Free Week 16 Prediction: Texans vs. Chargers NFL Odds
Looking for Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers Free NFL Week 17 picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Broncos taking on the Chargers on Sunday, December 26th at SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles, CA. Cappers Picks provides complimentary handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 17 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Denver Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 17
(7-8) Denver Broncos vs. Los Angeles Chargers (8-7)
Date: Sunday, January 2nd, 2022
Time: 4:05 PM ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Los Angeles, CA
NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines: Broncos +6.5 | Chargers -6.5 (Bet Now!)
NFL Week 16 Moneyline Odds: Broncos +220 | Chargers -270
NFL Week 16 NFL Betting Total: O/U 45.5
- *Click Here* Check out our Live Betting Odds for this game!
- *Click Here* Check out our Updated Sportsbook Bonuses for today!
I mean, I do not even know what to say at this point about the friggen Los Angeles Chargers. They are for sure the most hot and cold team in the NFL this season without a doubt.
When they do win they win pretty decisively and against good teams and then they come out and lay an egg against the Texans when I have them on an ALT spread of two goddamn touchdowns.
With the lines set, let’s dig into this thing.
So despite my frustrations betting on them, this is still a very good team. They’re big issue is that they are matchup dependant because they don’t play a physical brand of football.
Their defense is atrocious as we’ve stated here before so with this one I am looking at how they matchup against this Bronco’s squad.
These teams met back in Week 12 in Denver where the Broncos took the Chargers to the woodshed. The Broncos scored two unanswered touchdowns twice, once in the first half and then again in the fourth quarter.
The Bronco’s defence is really young but very good both up in the front 7 and in the backfield. They call just about an even split between zone and man coverages, Herbert and Staley like attacking man converages because they believe in their playmakers but they are actually more productive facing zone.
So an even split is somewhat bad news for the Chargers given their philosophy, but they are very well coached and game plan very well despite the 7 L’s and so they will definitely make some adjustments for this matchup.
Los Angeles Chargers
So per the numbers this team is still the 4th best team in the game at gaining yards. Even when they lose they do not have trouble moving the sticks it’s always keeping points off the board that they have struggled with.
They average 27.2 points per game and average 27.4 points allowed per game which is not a promising metric as a bettor. They are also still dead last in 3rd downs allowed to opponents therefore getting stops and getting off the field is definitely a problem to say the least.
The Bronco’s have a lot to be excited about in the future. They really have one of the best young rosters in football and are only really lacking good quarterback play and an innovative coaching staff to be a real competitor in the AFC.
Now, those two things are hard to come by and come at a premium of course, but if some of the numbers they have been putting up without them are advertised properly this should be an attractive destination for free agents and head coach candidates.
NFL Betting Trends:
- Denver are 4-8 ATS in their last 12 games.
- Denver are 4-8 SU in their last 12 games.
- LA Chargers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of LA Chargers’ last 6 games.
4* Free Week 17 NFL Betting Prediction: Broncos Spread +6.5
I think this is good value for Denver and a team that the Chargers do not matchup well against.
I think the Chargers will likely win but Broncos to cover here ladies and gents!
One thing I saw recently I wanted to add just as a tip, was a sharp bettor on another website (who shall remain nameless) advising not to care about what a team did in the previous week when betting on or against them in your current week.
Obviously, you don’t want to play with any emotion ever and so there is some truth to setting aside biases, but what sharp Vegas bettors in my opinion do not factor into their decisions enough are football intangibles pertaining to play on the field.
What a team did in their previous week matters a lot to them in the film room, and it also matters a lot to the team they are facing so it should to you too. Some teams in this league are very matchup dependant (ie. The Saints are 4-0 against Tom Brady’s Buccaneers).
The Chargers are ghosts in games that are physical and don’t look as explosive when playing teams who deploy a successful man coverage concept. Still a very talented team though which is why they continue to gain yardage and be productive.
Stay safe out there!
If you’re looking for more NFL picks like this Houston Texans vs. Los Angeles Chargers matchup we’ll be providing 4* free NFL predictions on the blog all season long, and check out our Experts for guaranteed premium & free NFL Football Picks!
Register here for a FREE NFL Football Betting Account Now for Daily Free Picks & More Special Offers!