Free NFL Week 17 Pick: Lions vs. Cowboys Odds
Looking for Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys free NFL Week 17 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Lions taking on the Cowboys on Saturday, December 30th at the AT&T Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Detroit Dallas matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(11-4) Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys (10-5)
Date: Saturday, December 30th
Time: 8:15 ET
Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington TX
NFL Week 17 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Detroit +6 | Dallas -6
Week 17 NFL Moneyline Odds: Detroit +219 | Dallas -273
NFL Betting Total: O/U 53.5
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In the only head to head matchup between the teams last season, the Cowboys won by a score of 24-6. In their only head-to-head matchup, the team’s scored 30 points which fell below the over/under line of 49.
The Cowboys covered the spread in last year’s matchup. Offensively, the Cowboys finished with 191 passing yards and 139 rushing yards in their win over the Lions.
As for Detroit, they ended the game with 312 yards of total offense.
The Lions/Cowboys rivalry has seen 30 matchups, with the Lions winning 12 and the Cowboys 18, including 3 postseason games.
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Detroit Lions
Leading up to their matchup with the Cowboys, the Lions are 11-4.
They currently sit 1st in the NFC-North and are in 3rd place in the NFC. The Lions have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 10-5. Their average scoring margin for this season is +3.8.
On offense, the Lions racked up 389 yards in their 30-24 win over the Vikings. For the game, the Lions ran for 143 yards on an average of 4.0 yards per attempt. Defensively, they allowed 390 yards of total offense with 373 yards coming through the air and 17 on the ground.
Going into the game, Detroit was favored by 2.5 and went on to cover the spread. Jared Goff threw for 257 yards while completing 75% of his passes and throwing for 257.
Goff threw for one touchdown.
Detroit Lions Stats
In terms of offensive production, Goff finished with 257 passing yards with a completion rate of 75%. The Lions ran the ball 36 times for 143 yards. The team’s third-down conversion rate was 6/12.
With an average of 27.5 points per contest, the Detroit offense currently ranks 5th in the league.
On the defensive front, the Lions enter the game as the 16th ranked team in tackles for loss and 14th in sacks.
Their opponents are averaging 23.7 points per game against them, along with an average of 325.5 yards per contest.
Dallas Cowboys
In their matchup against the Lions, the Cowboys aim to build on their 10-5 record. This places them 2nd in the NFC-East and 5th in the NFC. When it comes to the spread, the Cowboys come in at 9-6. Going into week 17, their scoring margin per game is +11.
The Cowboys couldn’t take advantage of their four-point first quarter lead.
On offense, the Cowboys averaged 3.9 yards per rushing attempt and finished with 339 yards of total offense. The Dolphins ended the game with a total of 375 yards. Dallas’ 2 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 1.5 point underdogs.
Dak Prescott threw for 253 yards while completing 62% of his passes and throwing for 253. Prescott threw for two touchdowns.
Dallas Cowboys Stats
Offensively, Prescott totaled 253 passing yards with a completion rate of 62%. On the rushing front, the Cowboys had 25 attempts, gaining 97 yards. The team converted 4 of 12 third-down attempts.
As they enter week 17, the Cowboys offense ranks 2nd in the league, averaging 30.1 points per contest.
On the defensive front, the Cowboys enter the game as the 13th ranked team in tackles for loss and 9th in sacks.
Their opponents are averaging 19.1 points per game against them, along with an average of 299.7 yards per contest.
Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Lions are 4-1 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Lions are 7-3 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Cowboys have gone 4-6 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Lions’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Cowboys’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Lions vs. Cowboys Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Lions | +183 | +219 | +5.5 | +6 |
Cowboys | -220 | -273 | -5.5 | -6 |
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Detroit +6
In Week 16, the Lions secured a 30-24 road victory against the Vikings, successfully covering as 2.5-point favorites. Meanwhile, the Cowboys faced a 22-20 loss to the Dolphins, failing to cover as 1-point road dogs.
I’m leaning towards Detroit to cover as 6-point underdogs in this matchup. Detroit demonstrated a strong rushing game in their recent game against Minnesota and is expected to continue in the same vein.
Detroit has been strong recently, boasting a 12-5 ATS record in their last 17 games and winning 10 of their last 13 matchups outright (SU).
I’ll be placing my bet on Detroit before the game kicks off. Given that the over/under line for this matchup is at 53.5, I’m taking the under.
Heading into this matchup, Dallas’ games have averaged 49.1 points per game.
Dallas has shown a trend toward lower-scoring games, with the total going UNDER in 4 of their last 6 games overall and in 4 of their last 5 games played in December.
Lions Cowboys NFL Handicapping
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Detroit Lions vs. Dallas Cowboys NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
Protect our den.#DETvsDAL | @ATT pic.twitter.com/mz9c4kzV8b
— Dallas Cowboys (@dallascowboys) December 30, 2023
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