Free Pick: Raptors vs. Wolves Odds
Looking for Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Raptors taking on the Wolves on 3/5 at the Target Center in Minneapolis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Raptors Wolves free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Toronto Raptors vs Minnesota Timberwolves
(35-26) Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (39-23)
Date: Mar 5, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: The Target Center, Minnesota
NBA Moneyline Odds: Raptors +205 | Wolves -228 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Raptors +6 | Wolves -6
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 226.5
Here’s why I’m backing the favored home team as outlined in my Raptors Wolves free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Raptors vs. Wolves Gameday
Thursday offers up a nine-game slate of NBA action, including the Toronto Raptors facing the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Both teams last played on Tuesday, with Toronto losing 95-111 to the New York Knicks. Four Raptors scored in double figures, with Brandon Ingram leading the charge, scoring 31 points, while Immanuel Quickley registered a double-double of 13 points and 12 assists.
Meanwhile, the Wolves collected a 117-110 victory over the Memphis Grizzlies. Four Wolves scored in double-figures, led by Anthony Edwards with 41 points, six rebounds, and five steals. Julius Randle registered a double-double of 23 points and 11 rebounds.
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Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds & Last 5
Last season, the teams split the regular series, while this year the Wolves are up 1-0 with this the final meeting of the year.
Over the last five games, the Raptors are 2-3 and are clinging to the fifth seed. The teams below them are closing in with the 76ers 1.5 games back and the Magic/Heat 2.5 games back. Cleveland has a three-game edge over Toronto.
Conversely, Minnesota has been on fire of late, winning seven of its last eight matches, helping them climb up to the fourth seed. The Wolves have an overall record of 39-23. Minny is essentially tied with the Rockets for third place, but sits in fourth due to tiebreakers.
Entering this matchup, the Timberwolves are six-point favorites to win with an over/under of 226.5 points.
Raptors Stats
Toronto ranks 17th offensively (113.7) and eighth defensively (112.1) while holding the 12th-best net rating (+1.7) and ranks tied for 21st in pace (99.25).
The East’s fifth seed averages 113.7 points per game while its opponents average 112 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Toronto averages 29.0 (fourth) and 42.6 (24th), respectively.
Toronto’s team leaders are Brandon Ingram for scoring (22 points), Immanuel Quickley for assists (6.1), Scottie Barnes for rebounds (8.1), steals (1.4), and blocks (1.6).
As for the perimeter, Toronto struggles from deep shooting an average of 34.6% while five* players shoot above the league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
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Wolves Stats
Minnesota is spitting out nines as they rank ninth offensively (116.5), ninth defensively (112.2), and ninth in net rating (+4.3), running a pace of 101.64, which also ranks ninth overall.
The West’s fourth-place Wolves average 26.4 assists (14th) and 44.8 rebounds (ninth). Minny scores 119.1 points per game while their opponents average 114.5 points.
The Wolves team leaders* are Anthony Edwards for scoring (29.7 points) and steals (1.4), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (11.5) and blocks (1.7), and Julius Randle for assists (5.3).
As for the perimeter, it’s a strength for the Wolves, who average 37.4% from deep with seven players shooting above the league average%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves bottom line:
If there is an obvious red flag about the Raptors, it’s their record versus the top 10 teams. They beat the underlings and middle tier but struggle against the big dogs.
Although they were in both the Spurs and Knicks matches into clutch time, it’s like the opponent flips a switch and Toronto simply can’t find theirs.
Toronto Raptors vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball Betting Trends
- Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 games against Minnesota.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Toronto’s last 8 games.
- Toronto is 11-5 SU in its last 16 games against Minnesota.
- Also, Minnesota is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 6 games
- Additionally, Minnesota is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games.
Raptors Wolves Free Pick: Wolves -13.5
Here is my Raptors Wolves free pick.
Much of the focus in the West has been on the Thunder and Spurs with the occasional nod to the Nuggets, but the Wolves rarely get mentioned. Let’s not forget this is the club that made it to the Conference Finals the last two seasons, and if we’re betting today, they’d have to be a top consideration to reach that benchmark again.
Will Rudy Gobert ever learn? Following Ant’s big 41 point effort the big man teased Edwards could’ve shared the ball more. This type of ill-timed bad joke is why players around the league aren’t big fans of the French man. Read the room Rudy!
It’s a little crazy how valuable rookie Collin Murray-Boyles has become to the Raptors. Yet, they really could’ve used him this past week in those close matches to help rebound and for his defensive chops. The fact that Toronto needs him also speaks to their lack of depth and specifcally players who rebound.
Although this pairing usually provides entertaining matches, the Wolves should’ve learned by now not to play with their food, so take them to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
TOMORROW.@nba_paint Night 👀 pic.twitter.com/WoYCgROdnK
— Minnesota Timberwolves (@Timberwolves) March 4, 2026
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