Free Week 17 Prediction: Dolphins vs. Patriots NFL Odds
Looking for Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots Free NFL Week 17 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Dolphins taking on the Patriots on Sunday, January 1st at Gillette Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Miami- New England matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(8-7) Miami Dolphins vs. New England Patriots (7-8)
Date: Sunday, January 1st
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Gillette Stadium
NFL Week 17 ATS Betting Lines: Dolphins +2.5 | Patriots -2.5 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 17 Moneyline Odds: Dolphins +125 | Patriots -145
NFL Week 17 NFL Betting Total: O/U 42.0
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Some unfortunate news rocked the Miami Dolphins yet again with their 1st string quarterback re-entering concussion protocol after a hit he took in this last week’s matchup against the Packers.
So Teddy Bridgewater is up who is obviously a very serviceable backup but when he started in relief previously this year the Dolphins struggled.
It may not take much to beat this Patriots offence however, their defence on the other hand is rather stout. But as long as they can put 20 points on the board they should be able to book their ticket to the playoffs.
The lowly Patriots still have a fan base in New England that annoy me to no end, both as a fellow Patriots fan but also just as a sports fan in general. It kinda makes me hate them in a way.
It’s hilarious that people who cheer for this team who even at this stage are calling for them to be a playoff threat. Delusional.
Having said that, there is a path to victory for them in this one as well as the Dolphins defence is poor.
So let’s take a closer look at these two division rivals.
Miami Dolphins
The Fish have lost 4 straight and their defence has been poor all season but particularly bad over this last month.
They rank 27th in the league on the season in points allowed to opponents at 24.1 which is not going to bode well in the playoffs against the likes of the Chargers, Chiefs, Bills or Bengals.
Against the Pats, well you might be okay because it’s unlikely they can hit that plateau given their own struggles.
New England Patriots
The Patriots couldn’t move the football on third down if their lives depended on it. They convert to move the chains a measly 34.92% of the time on third downs.
Thankfully for Mac Jones and company, the rumour mill suggests that Bill O’Brien could be on the way to help with the call sheet because Matt Patricia is nothing short of a buffoon who has no clue what he’s doing.
Mac Jones is not without his critics especially outside of New England. I have heard comparisons to Baker Mayfield in terms of how he’s tracking as a player in his career trajectory.
This team is without argument being hampered by terrible play calling and coaching however, and so a year removed from Matt Patricia will do wonders. No playoffs this year for this group, next year they get another crack to prove they are for real.
How they stack up in this matchup and where we place our money however is a little different of a story and harder to evaluate because without Tua this year the Dolphins were nowhere near as explosive and this Patriots defence is pretty tough.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Miami are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
- Miami are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
- Miami are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against New England.
- Miami are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games against New England.
- New England are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of New England’s last 8 games.
- New England are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New England’s last 5 games against Miami.
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Dolphins +2.5
I don’t like taking that number ever but I just see this one as being super close all day and the Fish fighting tooth and nail to clinch their playoff berth. And I just cannot bring myself to bet on the Patriots to score points and move the ball.
Gimme the Dolphins.
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