
Free Pick: Jazz vs. Thunder Odds
Looking for Utah Jazz vs. OKC Thunder Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Jazz taking on the Thunder on 1/7 at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Jazz Thunder free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Utah Jazz vs. OKC Thunder
(12-23) Utah Jazz vs. OKC Thunder (30-7)
Date: Jan 7, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: The Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
NBA Moneyline Odds: Jazz +614 | Thunder -809 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Jazz +17.5 | Thunder -17.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 238.5
Here’s why I’m backing the favored Oklahoma City as per below in my Jazz Thunder free pick and gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Jazz vs. Thunder Gameday
It’s a full slate of 12 games in the NBA on Wednesday, including the Utah Jazz facing the OKC Thunder.
Utah arrives having last played on Monday in a 117-137 loss to the Portland Trail Blazers. Five Jazz scored in double figures with Lauri Markkanen dropping 22 points while Jusuf Nurkic delivered a double-double of 21 points and 12 rebounds.
Meanwhile, the Thunder have been reeling. After starting the season red hot they have cooled significantly with the 94-127 loss to the Hornets being the low point of their recent regression.
On Monday’s loss, OKC had five players score in double-digits with Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leading the way, scoring 21 points.
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2026 NBA Basketball Handicapping
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Utah Jazz vs. OKC Thunder Odds & Last 5
Last season, the Thunder rarely lost more than once versus any team, and the Jazz fell into that territory as OKC swept their four contests. This is their third meeting this season, with the Thunder up 2-0 in the series, on a seven game winning streak against Utah and have beaten the Jazz 12 of the last 13 times they’ve played.
Utah sits in the 13th seed with a record of 12-23, and have lost four games in-a-row . This is the final match of their four game road trip, then they’ll be home for two before hitting the road again for five.
OKC has the best record (30-7) in the NBA but is reeling having lost consecutive games and are 6-6 through the last 12 matches.
The Thunder are heavy favorites with a point spread of 17.5 points and an over/under of 238.5 points.
Jazz Stats
Utah ranks 14th offensively (114.8), 30th defensively (122), with the 26th net rating of (-7.1). The young Jazz play with the fourth fastest pace (102.62) in the league.
The West’s 12th seed averages 119.6 points per game, while its opponents average 127.0 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Utah averages 30.1 (2nd) and 44.4 (15th), respectively.
Team leaders* are Lauri Markkanen for scoring (27.7), Jusuf Nurkic for rebounding (9.6), Keyonte George for assists (6.8), Kyle Anderson for steals (1.5), and Kyle Filipowski blocks (0.5).
Perimeter shooting is a strength for Utah, as they shoot 35.6% as a team with seven players averaging over 36.1%.
*Minimum 10 games played
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Thunder Stats
OKC ranks fifth (118.3) on offense and first on defense (105.0). Additionally, the Thunder hold the top-ranked net rating (+13.3) and run the 12th-ranked pace (101.36).
The NBA’s top team averages 121.2 points per game while its opponents average 107.6 points. In terms of dimes and boards, OKC averages 25.8 (17th) and 43.9 (18th), respectively.
OKC’s team leaders* are Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for scoring (32.6 points) as well as for assists (6.4), Isaiah Hartenstein for rebounds (10.4), Cason Wallace for steals (2.1), and Chet Holmgren for blocks (1.8).
As for the perimeter, seven Thunder players shoot at least 36.7%, with the team shooting 36.5 overall (9th best).
*minimum 10 games
Utah Jazzvs. OKC Thunder bottom line:
A commonality of the teams that have beaten the Thunder exists as the Spurs, Blazers, Wolves and Hornets all have youngsters who can get out and run, plus they all play hard.
More concerning as far as this matchup goes is the Thunder have the 28th ranked perimeter defense while the Jazz shoot the 3-ball decently but with their pace will be getting up copious shots.
Utah Jazz vs. OKC Thunder Basketball Betting Trends
- Utah is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 11 of Utah’s last 16 games.
- Utah is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games against Oklahoma City.
- Also, Oklahoma City is 14-6 SU in its last 20 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma City’s last 5 games.
- Additionally, Oklahoma City is 17-3 SU in its last 20 games at home.
Jazz Thunder Free Pick: Thunder -17.5
Here is my Jazz Thunder free pick.
While the Thunder are in a funk, what they have going for them is their dominance of the Jazz and the fact it doesn’t behoove Utah to fight for wins when they are invested in tanking. Notably, they need to finish eighth or worst or the pick goes to… you guessed it … the Thunder!
While it might just be the dog days of winter catching up to the Thunder the recent regression does serve up some red flags. One is the play of Jalen Williams who is integrating back from wrist surgery and is struggling mightily from the perimeter. He also hasn’t been as aggressive attacking the paint.
It would’ve seemed like the third loss to the Spurs would’ve kicked the Thunder into gear but they continued to lose and struggle. However, the loss in such an embarrassing way to the Hornets will certainly have been the wakeup call needed.
Injuries are a factor as Isaiah Hartenstein, Jaylin Williams and three others are game time decisions.
Frequent readers know how much I abhor large spreads, but in this case and given the circumstances of their last loss I’m going with OKC to win and rout the Jazz.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
Best Sportsbooks For Utah Jazz vs. OKC Thunder NBA Gambling Today!
NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
HORNETS BUZZING: The Charlotte Hornets defeated the defending NBA champion Oklahoma City Thunder 124-97 last night, snapping OKC’s 24-game regular-season winning streak against Eastern Conference opponents. Charlotte improved to 9-4 when LaMelo Ball, Kon Knueppel, Miles Bridges,… pic.twitter.com/WF8fvjzKrl
— NBA (@NBA) January 6, 2026
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