Free NFL Week 16 Pick: Bills vs. Chargers Odds
Looking for Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers free NFL Week 16 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Bills taking on the Chargers on Saturday, December 23rd at the SoFi Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 16 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Buffalo Los Angeles matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 16
(8-6) Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers (5-9)
Date: Saturday, December 23rd
Time: 8:00 ET
Venue: SoFi Stadium, Inglewood CA
NFL Week 16 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Buffalo -11 | Los Angeles +11
Week 16 NFL Moneyline Odds: Buffalo -795 | Los Angeles +521
NFL Betting Total: O/U 42.5
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If there’s something that might slow down the Bills, it could be facing the San Diego…uh, Los Angeles Chargers this week. The Bills have had a tough time against the Chargers, with a not-so-great winning record of 13-25-2, which is only 35%, including playoffs.
Last season, the Bills and Chargers did not face off head-to-head. When looking back over the last three times these two teams have played, the Chargers have the leg up at 2-1.
They last met on 11/29/2020 a 27-17 Bills win in Buffalo. Before that on 09/16/18 it was a 31-20 Chargers win in Buffalo.
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Buffalo Bills
In 14 games, the Bills have a 8-6 record. This has them situated 2nd in the AFC-East and 9th in the AFC. As the underdog, Buffalo has gone 1-2 this season compared to their ATS record of 5-6 as the favorite.
At home, the Bills are 4-4 ATS and 2-4 vs. the spread on the road.
In the Bills’ win over the Cowboys, the Bills controlled the time of possession at 35:05 to 24:55 for the Cowboys. The Bills’ offense averaged 5.4 yards per rushing attempt and finished with a total of 351 yards.
Defensively, they gave up 195 yards of offense to the Cowboys. Going into the game, Buffalo was favored by 2.5 and went on to cover the spread.
Running back James Cook had a big game for the Bills, running for one touchdown and 179 yards. Josh Allen completed 46% of his passes for 94 yards.
Is he the NFL Player of the Week? I’m not sure, but James Cook’s incredible performance led the Bills to a blowout of epic proportions. Dallas wasn’t even in Buffalo were they? LOL
Cook scored twice, and he dropped what should have been a third TD. I loved the impressive front flip into the end zone. Good luck stopping that Los Angeles.
Buffalo Bills Stats
Offensively, Allen finished with 94 passing yards while completing 46% of his passes. On the ground, the Bills rushed the ball 49 times for 266 yards. The team converted 5 of 9 third-down opportunities.
On the offensive front, the Bills are currently averaging 27.1 points per game, positioning them 6th in the NFL.
Defensively, Buffalo is 4th in the NFL in points allowed.
Their opponents have an average of 18.1 points per game while gaining 312.9 yards per contest.
Los Angeles Chargers
Chargers fans won’t forget the Thursday night game against Las Vegas anytime soon. The Raiders bounced back from a tough 3-0 loss to Minnesota, scoring a whopping 42 points in the first half.
The Chargers couldn’t even get past midfield until the third quarter, leading to a historic 63-21 victory for the Raiders.
The Chargers currently hold the 4th spot in the AFC-West this season, with an overall record of 5-9. In games outside their conference, they have a 2-3 record, and in AFC games, they have a AFC record.
Los Angeles comes into this one having not covered the spread in three straight games at home. Their overall ATS record for the season is 5-9.
The Chargers’ loss to the Raiders is one of their worst margins of defeat in recent history.
The Chargers’ defense allowed 378 yards of total offense which included 124 yards on the ground and 254 through the air. Offensively, the Chargers finished with 326 of total offense. Los Angeles’ 42 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 3 point underdogs.
Easton Stick threw for 257 yards while completing 71% of his passes and throwing for 257. Stick threw for three touchdowns.
Los Angeles Chargers Stats
Against the Raiders, the Chargers ran the ball 28 times, with Isaiah Spiller leading the team with 50 yards. Stick threw the ball 32 times for 257 yards and a passer rating of 113.
The Los Angeles offense is currently ranked 15th in the league, averaging 21.6 points per contest.
With a matchup against the Bills’ offense, the Chargers defense has allowed an average of 24.6 points per game so far. They currently are 21st in quarterback hits and are allowing 375.3 yards per contest.
Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Bills are 2-3 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Chargers are 0-5 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Bills are 4-6 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Chargers have gone 5-5 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Bills’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Chargers’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Bills vs. Chargers Line Movement
Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
---|---|---|---|---|
Bills | -405 | -795 | -8.5 | -11 |
Chargers | +320 | +521 | +8.5 | +11 |
4* Free Week 16 NFL Betting Prediction: Bills by a lot
The Bills are gearing up for a late playoff push and might surprise in January. It seems they haven’t played their best yet, mainly because Allen needs to protect the ball more.
By the way, Chargers HC Staley finished his Chargers tenure with a 24-25 record and 1 playoff appearance. So, the Chargers are a ship without a captain now. Good luck finding your way back to the mainland.
There’s only 1 pick to make here. BILLS BILLS BILLS. ATS and MONEYLINE.
It’s easy. Plain and simple. Don’t overthink it. Don’t even start.
I’m placing my bet on the OVER with the current over/under line at 42.5 too.
Up to this point, games involving Los Angeles have seen an average combined score of 46.3 points, and I expect this game to exceed 42.5.
Except all the points will be on one team!
By the way. I expect Harbaugh to be the next Chargers HC. #Justsayin.
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Bills Chargers NFL Handicapping
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Buffalo Bills vs. Los Angeles Chargers NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
full steam ahead
→ https://t.co/wxuGfe9nli pic.twitter.com/blSBeZUK64
— Los Angeles Chargers (@chargers) December 20, 2023
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