12th in passing yards per game (224.6) and 19th in rushing, with 116.4 yards per game.
Sam Darnold bounced back in week 11, posting a 107 passer rating with 246 yards and 2 touchdowns against the Titans. Aaron Jones had 39 yards on 15 carries, while Justin Jefferson caught 6 passes for 81 yards. The Vikings scored 23 points, with 16 coming in the first half.
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In their 23-13 win over the Titans, the Vikings’ defense was outstanding, allowing just 33 rushing yards on 19 attempts. They also recorded five sacks and held Tennessee to 1.7 yards per attempt on the ground. Despite giving up 261 passing yards, Minnesota limited the Titans to a 54.8% completion percentage and allowed just one passing touchdown.
Minnesota’s defense was tough on third downs, allowing the Titans to convert only 40% of their chances. They also came up with one interception and pressured the quarterback with a +5 advantage in QB hits.
Chicago Bears
Chicago heads into week 12 against the Vikings looking to snap a four-game losing streak, which includes a 20-19 home loss to the Packers in week 11. The Bears were +6 underdogs in that game, but they managed to cover the spread, bringing their ATS record to 6-4 this season. They have a +0.7 scoring margin and rank 24th in our power rankings.
With a 4-6 record, the Bears have a 1.1% chance of making the playoffs and 0% chance of winning the NFC North. They are 0-4 on the road but 4-2 at home. Their O/U record is 3-7, with the under hitting in four straight games.
Chicago Bears Stats
Heading into week 12, the Bears rank 22nd in our offensive power rankings, averaging 19.4 points per game, which is 21st in the NFL. They are 29th in total yards per game (289) and 28th in passing yards per game (173.8) despite ranking 12th in passing attempts. On the ground, Chicago averages 115.2 rushing yards per game, ranking 22nd in the league. They have struggled on 3rd down, converting just 31.9% of their attempts, but they are 3rd in the NFL in red zone conversion percentage.
In week 11, Caleb Williams threw for 231 yards, completing 23 of 31 passes, and posted a passer rating of 94. He was sacked 3 times after taking 9 sacks in week 10. D’Andre Swift led the team with 71 rushing yards on 14 carries, while Rome Odunze had 6 receptions for 65 yards. The Bears scored 19 points in their loss to the Packers, with 9 of those coming in the 3rd quarter.
In the Bears’ 20-19 loss to the Packers, Chicago’s defense allowed 260 passing yards on just 13 completions. The Bears defended the run well, allowing only 106 rushing yards on 25 attempts. Despite this, they gave up 366 total yards to the Packers.
Chicago’s defense forced one interception and held Green Bay to a 20% conversion rate on third down. They also managed one sack and won the tackles for loss battle. The Bears’ defense will be looking to improve on giving up big plays in the passing game in their next outing.
Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Vikings are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Bears are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Vikings are 5-3-2 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Bears have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Vikings’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Bears’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Vikings vs. Bears Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings | +130 | -175 | +3 | -3 |
| Bears | -155 | +148 | -3 | +3 |
4* Free Week 12 NFL Betting Prediction: Chicago +3
Chicago has been a gambler’s dream at Soldier Field, boasting an impressive 8-1 record against the spread in their last nine home games. Their defense, led by a relentless pass rush, could be the X-factor, especially against a Vikings offense that hasn’t looked as dominant as it did earlier this season.
With a low total set at 39.5, this game could go into a defensive battle, but don’t sleep on the potential for big plays to shift momentum to put us OVER. The Bears are scrappy at home, and Soldier Field has been a tough environment for even the best teams to navigate.
Our prediction for this week 12 matchup between the Bears and Vikings is that the Bears will come out on top by a score of 23-21. With the Vikings being 3-point favorites, we are looking to take the Bears to cover the spread as our best bet.
For this matchup, we also like the over as a strong play. The line is currently sitting at 39.5 points, and we have these teams combining for 44 points, making the over a great value pick.
Keep a close eye on the line and the moneyline odds leading up to kickoff—this rivalry game could be closer than the records suggest.
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Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
New week, new opportunity 💪 pic.twitter.com/xhbR9kJeWZ
— Chicago Bears (@ChicagoBears) November 20, 2024
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