Free Week 16 Prediction: Texans vs. Chargers NFL Odds
Looking for Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Chargers Free NFL Week 16 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Texans taking on the Chargers on Sunday, December 26th at NRG Stadium in Houston, TX. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Houston Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(3-11) Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Chargers (8-6)
Date: Sunday, December 26th, 2021
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: U.S. NRG Stadium, Houston, TX
NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines: Chargers -10.5 | Texans +10.5 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 16 Moneyline Odds: Texans +420 | Chargers -475
NFL Week 16 NFL Betting Total: O/U 46.0
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Merry Christmas fellow degenerates! It’s your boy Lavoie here with all your Week 16 needs, in this one we’re looking at the Chargers travelling to Houston to play the 3-11 Texans. With the above line info in mind let’s dig in.
The Chargers have been one of the streakiest teams all year. However, this offense in my humble opinion is one of the best in the game when it’s clicking.
Their first year head coach Brandon Staley is who the analytics advocates prey too at night, but he was feeling the heat after last weeks Thursday night affair against the Chiefs where he went for it on 4th down 5 times and converted only twice leaving a total of 9 points on the field in a game where he lost by 6.
Whether or not you believe in this approach, most agree the aggressive tactic was likely a smart one against a Chiefs offence who can take it the house from anywhere on the field at any given moment. It was the plays they designed that were lackluster as well as the execution of said plays.
I don’t imagine they will have to make such tough decisions this Sunday.
Los Angeles Chargers
On paper this is a major mismatch for the Texans defense. These Chargers are moving the ball very well this season.
They rank 4th in the league in yards gained per game and 5th in yards per play. It is clear when this offense is gelling it can really move the chains.
The Chargers are second in the league with an average of 3.5 touchdowns per game and convert 45% of their 3rd down situations so this is going to be a very tall task for this Texans unit who has been pretty leaky all year.
Where the Chargers are very flawed is on the other side of the ball. They are dead last in the league in allowing opponents to convert on third down.
They also allow on average 26 points per game to opposing teams and 358 yards per game. Perhaps that factors into Stayley constantly deciding to go for it on 4th down?
Having said that, this Texans offensive unit is abhorrent by almost every metric. They do look better after getting Tyrod Taylor back from injury who is at least a serviceable veteran, but this team is hunting down a possible #1 overall draft pick.
They put up an average of 14 points per game which is not going to win you games in today’s NFL. They also rank dead last in yards gained.
Not a lot going right for this team this season, and I assume with the Deshaun Watson drama that is sure to continue cooking this offseason I suspect this team is going to struggle for some time to come. I am sorry Texans fans.
NFL Betting Trends:
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of LA Chargers’ last 5 games.
- LA Chargers are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games against Houston.
- LA Chargers are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games on the road.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Houston’s last 12 games.
- Houston are 0-6 SU in their last 6 games at home.
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Chargers Alternate Spread of -13.5 @ +125
In a game that the Bolts really need a win due to the log jam they’re in right now in the AFC I don’t think they’re going to take their foot off the gas in this one. And I also do not think the Texans are going to be able to keep pace with this team offensively even if they manage to get some points on the board.
The line is at -10.5 which is not the hook we want obviously as it moves through that key number of 10, and we are also not getting good odds at -118.
I am playing an alternate spread in this one, I love the Chargers to win this by 2 touchdowns at least and we’re getting the juice at +125. HAMMER the Bolts Sunday, happy holidays to you and yours, drink and bet responsibly, hope your new year is spoiled with riches!
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