Free NBA Pick: Timberwolves vs. Thunder NBA Odds
Looking for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. OKC Thunder free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Timberwolves taking on the Thunder on Wednesday, May 28th, at Paycom Center, Oklahoma City Oklahoma. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Timberwolves Thunder matchup.
2025 NBA Playoffs Handicapping Minnesota Timberwolves vs. OKC Thunder
(1-3) Minnesota Timberwolves vs. OKC Thunder (3-1)
Date: Wednesday, May 28th
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Venue: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK
Moneyline NBA Odds: Timberwolves +290 | Thunder -370 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Thunder -8.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 220.5
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Wednesday features Game 5 of the Western Conference Finals between the Minnesota Timberwolves and the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Monday’s match offered the most competitive game of the series, with OKC winning 128-126, and they will now attempt to become the first team to secure a spot in the NBA Finals.
Season Series
Each of the last two seasons, these teams have split the four regular-season meetings while OKC holds the all-time record between the squads with 92 victories in 140 matches.
This is just the second time the clubs are meeting in the playoffs, although it was the Seattle Supersonics who won that original series 3-2.
Minnesota Timberwolves
After their best win of the postseason, the Wolves’ others stepped up in Game 4, but stars Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle had relatively quiet and inefficient nights.
AntMan finished with 16 points on 5 of 13 shooting and 1 of 7 from deep, while Randle scored an anemic five points on 1 of 7 from the field.
The Wolves’ reserves were the bright light for Minny, scoring 64 points with Nickeil Alexander-Walker (23) and Donte DiVincenzo (21) leading the way.
Timberwolves Stats
Minnesota ranked eighth on offense (115.7), and sixth defensively (110.8), while they were a plus +5.0 net differential, which ranked tied for fourth overall.
The Wolves’ performance against the spread offers a 48-48 record through 96 contests.
Timberwolves Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- No injuries to report
OKC Thunder
Boos rained down upon Shai Gilgeous-Alexander everytime he touched the ball and chants of Free Throw Merchant were shouted when he got to the charity stripe.
Undeterred, the MVP had a game worthy of his title, coming up just one rebound shy of a triple-double with 40 points, nine rebounds, and 10 assists.
Jalen Williams was equally impressive, posting 34 points and providing lockdown defense on his assignments (hat-tip to Lou Dort for his defense on Edwards).
Thunder Stats
OKC ranked third offensively (119.2) and first defensively (106.6) with a net differential of plus +12.7, which also ranked first overall this regular season.
Notably, the Thunder’s record against the spread is 61-36-1 through 98 contests.
Thunder Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Nicola Topic, PG ( OUT for season — ACL)
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Timberwolves vs. Thunder NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Minnesota Timberwolves are 8-4 ATS in their last 12 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Minnesota’s last 6 games.
- Also, the Timberwolves are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games.
- By comparison, the Thunder are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Oklahoma City’s last 6 games.
- Additionally, Oklahoma City is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games.
Free NBA Prediction:
Minnesota won almost every category (see Tweet of the Day), but two that they needed to dominate didn’t occur. Specifically, they tied OKC on offensive rebounding (19 each) and lost the turnover battle 23 to 14.
While it’s not inconceivable that the Wolves could take this match and extend the series with three opportunities to close out the series and history on their side, it’s far more likely the Thunder wins.
That said, the hardest victory to come by is the series close-out game, so watch for any sign of nerves from the young Thunder.
4* Free Minnesota Timberwolves vs. OKC Thunder NBA Betting Pick: Timberwolves +8.5
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
Timberwolves led the game in
— Rebounds
— Assists
— Points off turnovers
— Fastbreak points
— Points in the paint
— Second chance points
— Free throw attempts
— Free throw makes
— Field goal percentage
— Three-point percentage
— Free throw percentagethey lost. pic.twitter.com/fPpXFjWzZu
— StatMuse (@statmuse) May 27, 2025
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