Free NBA Pick: Thunder vs. Timberwolves NBA Odds
Looking for OKC Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Thunder taking on the Timberwolves on Friday, April 14th, 2023 at Target Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Thunder Timberwolves matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping – OKC Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
(41-42) OKC Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves (42-41)
Date: Friday, April 14th
Time: 9:30 PM EST
Venue: Target Center
Moneyline NBA Odds: Thunder +185 | Timberwolves -215 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Wolves -5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 228.5
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The final event of the Play-In Tournament features the Minnesota Timberwolves hosting the OKC Thunder in a single elimination match.
Its win or go home time with the successful team cementing the eighth seed and moving on to face the Denver Nuggets in the first round of postseason play.
The Thunder are 48-34-1 overall against the spread this season and they are 24-17-1 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Timberwolves are 39-43 against the spread this season. Also, they are 18-23 ATS as the home team.
Minny took three of four matches this season winning on October 19th (115-108), and 23rd (116-106), plus December 16th (112-110) while the Thunder won on December 3rd (132-128).
Last season the clubs played four times with the Timberwolves sweeping the season series. The Thunder hold the all-time record with 88 wins in 132 matches versus the Wolves.
If you’re a frequent reader, and caught my preview for the match in New Orleans, I hope you took my advice to take the points and the Thunder to beat the Pelicans and used my x-factors to help your prop bets.
Typically young inexperienced squads get exposed to the added pressure and more aggressive defenses of the postseason. Wednesday’s win was the perfect example of why this squad overachieved and has one of the brightest futures of the copious young teams.
A word that describes the Thunder identity is ‘poise’ which stems from the even-keeled demeanor of both their head coach Mark Daigneault and star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
As projected SGA was hounded by Herb Jones but he still produced his typical averages, but it was 20-year-old Josh Giddey (31 points, nine rebounds, 10 assists) playing in his first postseason game that was the x-factor falling one rebound shy of a triple-double.
Offensively, the Thunder scores 117.5 points per game ranking fifth while shooting 46.5% from the field and 35.6% from deep ranking 24th and 17th respectively.
Meanwhile, OKC limits opponents to 116.4 points per game ranking 19th with them shooting 47.4% from the field and 35.8% from deep ranking 17th and 15th respectively.
To summarize the injury report…
- Aleksej Pokusevski, SF ( OUT —knee)
- Kenrich Williams SF (OUT for season —wrist: scapholunate ligament surgery)
- Chet Holmgren, PF (OUT for season— foot)
With Rudy Gobert watching the game from home and Jaden McDaniels sitting on the bench with a self-inflicted fractured hand the Timberwolves shocked the Lakers outplaying them through three quarters.
Unfortunately, Anthony Edwards had an off shooting night and while Minny forced overtime they stopped doing the things that helped them gain the lead early and succumbed in overtime.
Minnesota opponents score 115.8 points per game ranking 18th while the Wolves limit them to 47.1% from the field and 36.9% from deep ranking 11th and 24th respectively.
On offense, the Wolves score 115.8 points per game ranking 13th while shooting 49% from the field and 36.5% from the perimeter ranking third and 13th respectively.
To summarize the injury report… (note: the Wolves played Saturday so they haven’t updated their injury report yet)
- Karl-Anthony Towns (questionable —calf)
- Rudy Gobert (questionable —back)
- Jaylen Nowell SG (questionable — knee, tendinopathy)
- Jaden McDaniels SF (OUT indefinitely —hand)
- Naz Reid, C (OUT indefinitely —wrist, scaphoid fracture)
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OKC Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Trends:
- At this point, the Thunder are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games
- Also, the Thunder are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Minnesota.
- By comparison, the Wolves are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
- In conclusion, the Wolves are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 home games.
Free OKC Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Prediction:
As noted in my preview for the Wednesday match, big men are an issue for the Thunder who rely on rookie Jaylin Williams and Dario Saric to handle the center role.
I projected Jonas Valanciunas would be one of the Pelicans’ x-factors for that very reason and he delivered with 16 points and 18 rebounds. And therein lies the problem for the Thunder versus the Wolves who’ll presumably have 7’1″ Rudy Gobert back and 6’11” Karl-Anthony Towns to deal with.
That said, without Jaden McDaniels, the Wolves are missing the best defender to put on SGA and while Mike Conley has veteran savvy, the height of Giddey could prove problematic.
What has me leaning toward the potential upset is Anthony Edwards’ health. He didn’t just have a bad shooting night, he played through a hurt shoulder which was reflected in his abysmal 3 of 17 shooting performance.
Last season the Wolves celebrated like they won a title following their play-in win while the Thunder reaction Wednesday was the polar opposite. Check out SGA’s interactions with teammates as he confidently strode off the court and the knowing looks they exchanged.
SGA and his teammates expect to win and are a unified group, again, in direct contrast to the Wolves who clearly have issues in that locker room which is why I’m again rolling with the upset.
4* Free OKC Thunder vs. Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Pick: Thunder +5.5
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