Free NFL Week 13 Pick: Falcons vs. Jets Odds
Looking for Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets free NFL Week 13 season picks & NFL odds? NFL betting sees the Falcons taking on the Jets on Sunday, December 3rd at the MetLife Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NFL Football handicapping picks all NFL season long including all NFL Week 13 games so stay tuned for more FREE NFL predictions like this Atlanta New York matchup.
NFL Handicapping Analysis: Week 13
(5-6) Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets (4-7)
Date: Sunday, December 3rd
Time: 1:00 ET
Venue: MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford NJ
NFL Week 13 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Atlanta -3 | New York +3
Week 13 NFL Moneyline Odds: Atlanta -150 | New York +124
NFL Betting Total: O/U 34
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The Falcons and Jets did not have any head-to-head matchups last season. But over the last three times playing each other, the Falcons have a record of 2-1. However, against the spread the Jets went 2-1.
The over/under record in these matchups was 3-0 on an average of 49 points per game.
Over the years, these two teams have belonged to separate conferences, making this matchup a relatively rare occurrence.
The rivalry between the Falcons and Jets has seen them face off 13 times, with Atlanta emerging victorious in 8 games, while New York have secured 5 wins.
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Atlanta Falcons
As week 13 approaches, Atlanta is in 1st place in the NFC-South, coming in with an overall record of 5-6. In the NFC, they currently reside in 4th place. When it comes to the spread, the Falcons have a 3-8 record.
Heading into week 13, their scoring margin is at -1.7 (per game).
Key to the Falcons’ win, was the fact that they got off to a good start in the first-quarter. Atlanta scored 7 points in the opening period. Overall, the Falcons had 396 yards of offense.
Atlanta went into the game as the underdog (+2), giving them a straight-up and ATS win. Desmond Ridder threw for 168 yards while completing 61% of his passes and throwing for 168.
Ridder threw for one touchdown.
Atlanta Falcons Stats
On offense the Saints finished with 41 rushing attempts, and Bijan Robinson was the leading rusher with 91 yards. In the passing game, Ridder threw the ball 21 times, accumulating 168 yards and a passer rating of 63.
On the offensive front, the Falcons are currently averaging 19.4 points per game, positioning them 19th in the NFL.
On defense, the Falcons come into the game ranked 16th in tackles for loss and 17th in sacks.
Opponents are scoring 21.1 points per game vs. them along with an average of 321.1 yards per contest.
New York Jets
In the AFC-East standings, the Jets are in 3rd place with a record of 4-7. Within the AFC, New York is 15th, heading into week 13. The Jets’ scoring margin thus far is currently at -6.8.
This has contributed to an ATS record of 4-6-1.
The Jets were unable to overcome a bad first half in which they trailed by 11 and ended up losing to the Dolphins. Overall, the Jets put up 159 yards of offense while allowing 395.
The Dolphins finished the game going 11/16 on 3rd down. New York’s 21 point loss also resulted in a loss vs. the spread as 9.5 point underdogs.
Tim Boyle threw for 179 yards while completing 71% of his passes and throwing for 179. Boyle threw for one touchdown.
New York Jets Stats
New York’s offense generated 159 total yards against the Dolphins. On third downs, the Jets managed a conversion rate of 35.7%. Breece Hall led the team in rushing with 25 yards, while Tim Boyle passed for 179 yards.
Offensively, the Jets have an average of 14.8 points per game, which positions them 26th in the NFL.
The Jets are 15th in the league in terms of yards allowed, giving up 323.5 yards per contest.
New York’s defense comes in with an average of 21.6 points per game allowed, which is 16th in the NFL.
Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets NFL Football Betting Trends
- The Falcons are 0-5 in their last five games as a favorite.
- Conversely, the Jets are 2-3 ATS in their last five games as an underdog.
- Also, the Falcons are 2-8 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Jets have gone 2-7-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Falcons’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 2-1.
- The Jets’ have an over/under record of 0-3 in their last 3 games at home.
Falcons vs. Jets Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons | -108 | -150 | -1.5 | -3 |
| Jets | -108 | +123 | +1.5 | +3 |
4* Free Week 13 NFL Betting Prediction: New York +3
The Jets have now lost four straight games, and it’s obvious the QB swap on Black Friday, was indeed a Black Friday move, but Coach Saleh has confirmed Boyle will remain the Jets‘ starting QB for this upcoming matchup.
All of that said, my pick on the spread is New York at +3. I’m expecting the New York rushing attack to exploit the weaknesses in Atlanta’s rush defense.
We’re finally going to see that monster game for Breece Hall. I’m calling for 178 yards in this one. 1 yard better than his game vs. Denver.
My play for this game is New York at +3.
In all of Atlanta’s previous games this season, the over/under lines have been set higher than this week’s line of 34. My pick for this matchup is the under though, as we predict this game to end with 31 points.
With both teams running, this clock moves all day.
I’ve identified some key NFL gambling trends that make me confident in my NFL picks for this game. The Jets boast a 4-2 ATS record in their last 6 Sunday home games.
On the flip side, Atlanta struggles, with a 2-8 ATS performance in their last 10 games and a 3-6 SU record in their last 9 matchups.
Furthermore, 12 of Atlanta’s last 17 games have seen the total go UNDER, while 5 of the Jets’ last 6 games have followed suit. When playing at home, the Jets’ games have gone UNDER in 6 of their last 8.
Additionally, the total has gone UNDER in 4 of their last 5 games against NFC opponents. With these trends in mind, I’m optimistic that my bets will pay off.
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Atlanta Falcons vs. New York Jets NFL Betting Tweet Of The Day
https://twitter.com/nyjets/status/1729568887694369044
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