Free NBA Pick: Knicks vs. Heat NBA Odds
Looking for New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Knicks taking on the Heat on Friday, May 12th, 2023 at the Kaseya Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Knicks Heat matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping – New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat
(2-3) New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat (3-2)
Date: Friday, May 12th
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: Kaseya Center, Miami, Florida
Moneyline NBA Odds: Knicks +190| Heat -220 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Heat -5.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 208.5
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Game 6 between the New York Knicks and Miami Heat tips off on Friday, May 12th at the Kaseya Center in South Beach, Miami. New York extended the series with a 112-103 victory on Wednesday.
Miami can clinch an Eastern Conference Finals berth with a win while the Knicks will be attempting to force a Game 7 back at Madison Square Gardens and avoid being eliminated.
At this time, the Knicks are 50-39-3 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 28-1-1 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Heat are 39-52-3 against the spread this season. Also, they are 19-26-2 ATS as the home team.
This season the Knicks won the regular season series 3-1 including victories on February 2nd (106-104), March 3rd (122-120), and March 29th (101-92) while the Heat won the March 22nd match (127-120).
Last season the clubs played three times with the Heat taking two of the three regular-season contests. The Knicks hold the all-time record with 69 wins in 134 matches versus the Heat.
This is the sixth occasion these clubs are meeting in the postseason with the Knicks holding the 3-2 advantage while Miami won the last meeting between the squads 4-1 in 2012.
New York Knicks
With their season on the line, Tom Thibodeau pulled out all the stops playing Jalen Brunson and Quentin Grimes all 48 minutes of Game 5.
Brunson delivered 38 points (12 of 22), nine rebounds, and seven assists. Grimes was on the court more for his defensive abilities. RJ Barrett and Julius Randle also stepped up scoring 26 and 24 respectively.
Thibs using two players the entirety of the game was excessive but considering the Heat reserves outscored the Knicks 42 to 8 it’s obvious why he did it.
As can be seen, the Knicks are one of the best defensive teams in the association they limit opponents to 113.1 points which is 13th-ranked while possessing the third-best opponent field goal percentage of 46.2% and also ranks 12th for opponent perimeter percentage of 35.7%.
So far, offensively, the Knicks score 116 points per game ranking 11th while shooting 46.7% from the field and 35.4% from the perimeter ranking 20th and 19th respectively.
To summarize the injury report…
- Immanuel Quickley PG (questionable—knee)
- Evan Fournier SG (upgraded to probable—illness)
- Jericho Sims C (questionable—shoulder)
Jimmy Butler hadn’t scored less than 25 points in a playoff game this year until Wednesday at MSG when he produced 19 points. Although he did impact all other aspects of the game with seven rebounds, nine assists, four steals, and two blocks.
He was joined by four other teammates who collected double-digits including Bam Adebayo (18), Max Strus (14), Duncan Robinson (17), and Martin (11).
Offensively, the Heat scores 109.5 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 46% from the field and 34.4% from the perimeter ranking 26th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.8 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.2% from the field and 36.7% from the perimeter with both efficiency categories ranking 22nd.
To summarize the injury report…
- Jimmy Butler SG (probable — ankle)
- Haywood Highsmith SG (probable — knee)
- Caleb Martin SG (probable — back)
- Victor Oladipo SG (OUT— knee)
- Tyler Herro SG (OUT— fingers/hand)
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New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Knicks are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- Also, the Knicks are 7-13 SU in their last 20 games against Miami.
- By comparison, the Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.
- In conclusion, the Heat are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
Free New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
Kudos to the Knicks who fell behind early in Game 5 but never gave up. It would’ve been easy to raise the white flag knowing how hard the path is for them to advance.
Doing that in front of hometown fans is far easier than on the road so expect Erik Spoeltra’s game plan to include jumping on the Knicks from the tip — building an early sizeable lead and riding it to victory.
I’m not shading the Knicks when I say they were the least likely of the eight semi-finalists to advance. Their core is young without a ton of playoff experience (Brunson has the most which says a lot) and need to add some shooting to take the next step.
They are scrappy and could surprise to force a Game 7 back at MSG — but I just can’t see Butler, Spoelstra, or Lowry allowing that to happen. Especially knowing they could be resting watching the Celts and 76ers who were forced into a Game 7 battle.
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