Free NBA Pick: 76ers vs. Heat NBA Odds
Looking for Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the 76ers taking on the Heat on Tuesday, May 10th, 2022 at FTX Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this 76ers Heat matchup.
2022 NBA Playoffs Handicapping Round 2
(2-2) Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat (2-2)
Date: Tuesday, May 10th
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
NBA Moneyline Odds: 76ers +144 | Heat -143 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Heat -3.5
NBA Betting Total: 209.5
Game five of the Eastern Conference semi-finals between the fourth-seeded Philadelphia 76ers and top-seeded Miami Heat tips off on Tuesday, May 10th with the teams knotted at 2-2 in the series.
The teams split the 2021-22 season series 2-2 while the Heat holds the all-time advantage having won 67 times of the club’s 131 regular-season meetings.
This is the third time the clubs are playing in the postseason with each team taking one series. The Heat won the 4-1 in the first round of 2011 while the 76ers returned the favor in 2018 winning 4-1 in the first round.
Every team that wins a championship will have to win four series and also experience some luck along the way. For the 76ers it sure seemed like they were on the losing side of that equation when their superstar Joel Embiid was felled by injuries.
He’d already been battling a sore thumb that will require offseason surgery to repair ligament damage then suffered a concussion and broken orbital bone in the closing minutes of the Game 6 match that clinched their progression to round 2.
After falling behind 0-2 in the series to Miami and with Embiid still struggling to pass concussion protocols it seemed likely this series would be over in four or five games.
Then just prior to Game 3, Embiid cleared protocols and was able to return to the hardcourt. Flash forward to Game 5 and suddenly the series is tied, Embiid has given his teammates newfound confidence and it’s the Heat with several players dealing with nagging injuries.
While Philly’s others struggled in Miami they feasted at home with Danny Green specifically becoming an x-factor in both games at Wells Fargo. In Miami, Green shot 1 of 5 and 1 of 9 from the perimeter in the first two games accumulating five and three total points.
That changed in Game 3 with him scoring 21 points making 7 of 9 from deep following it up with 11 points on 3 of 4 from deep in Game 4.
Joel Embiid (24 points, 11 rebounds) delivered another double-double in his second game back. Yet, the big news Sunday was James Harden who finally broke the 30-point barrier for just the second time since joining the 76ers and the first time in 15 matches.
Specifically, Harden offered 31 points (8 of 18), seven rebounds, and nine assists while making six of his 10 perimeter attempts – – the most he’s ever scored with his new team and only the second time he hit four or more this postseason.
All five starters reached double-figures including Tyrese Maxey (18) and Tobias Harris (13), plus reserve Georges Niang (10).
Isaiah Joe (knee) missed the game Sunday and is questionable for Tuesday.
With Embiid back, the lack of size for the core Heat players was highlighted as were the copious nagging injuries. Although the offense runs more smoothly and efficiently now that Kyle Lowry is back he is noticeably still plagued by his sore hamstring.
Jimmy Butler is countering Embiid as being unstoppable and was the one player that kept the opportunity to grab the win plausible until late in the final frame offering 40 points on 13 of 20, three rebounds, six assists, two steals, and two blocks.
Bam Adebayo bounced back from a poor effort in the prior match scoring 21 points with seven rebounds. Reserves Victor Oladipo (16) and Tyler Herro (11) were the other double-figure contributors but the latter was far from his most efficient self.
Tyler Herro (ankle), Kyle Lowry (hamstring), Caleb Martin (ankle), Max Strus (hamstring), PJ Tucker (calf), Gabe Vincent (knee), and Dewayne Dedmon (illness) are all questionable for Tuesday.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Philadelphia is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games on the road.
- Miami is 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Philadelphia’s last 9 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Miami’s last 9 games.
- 76ers are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 playoff games as an underdog.
- Heat are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games as a favorite.
Free Philadelphia 76ers vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
The Miami Heat led 3-point shooting efficiency (second in defending the perimeter) in the regular season and had carried that through the first round of the playoffs.
That’s not been the case in the second round with only one strong showing to date. Specifically, they shot 25% (9 of 26) in Game 1, 23.3% (7 of 30) in Game 3, and 20% (7 of 35) in Game 4 with the only strong outing occurring in Game 2 when they shot 48.3% (14 of 29).
Diving deeper – the 76ers factor into this perimeter equation as they shot 32 of 66 (48.8%) in Philly but shot 14 of 64 (21.8%) in Miami.
While the perimeter will play a huge part in the series the key will be whether Philly can bring their renewed sense of confidence on the road and conversely how the Heat responds to consecutive losses.
Jimmy Butler has been the best player in the series but needs help from at least one or two others and with Lowry tweaking his hamstring it’s also going to mean someone on the Heat needs to push the pace on offense, which I believe they’ll do in Game 5.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Heat ATS
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