Free NBA Pick: Spurs vs. Nuggets NBA Odds
Looking for San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets free NBA picks & NBA Playoff odds? NBA betting sees the Spurs taking on the Nuggets on Saturday, April 13, 2019 at the Pepsi Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA playoff hoops predictions like this Spurs Nuggets matchup.
2019 NBA Playoffs – Round 1
(0-0) San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets (0-0)
Date: Saturday April 13
Time: 10:30PM EST
Venue: Pepsi Center, Denver, Colorado
NBA Moneyline Odds: San Antonio +185 / Denver -225
NBA Betting Odds: Denver -5.5
NBA Betting Total: 211
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San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs finished with 48 wins, tied with the LA Clippers at the bottom of the Western Conference Playoff bracket. They did win the tiebreak, however, and will get Denver in the first round, instead of the Warriors.
That gives San Antonio a fighter’s chance in the series. It’s healthy and has played well just about all season but the issue here is getting on the road. The Spurs will be favored in the home games but come into Game 1 as five-point underdogs in Denver.
It’s unbelievable that San Antonio’s two highest scorers are bad three-point shooters, yet the team leads the NBA in percentage on shots beyond the arc.
DeMar DeRozan and LaMarcus Aldridge average less than 20 percent on just over one three-point try per game, combined but Bryn Forbes, Davis Bertans, and Rudy Gay all shoot over 40 percent. Patty Mills is over 39 percent; and Marco Belinelli is close to 38.
As almost always, the Spurs have the experience on their side, as well as the best head coach, though Mike Malone is terrific and is a frontrunner for Coach of the Year.
San Antonio won both games at the AT&T Center against the Nuggets in the regular season but lost both at the Pepsi Center. The first loss was by a single possession and the second, and most recent, was by close to 20.
Popovich started Jakob Poeltl and played him for over 17 minutes in that final matchup. The slower-footed Poeltl matches up well with Nikola Jokic and gives the Spurs an advantage inside with Aldridge free to roam and slow down Paul Millsap.
San Antonio has what it takes to pretty much make it a grudge match inside with Poeltl and Aldridge neutralizing Millsap and Jokic. If that happens, the Spurs’ guards can win outside, though it isn’t a foregone conclusion, either.
Do you like Jamal Murray, Will Barton, Gary Harris, Monte Morris, Malik Beasley, and Torrey Craig, or do you prefer Belinelli, Forbes, Gay, Derrick White, DeRozan, and Davis Bertans? These two teams match up excellently.
My question is whether the Nuggets still have enough energy to be the team that ran and defended its way to 54 wins this season, or will San Antonio’s experience win out?
Ultimately, I like San Antonio a little bit better but the home court is a definitive advantage for the Nuggets, one that I’m not sure the Spurs will overcome because these two teams are so closely matched.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Under is 9-0 in SA last 9 vs. Western Conference.
- Under is 7-2 in SA last 9 road games.
- Under is 16-5 in SA last 21 overall.
- Under is 14-3 in DEN last 17 games as a favorite.
- Under is 21-7 in DEN last 28 overall.
- Head to Head: SA are 21-8 ATS in the last 29 meetings in Denver.
- Head to Head: Favorite is 10-4 ATS in the last 14 meetings.
Free San Antonio Spurs vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction: Denver in Game 1.
The spread feels too close to call but these are two teams that will ratchet up the defense. I lean under and also lean San Antonio keeping it close enough to cover the spread in the first half.
4* Free NBA Playoff Betting Pick: Spurs +3 (1H)
NBA Free Game 1 Score Prediction: San Antonio 102 – Denver 106
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