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2023 NBA Handicapping – Knicks vs. Miami
(42-31) New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat (39-34)
Date: Wednesday, March 22
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: Miami-Dade Arena, Miami, Florida
Moneyline Odds: Knicks +110 | Heat -125 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Knicks +1.5 | Heat -1.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 220.5
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First thing to remember, the road Knicks come into this one off a 140-134 home loss to the Minnesota Timberwolves—a game in which they entered as 8-point favorites and failed to cover for the first time in the last four outings.
The home Heat come into this one off a 112-100 road win over the Detroit Pistons, in which they entered as 10-point favorites and covered for the second time in three games but also just the second time in their last five overall.
Without any further ado, let’s get to this New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat matchup.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and ranKnicks are current during games on Tuesday, March 21. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Wednesday, March 22.
ATS
The Knicks are 40-30-3 overall against the spread on the season, 24-12 ATS as the away team and 6-4 ATS in their last 10 overall.
Additionally, the Heat are 26-44-3 against the spread on the season, 11-24-2 ATS as the home team and 4-6 ATS in their last 10 overall.
Season Series
So far, these teams have faced off twice during the 2022-23 regular season.
- Thursday, February 2 @ New York: Knicks 106 – Heat 104
- Friday, March 3 @ Miami: Knicks 122 – Heat 120
Wednesday marks the third of four total meetings between these two squads.
Knicks
Season Stats
Offense
Overall, the Knicks enter this one scoring 114.2 points per game—a number that ranks 14th in the league.
When looking at the advanced stats, the Knicks score 114.4 points per 100 possessions. That number puts them in the No. 26 spot so far this season.
Defense
Overall, defensively, this team is allowing 112.6 points per game. That number ranks 11th in the Association.
When looking at Defensive Efficiency, this group gives up 111.3 per 100 possessions—a number that ranks 12th across the league.
New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Duane Washington Jr., PG (OUT)
- Trevor Keels, G (Day-to-Day)
Miami Heat
Season Stats
Offense
The Heat enter this one scoring 109 points per game—a number that ranks 30th across the NBA.
Also, when looking at the advanced stats, the Heat score 109.6 points per 100 possessions, putting them in the No. 25 spot so far this season.
Defense
Defensively, this team is allowing 109.5 points per game, which ranks 2nd in the Association.
When looking at Defensive Efficiency, this group gives up 109.9 per 100 possessions, which ranks 7th.
New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat Injury Report
Summarizing the injury report…
- Caleb Martin, SF (Questionable—knee)
- Kyle Lowry, PG (Questionable—knee_
- Cody Zeller, C (OUT—nose)
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New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat Betting Trends:
- Knicks are 11-4-1 ATS in their last 16 games overall
- Knicks are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning SU record
- Knicks are 35-16 ATS in their last 51 road games
- Heat are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games playing on 2 days rest
- Heat are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 games following a SU win of more than 10 points
Free New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
In the two games we’ve seen Miami and New York face off this season, both ended in the same result. They were Knicks wins SU by exactly two points—one at home and one on the road.
In the Knicks’ home game, New York failed to cover as 3-point favorites. Then, in the game in Miami about a month later, the line was set at EVEN before tip-off.
Another Close One?
According to oddsmakers, the Heat are slight favorites at -1.5.
However, ESPN.com’s Matchup Predictor leans toward the Knicks in 55.7 percent of the time.
If you ask me, there’s no reason to expect much different between these two teams than what we’ve seen before.
Give this one to the road Kncis by—you guessed it—two points.
4* Free New York Knicks vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Pick: NYK +1.5
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