Free NCAAB Pick: Demon Deacons vs. Commodores Odds
Looking for Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Free NCAA picks & NCAA odds? NCAAB betting sees the Demon Deacons taking on the Commodores on 11/5 at Memorial Gymnasium (TN), in Nashville, TN. This free NCAA basketball pick is based on matchup analysis and documented handicapping data tracked by CappersPicks since 2004, with a focus on identifying the strongest betting angle for this Demon Deacons Commodores matchup.
2026 NCAAB Handicapping – Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Vanderbilt Commodores
Here’s why I’m backing an UNDER bet below in my Demon Deacons Commodores free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
Demon Deacons vs. Commodores Gameday
The Wake Forest Demon Deacons visit the No. 24 Vanderbilt Commodores on Thursday, November 5, 2026. Tipoff is 6 PM ET at Memorial Gymnasium in Nashville, with ESPN2 carrying the game.
Wake Forest enters 1-0 under Steve Forbes. The Demon Deacons opened their season with an 83-62 victory over Maryland Eastern Shore.
Vanderbilt has the ranking and home court, but Wake Forest isn’t coming to Nashville for sightseeing.
This is Wake Forest’s first true road test.
Vanderbilt is also 1-0 under Mark Byington. The Commodores enter the season following a 27-win campaign and another NCAA Tournament appearance.
Expect a lively atmosphere at Memorial Gymnasium.
Wake Forest has a largely rebuilt roster, while Vanderbilt returns an established backcourt leader in Tyler Tanner. Both programs have bigger ambitions than collecting easy November victories.
The competition gets considerably tougher Thursday.
Vanderbilt wants to defend its national ranking, and Wake Forest is looking for an early statement against SEC competition. There’s plenty at stake for two teams still establishing their identities.
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It’s Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Vanderbilt Commodores, hopefully we get a great matchup.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Odds & Previous Games
Vanderbilt opened as a 17.5-point favorite, with Wake Forest getting +17.5. The Demon Deacons are +1183 on the moneyline, and the total is 154.5.
Wake Forest defeated Maryland Eastern Shore by 21 points in its opener. The Demon Deacons scored 31 points off turnovers and finished with 25 fast-break points.
Vanderbilt demolished Bellarmine 93-47. The Commodores led 44-17 at halftime and never gave the Knights a chance to recover.
Both teams handled their opening assignments.
Wake Forest finished last season with an 82-72 postseason win over Navy before falling 78-75 to Illinois State. Vanderbilt enters this campaign with higher expectations after consecutive NCAA Tournament appearances.
The recent series belongs to the Commodores.
Vanderbilt beat Wake Forest 98-67 last December. The Commodores also won their previous meeting in 2015, giving the Demon Deacons another reason to want a better showing.
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Commodores Stats
Vanderbilt shot 60% from the field against Bellarmine, making 33 of 55 attempts. The Commodores also converted 20 of 25 free throws.
That’s efficient shooting, regardless of the opponent.
Tanner led Vanderbilt with 20 points and six assists. He made seven of ten shots and added four steals.
Berke Buyuktuncel contributed 13 points, while Ace Glass and Chandler Bing also reached double figures. The Commodores had several players involved offensively.
Vanderbilt recorded 19 assists and 37 rebounds.
The defensive effort was equally impressive. The Commodores held Bellarmine to 37% shooting and forced 18 turnovers.
Byington will want that intensity to carry over.
Wake Forest presents a much tougher assignment than Bellarmine. Vanderbilt must establish its defensive pressure without giving the visitors easy opportunities at the foul line.
Demon Deacons Stats
Wake Forest shot 52.6% in its opener, making 30 of 57 field goals. The Demon Deacons recorded 15 assists and committed 11 turnovers.
Gavin Placide led the team with 20 points and seven rebounds.
Placide made eight of 11 shots and provided an immediate offensive presence. Justin Ray added 15 points on five-of-six shooting.
Kevair Kennedy delivered an impressive all-around performance. He finished with 14 points, nine rebounds and eight assists.
Wake Forest also recorded ten steals and five blocks.
The Demon Deacons limited Maryland Eastern Shore to 38.3% shooting. Their defensive activity helped turn a competitive stretch into a comfortable victory.
Outside shooting remains an area to improve.
Wake Forest made seven of 23 three-point attempts. More consistent perimeter production would make its offense considerably harder to defend.
Demon Deacons vs. Commodores Matchup
Vanderbilt has the more established backcourt. Tanner’s ability to attack defenders and distribute the basketball gives the Commodores a dependable offensive organizer.
Wake Forest must prevent easy penetration.
Forbes needs his defenders communicating through screens and closing out under control. Allowing Vanderbilt uncontested looks would make a difficult road assignment even worse.
Placide gives Wake Forest a capable interior option. His ability to finish around the basket could test Vanderbilt’s frontcourt defense.
The Commodores have the stronger returning foundation.
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Rebounding will matter for both clubs. Second-chance opportunities could become costly if either team loses its defensive assignments.
Wake Forest is still integrating several newcomers. Vanderbilt has more continuity, although neither club has faced an opponent of this caliber during the regular season.
Defensive discipline should be a major factor. Both coaches will want their teams executing rather than relying on individual scoring bursts.
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Vanderbilt Commodores bottom line: Vanderbilt has the stronger established roster, but Wake Forest’s defensive execution will determine how difficult this matchup becomes.
NCAA Stats
| Stat | Wake Forest | Vanderbilt |
|---|---|---|
| Points Per Game | 83.0 (158th) | 93.0 (90th) |
| FG % | 52.6 (79th) | 60.0 (10th) |
| 3 Point FG% | 30.4 (236th) | 36.8 (124th) |
| 3 Point Attempts | 23.0 (260th) | 19.0 (362nd) |
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Vanderbilt Commodores Basketball Betting Trends
- The Demon Deacons are 1-0 straight up in all games this season.
- Also, Wake Forest is 0-1 against the spread as a favorite.
- The over/under for Wake Forest is 0-1 in their last three games.
- The Commodores are 1-0 straight up as a favorite.
- Plus, Vanderbilt is 1-0 against the spread in their last three games.
- The over/under for Vanderbilt is 0-1 in all games this season.
Demon Deacons Commodores Free Pick: Under 154.5
Here is my Demon Deacons Commodores free pick: I’m betting Under 154.5. Vanderbilt’s 93-point opener looks impressive, but Bellarmine offered little resistance. I’m not treating that performance as the Commodores’ nightly scoring standard.
Wake Forest has enough offensive talent to contribute, but facing a ranked SEC opponent on the road is a different assignment. I expect more contested possessions and fewer comfortable looks than either team enjoyed Monday.
One night of easy baskets isn’t enough to convince me these teams deserve a total this high.
The danger is Vanderbilt turning turnovers into quick points. Wake Forest must avoid feeding that problem, particularly early when the home crowd gets involved.
I’m expecting the scoring to settle once the opening adrenaline wears off.
At this number, I’ll take my chances with the Under 154.5.
Today’s NCAAB Free Pick
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Vanderbilt Commodores on X
Doors open at 4pm 😎 https://t.co/M9CIK2DKLE
— Vanderbilt Men’s Basketball (@VandyMBB) November 5, 2026
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