Free NBA Pick: Pelicans vs. Thunder NBA Odds
Looking for New Orleans Pelicans vs. OKC Thunder free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Pelicans taking on the Thunder on Wednesday, November 1st, at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City Oklahoma. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Pelicans Thunder matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping New Orleans Pelicans vs. OKC Thunder
(2-1) New Orleans Pelicans vs. OKC Thunder (3-1)
Date: Wednesday, November 1st
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Moneyline NBA Odds: Pelicans +125 | Thunder -147 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Thunder -3.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 225.5
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New Orleans Pelicans are on the road to their hosts the OKC Thunder. Both teams played on Monday with the Pelicans taking their first loss in a 102-130 trouncing at the hands of the Warriors while the Thunder got back in the win column with a 124-112 victory versus the Pistons.
Season Series
The Pelicans won three of the four matches between the Western Conference rivals last season. Oklahoma City holds the all-time record between the squads with 40 victories in 71 matches.
New Orleans Pelicans
I wondered if it was fool’s gold how well New Orleans was playing especially considering their wins featured an undermanned Grizzlies squad and the Knicks playing in a back-to-back match.
Still, no one expected them to get so thoroughly routed by the Golden State Warriors. The loss may be more a factor of how seamlessly Chris Paul has fit in with the Dubs than the Pelicans loss but what stood out was the difficulty the Pels had in stopping a strong offense.
Pelicans Stats
In week one the Pelicans ranked 27th offensively (101.5), first defensively (93.6), and notched the seventh-best net differential with a plus +7.8.
Next week those stats will shift as the early season is wont to do coupled with a 28-point loss on Monday to the Dubs.
Pelicans Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Brandon Ingram, SF (questionable —knee)
- Naji Marshall, SF (OUT indefinitely—knee)
- Trey Murphy III, SF (OUT indefinitely—knee)
- Jose Alvarado, PG, (OUT indefinitely—ankle)
OKC Thunder
Anyone who doubted the OKC Thunder were ready to take a leap needs to reassess as Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Co. have provided solid evidence the time is now with a 3-1 start.
Sure they lost a game in spectacular fashion, but to be fair it was against the defending champions who look like they are already in mid-season form.
Thunder Stats
Week one found the Thunder posting rankings of 17th offensively (108.3), and 19th on defense (112.7) while they registered a net differential of minus -4.4 rating 20th overall.
In fairness, the blowout against the Nuggets impacted the numbers but in small sample sizes that’s to be expected.
Thunder Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Kenrich Williams, SF (downgraded to OUT —back)
- Jaylin Williams, C (OUT indefinitely—hamstring)
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Nuggets vs. Thunder NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Pelicans are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games
- New Orleans is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games against Oklahoma City.
- Also, the total has gone under in 5 of New Orleans’ last 5 games on the road.
- By comparison, the Thunder are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games.
- The Thunder are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games when playing at home against New Orleans.
- Additionally, Oklahoma City is 8-3 SU in their last 11 games at home.
Free New Orleans Pelicans vs. OKC Thunder NBA Prediction:
Something the Thunder will need to clean up is protecting the rim as they allowed the Nuggets to score 72 points in the paint.
Equally concerning is production when SGA sits. To wit, OKC scores 114 points per 100 possessions with him on the court but dips to 91.1 ppp when he sits. That’s simply too large of a variance and something Mark Daigneault will need to address as the schedule progresses.
In comparison, the Pelicans are struggling to score when their big 3 are on the floor together (Williamson, Ingram, McCollum) performing better with CJ on his own or Zion and Ingram without McCollum which might not be a factor in this match with Ingram uncertain to play.
OKC is in the middle of their longest home stand having split the first two games and I like them to take this match and cover.
4* Free New Orleans Pelicans vs. OKC Thunder NBA Betting Pick: Thunder ATS
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