Free Pick: Wolves vs. Warriors Odds
Looking for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Wolves taking on the Warriors on 3/13 at the Chase Center in San Francisco. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Wolves Warriors free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Minnesota Timberwolves vs Golden State Warriors
(40-26) Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors (32-33)
Date: Mar 13, 2026
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Venue: The Chase Center, San Francisco, CA
NBA Moneyline Odds: Wolves -214 | Warriors +185 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Wolves -5.5 | Warriors +5.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 225.5
Here’s why I’m backing the visiting favorites as outlined in my Timberwolves Warriors free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Wolves vs. Warriors Gameday
Friday, the NBA serves up a full eight-game slate, including the Minnesota Timberwolves traveling to San Francisco to face the Golden State Warriors.
Minnesota last played on Wednesday, losing 128-153 to the LA Clippers. Six Wolves produced double-digit scoring, with Anthony Edwards dropping 36 points and five assists.
Meanwhile, the Warriors played on Tuesday, losing 124-130 in overtime to the Chicago Bulls. Seven players offered double-digit scoring, with four players scoring 17 points: Gui Santos, Pat Spencer, LJ Cryer, and Kristaps Porzingis.
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors Odds & Last 5
Last season, the Warriors won the season series three games to one. In this campaign, Minny is up 2-1 with this the last meeting between the clubs.
After their five -game winning streak, the Wolves have suddenly struggled, losing three games in a row. It’s inexplicable how good they can look against an elite club, then lose to a team they should beat. They sit on the sixth ladder rung in the West with a 40-26 record.
Golden State sits in the ninth seed, having dealt with more than its fair share of injuries, including now with Curry sidelined, at least 10 more games. Through 65 matches, the Dubs possess a 32-33 record, and through the last five are 1-4.
The Timberwolves are favored by 5.5 points with an over/under of 225.5.
Wolves Stats
Minnesota ranks 12th offensively (116.1), 11th defensively (113.0), and 11th in net rating (+3.1), running a pace of 101.50, which ranks ninth overall.
The West’s fifth-place Wolves average 26.2 assists (16th) and 44.3 rebounds (tied for 11th). Minny scores 118.6 points per game while their opponents average 115.1 points.
The Wolves team leaders* are Anthony Edwards for scoring (29.4 points) and steals (1.4), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (11.3) and blocks (1.6), and Julius Randle for assists (5.2).
As for the perimeter, it’s a strength for the Wolves, who average 37.1% from deep with six players shooting above the league average%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
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Warriors Stats
With 65 games in the well, Golden State ranks 16th (114.1) on offense and 12th on defense (113.1). Additionally, the Dubs are tied for 15th in net rating (+1.0) and run the 16th quickest pace (100.32).
The West’s ninth seed averages 115.2 points per game while its opponents average 114.2 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Golden State averages 29.2 (third) and 43.1 (21st), respectively.
Team leaders* for key categories are Stephen Curry for scoring (27.2), Draymond Green for rebounding (5.5) and assists (5.3), De’Anthony Melton for steals (1.6), and Kristaps Porzingis for blocks (2.0).
As for the perimeter, the Dubs continue to rely on it, but perhaps not as much as in the past. They shoot 35.9% from deep as a team, with five players shooting above league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors bottom line:
The Warriors announced Stephen Curry will miss another 10 days with the ‘runner’s knee’ he’s suffering from. With the jumbled ladder of the West, it sort of felt like a white flag being raised by the Dubs as they recognize how hard it will be to catch the teams in front of them.
Then again, it’s not worth having Steph return if he’s playing at less than 100 percent. Perhaps they should sit him out the rest of the season rather than risk further damage.
Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors Basketball Betting Trends
- Minnesota is 2-8 ATS in its last 10 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 7 games.
- Minnesota is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games.
- Also, Golden State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Golden State’s last 12 games.
- Additionally, Golden State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games.
Wolves Warriors Free Pick: Wolves -5.5
Here is my Thunder Warriors free pick.
The stretch run heats up for the Wolves with 15 games remaining after this match. Of those 15, ten matches are against plus .500 teams.
That doesn’t leave much room for mistakes or long losing streaks if Minny wants to move up. They already missed out on a prime opportunity by losing three games in a row. If they had won two of those matches, they would’ve been sitting in third instead.
The stats reflect just how poorly the Wolves have played this past few games as they dropped three spots in both the offensive and defensive rating.
Minny is the most confounding team because they literally look like a dark horse to win the West in one week, but just as quickly look like a play-in team the following week. So, the question is, who are the Wolves, and why is there so much lack of consistency?
Ultimately, I’m expecting the Wolves to buckle down, and with that heinous schedule on tap, this would be the perfect game to flip their fortunes.
Take the Wolves to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
KAWHI COOKS THE TIMBERWOLVES 🔥🔥🔥
45 PTS
15-20 FG
6-9 3FG
5 REB
5 AST
2 STL pic.twitter.com/uMD4B4XO4i— Bleacher Report (@BleacherReport) March 12, 2026
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