Free Pick: Suns vs. Wolves Odds
Looking for Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Suns taking on the Wolves on 3/17 at the Target Center in Minneapolis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Suns Wolves free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Phoenix Suns vs Minnesota Timberwolves
(39-29) Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (41-27)
Date: Mar 17, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: The Target Center, Minnesota
NBA Moneyline Odds: Suns +149 | Wolves -190 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Suns +4 | Wolves -4
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 221.5
Here’s why I’m backing the hometown favorites as outlined in my Suns Wolves free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Suns vs. Wolves Gameday
Tuesday serves up an NBA slate of eight games, including the Phoenix Suns facing the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Phoenix is completing a back-to-back set, having lost 112-120 in Boston on Monday. Four Suns scored in double figures, led by Devin Booker with 40 points, six assists, and a block.
Meanwhile, the Wolves last played on Sunday in a losing 103-116 effort to the OKC Thunder. Four Wolves scored in double figures, led by Julius Randle with 32 points, seven rebounds, and six assists.
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Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds & Last 5
Last season, the Wolves absolutely dominated this matchup, taking all four contests. This year, the teams have played two of their three scheduled matches, with the Suns up 2-0.
Phoenix sits in the seventh seed in the West with a record of 30-29. They trail the Wolves and Nuggets by two games while they hold a five-game edge over the Clippers. In their last five, the Suns are 3-2. This game is the fifth on their road trip, which will finish in San Antonio on Thursday.
Conversely, Minnesota has hit a rough patch of late, losing four of its last five matches. The Wolves have fallen to the sixth seed in the West with a 41-27 record. Minny is in a virtual tie with the Nuggets, and trails the Rockets by a half game. They’ll play five of their next six contests at home.
Entering this matchup, the Timberwolves are four-point favorites to win with an over/under of 221.5 points.
Suns Stats
Phoenix ranks 18th offensively (114.1) and tied for ninth defensively (113.0) while holding a tie for 15th in net rating (+1.1) and ranks 25th in pace (98.14).
The West’s seventh seed averages 112.5 points per game while their opponents average 111.3 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Phoenix averages 24.7 (25th) and 43.0 (21st), respectively.
Phoenix’s team leaders* are Devin Booker for scoring (25.7 points) and assists (6.0, Mark Williams for rebounds (8.1) and blocks (0.9), and Grayson Allen for steals (1.6).
Perimeter shooting is a strength for the Suns, who shoot 36.3 percent from deep with three players shooting above the league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
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Wolves Stats
Minnesota ranks 12th offensively (116.1), tied for 11th defensively (113.1), and 11th in net rating (+3.0), running a pace of 101.47, which ranks ninth overall.
The West’s sixth-place Wolves average 26.1 assists (16th) and 44.4 rebounds (11th). Minny scores 118.5 points per game while their opponents average 115.2 points.
The Wolves team leaders* are Anthony Edwards for scoring (29.5 points) and steals (1.4), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (11.2) and blocks (1.6), a bit shocking is Julius Randle for assists (5.1).
As for the perimeter, it’s a strength for the Wolves who average 37.2% from deep with seven players shooting above the league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves bottom line:
The Wolves had a great opportunity to leapfrog up the ladder, but instead the Lakers took advantage, and now Minny has just 14 games to make a move.
Of those matches, 10 are against teams sitting in playoff or play-in positions, so they have their work cut out for them.
Similarly, Phoenix will play 14 more matches with nine opponents currently on the postseason ladder.
Phoenix Suns vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball Betting Trends
- Phoenix is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Phoenix’s last 6 games.
- Phoenix is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games.
- Also, Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 9 games.
- Additionally, Minnesota is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games played in March.
Suns Wolves Free Pick: Wolves -4
Here is my Suns Wolves free pick.
The Timberwolves have not been good since returning from the break experiencing slippage on both ends of the court.
While their four out of five losses all came against postseason-ranked teams, they weren’t really in any of those matches.
Minny is only two games up on the Suns, and while they sit in sixth, are within striking distance of the Nuggets (even), Rockets (half game back) and Lakers (two games back).
Devin Booker and Jalen Green have discovered chemistry in the backcourt and have been putting up heaters in their recent games. They’ll need another strong effort given the rest disadvantage and the emphasis on how important winning this game is.
To that end, as much as the Wolves are flailing, I’ll take them given the rest advantage to win and cover,
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
The Minnesota Timberwolves or Memphis Grizzlies are expected to move to the Eastern Conference if expansion is approved, per @ShamsCharania pic.twitter.com/rhb2zjETvD
— Fullcourtpass (@Fullcourtpass) March 16, 2026
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