Free Pick: Timberwolves vs. Spurs Odds
Looking for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Timberwolves taking on the Spurs on 12/31 at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Timberwolves Spurs free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Minnesota Timberwolves vs San Antonio Spurs
(27-14) Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs (28-14)
Date: Jan 17, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
NBA Moneyline Odds: Timberwolves +210 | Spurs -250 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Timberwolves +6.5 | Spurs -6.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 228.5
Here’s why I’m backing the underdog Minnesota as outlined below in my Timberwolves Spurs free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Timberwolves vs. Spurs Gameday
Saturday offers a nine-game slate of NBA action, including the Minnesota Timberwolves traveling to face the San Antonio Spurs.
Minnesota is playing a back-to-back set, having played Friday in a 105-110 losing effort to the Houston Rockets. Anthony Edwards remained sidelined with a foot injury. Four Wolves scored in double figures, with Julius Randle scoring 39 points while Naz Reid delivered 25 points in his reserve role.
The Spurs last played on Thursday, spanking the Milwaukee Bucks 119-101. Six Spurs scored in double-figures, led by Victor Wembanyama, who offered 22 points and 10 rebounds, while Stephon Castle also registered a double-double (19 points/10 assists).
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last year, the Wolves dominated, taking the season series three games to one. Minny is also up 2-0 this season, giving them five consecutive wins over the Spurs.
Minny has been on fire of late, going 4-1 in their last five matches, and 12-5 since mid-December. They’ve moved up to the fourth seed in the West with a 27-15 record and are on the heels of the Spurs and Nuggets, just 1.5 games back of them both.
On the season, the Spurs hold the second seed with a 28-13 record, but have played closer to .500 since they beat the Thunder on Christmas. To wit, San Antonio is 5-6 since that big holiday win and has losses to lower-tier clubs like Utah, Portland, and Memphis.
The oddsmakers are favoring San Antonio to win by 6.5 points with an over/under of 228.5 points.
Timberwolves Stats
Minnesota ranks sixth offensively (117.4), tied for seventh defensively (112.4), and tied for sixth in net rating (+5.0), running a pace of 101.27, which ranks 13th overall.
The West’s fourth-place Wolves average 27.0 assists (10th) and 44.8 rebounds (tied for 10th). Minny scores 120.0 points per game while their opponents average 114.5 points.
The Wolves team leaders* are Anthony Edwards for scoring (28.9 points) and steals (1.3), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (11.4) and blocks (1.7), and Julius Randle for assists (5.7).
As for the perimeter, the Wolves average 37.4% from deep with six players shooting above 36.1%.
*minimum 10 games played
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Spurs Stats
San Antonio ranks 10th offensively (116.4) and third defensively (111.4) while it is tied for sixth in net rating (+5.0) and 14th in pace (100.77).
The West’s second seed averages 117.6 points per game while its opponents average 112.5 points. In terms of dimes and boards, San Antonio averages 25.6 (17th) and 46.8 (second), respectively.
San Antonio’s team leaders* are Victor Wembanyama, who is tops in scoring (23.9 points), rebounding (10.9), and blocks (2.7), while Stephon Castle leads the Spurs in assists (6.9) and De’Aaron Fox leads in steals (1.3).
As for perimeter shooting, the Spurs have seven players shooting above the league average, but as a team, they shoot 34.8%.
*minimum 10 games played
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs bottom line: Like all squads, health is a key factor in how they perform, and coming into this match Saturday, both the Wolves and Spurs are dealing with core member injuries.
Minnesota has competed, but is missing Anthony Edwards, who is listed as a game-time decision due to a foot injury. Likewise, the Spurs are dealing with uncertainty about Stephon Castle, who is sick with an illness and will be a game-time decision.
If one club gets its star back, they’ll have a decided edge.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. San Antonio Spurs Basketball Betting Trends
- Minnesota is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Minnesota’s last 5 games on the road.
- Minnesota is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against San Antonio.
- Also, San Antonio is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of San Antonio’s last 8 games.
- Additionally, San Antonio is 13-7 SU in its last 20 games.
Timberwolves Spurs Free Pick: Wolves +6.5
Here is my Timberwolves Spurs free pick. Certainly, the Wolves playing on Friday will work in the Spurs’ favor as they sat watching. Minny has performed well in the second games of back-to-backs, winning on four of the six occasions.
San Antonio has struggled since the NBA Cup, particularly on offense.
These teams met recently (Jan 11th) with Minny edging the Spurs 104-103. Diving into the stats, they have a very similar mark in several categories, which begs the question – which team is deeper? Because the x-factors off the bench could very well push one team over the top.
It feels like this is just a bad matchup for San Antonio, and while Edwards is questionable, his presence would push Minny over the edge. I’m banking on that being the case, so I’ll take the points.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Victor Wembanyama created the San Antonio Spurs’ new European-style fan section that he hopes will change American sports fandom.
They’re more than a group of loud fans. They’re a source of civic pride.
Introducing: The Jackals. pic.twitter.com/aColrvBVch
— The Athletic (@TheAthletic) January 15, 2026
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