Free NBA Pick: Knicks vs. Heat NBA Odds
Looking for New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Knicks taking on the Heat on Saturday, May 6th, 2023 at FTX Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Knicks Heat matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping – New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
(1-1) New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat (1-1)
Date: Saturday, May 6th
Time: 3:30 PM EST
Venue: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
Moneyline NBA Odds: Knicks +154 | Heat -174 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Heat -4
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 208
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The semi-finals series between the New York Knicks and Miami Heat shifts venues with the next two games in South Beach and the series all even.
New York got back in the series with a 111-105 Game 2 victory with ankle injuries becoming a talking point in the series.
ATS
At this time, the Knicks are 49-37-3 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 28-15-1 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Heat are 37-51-3 against the spread this season. Also, they are 17-26-2 ATS as the home team.
Season Series
This season the Knicks won the regular season series 3-1 including victories on February 2nd (106-104), March 3rd (122-120), and March 29th (101-92) while the Heat won the March 22nd match (127-120).
Last season the clubs played three times with the Heat taking two of the three regular-season contests. The Knicks hold the all-time record with 69 wins in 134 matches versus the Heat.
This is the sixth occasion these clubs are meeting in the postseason with the Knicks holding the 3-2 advantage while Miami won the last meeting between the squads 4-1 in 2012.
New York Knicks
Getting Julius Randle back made a major impact for the Knicks as he collected a double-double offering 25 points and 12 rebounds plus eight assists.
Randle injured his ankle in the last game of the first round and missed Game 1 while Jalen Brunson is said to also be dealing with a sore ankle although he scored 30 points hitting six of his 10 attempted 3-pointers.
The Knicks’ x-factor was Josh Hart who continued to start and flirted with a triple-double (14 points, 11 rebounds, 9 assists).
Stats
As can be seen, the Knicks are one of the best defensive teams in the association they limit opponents to 113.1 points which is 13th-ranked while possessing the third-best opponent field goal percentage of 46.2% and also ranks 12th for opponent perimeter percentage of 35.7%.
So far, offensively, the Knicks score 116 points per game ranking 11th while shooting 46.7% from the field and 35.4% from the perimeter ranking 20th and 19th respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Jalen Brunson PG (probable—ankle)
- Jericho Sims C (questionable—shoulder)
Miami Heat
Despite Jimmy Butler being out the Heat continued to battle and kept Game 2 much closer than most expected. Caleb Martin got the nod to start and answered the call leading Miami in scoring with 22 points.
The expectation was Bam Adebayo (15 points, 8 rebounds, 6 assists) would have a larger role offensively but he seemed content to focus on defense and playmaking.
Stats
Offensively, the Heat scores 109.5 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 46% from the field and 34.4% from the perimeter ranking 26th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.8 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.2% from the field and 36.7% from the perimeter with both efficiency categories ranking 22nd.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Jimmy ButlerSG (questionable— ankle)
- Caleb Martin SG (probable—back)
- Haywood Highsmith SG (probable—knee)
- Victor Oladipo SG (OUT— knee)
- Tyler Herro SG (OUT— fingers/hand)
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New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Knicks are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games.
- Also, the Knicks are 2-7 SU in their last 9 games when playing on the road against Miami.
- By comparison, the Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
- In conclusion, the Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games at home.
Free New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
Rebounding was key in Game 2 with the Knicks winning the battle 50-34 which was somewhat expected given the lack of big men or height on Miami.
As for the questions about who’ll play, it’s notable that Butler did take part in practice prior to Game 2 and wanted to play but the team wisely gave him the extra days off to help his ankle heal.
Given those fact, I’d bet heavily on Butler playing and with him back in the lineup I like the Heat to take the series lead.
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