Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Dolphins vs. Ravens Odds
Looking for Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens free NFL Week 17 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Dolphins taking on the Ravens on Sunday, December 31st at the M&T Bank Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Miami Baltimore matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(11-4) Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens (12-3)
Date: Sunday, December 31st
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore MD
NFL Week 17 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Miami +3.5 | Baltimore -3.5
Week 17 NFL Moneyline Odds: Miami +158 | Baltimore -193
NFL Betting Total: O/U 47
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In their only head to head matchup last season, the Dolphins won by a score of 42-38. With a combined 80 points, the Dolphins and Ravens surpassed the over/under line of 43.5.
The Dolphins covered the spread in this matchup. Offensively, the Dolphins finished with 547 total yards with 461 coming in the passing game and 86 on the ground.
The Ravens finished with 473 yards of offense in the loss.
Over the years the Dolphins and Ravens have squared off 18 times, including 2 postseason matchups, with the Dolphins securing 8 wins and the Ravens winning 10.
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Miami Dolphins
As they prepare to face the Ravens, the Dolphins hold an overall record of 11-4 and have secured two consecutive victories. Within the AFC-East, Miami is in 1st place. The Dolphins’ scoring margin for the season is currently +9.9.
This has contributed to their ATS record of 10-5.
In their 22-20 win over the Cowboys, the Dolphins actually trailed at halftime by a score 13-13 before making a second-half comeback.
For the game, the Dolphins’ offense averaged 5 yards per play compared to the Cowboys at 5.
The Cowboys went 6/12 on third down. Going into the game, Miami was favored by 1.5 and went on to cover the spread. Tua Tagovailoa threw for 293 yards while completing 64% of his passes and throwing for 293.
Tagovailoa threw for one touchdown.
Miami Dolphins Stats
Miami’s offense finished with 375 yards of total offense vs. the Cowboys. On third down, the Dolphins converted at a rate of 46.2%.
Raheem Mostert was the Dolphins’ top rusher with 46 yards while Tua threw for 293 yards.
The Dolphins offense has been better at home this year, averaging 34.1 at home compared to 27.1 on the road. In terms of overall scoring, they are 1st in the league.
On the defensive front, the Dolphins enter the game as the 13th ranked team in tackles for loss and 2nd in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 20.9 points per game against them, along with an average of 296.5 yards per contest.
Baltimore Ravens
In the AFC-North standings, the Ravens are in 1st place with a record of 12-3. Within the AFC, Baltimore is 1st, heading into week 17. As the underdog, Baltimore has gone 2-0 this season compared to their ATS record of 8-5 as the favorite.
At home, the Ravens are 4-3 ATS and 6-2 vs. the spread on the road.
In the Ravens’ win over the 49ers, the Ravens controlled the time of possession at 31:14 to 28:46 for the 49ers. The Ravens’ offense averaged 3.9 yards per rushing attempt and finished with a total of 343 yards.
Defensively, they gave up 429 yards of offense to the 49ers. Baltimore went into the game as the underdog (+6.5), giving them a straight-up and ATS win.
Quarterback Lamar Jackson led the Ravens in both rushing and passing, with 45 yards on the ground and 252 through air. Jackson ended the game with two passing touchdowns.
Baltimore Ravens Stats
Looking at their performance on offense, Jackson threw for 252 yards while completing 65% of his passes. On the ground, the Ravens rushed the ball 26 times for 102 yards. The team’s third-down performance stood at 4/11.
At home, the Ravens’ offense has been excellent, averaging 3rd in the league.
Overall, their average of 27.8 points per contest is 4th in the league.
With a matchup against the Dolphins’ offense, the Ravens defense has allowed an average of 16.3 points per game so far. They currently are 3rd in quarterback hits and are allowing 297.3 yards per contest.
Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Dolphins are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Ravens are 3-2 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Dolphins are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Ravens have gone 8-2 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Dolphins’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Ravens’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Dolphins vs. Ravens Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Dolphins | +100 | +158 | +2 | +3.5 |
Ravens | -120 | -193 | -2 | -3.5 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Miami +3.5
When these two locked horns last year one could argue it was one of the most entertaining games we watched all season. The Dolphins want the AFC’s #1 seed, the Ravens are standing in their way, and they’re the favorites this Sunday.
A key matchup to watch in this game is the Dolphins’ offense vs. the Ravens’ defense. Our projections have the Dolphins building on their most recent 375 yard performance on offense and putting together another big game vs. Baltimore.
Miami has been red-hot, going 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and boasting a 5-1 SU record in their last 6 matchups. They’ve dominated the AFC, with a strong 10-4 ATS performance in their last 14 games against AFC opponents.
Meanwhile, Baltimore has struggled versus the AFC East, posting a 2-5 SU record in their last 7.
I like the Dolphins at +3.5.
Miami’s games have seen a combined average of 51.8 points this season. Given the current over/under line of 47, I’m going with the over.
When these two meet, expect high-scoring action. The OVER has hit in 4 of Baltimore’s last 5 games against Miami and in 6 of their last 9 overall.
Miami also contributes to the offensive showcase with the OVER hitting in 11 of their last 15 road games and 4 of their last 5 road games against Baltimore.
Dolphins Ravens NFL Handicapping
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Miami Dolphins vs. Baltimore Ravens NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
A game at a time but we have no plans of letting up❗️ pic.twitter.com/yi7NncBbek
— Baltimore Ravens (@Ravens) December 28, 2023
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