Free NBA Pick: Wolves vs. Nuggets NBA Odds
Looking for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Timberwolves taking on the Nuggets on Sunday, April 16th, at Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Timberwolves Nuggets matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets
(42-40) Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets (53-29)
Date: Sunday, April 16th
Time: 10:30 PM ET
Venue: Ball Arena Denver, Colorado
Moneyline NBA Odds: Timberwolves +260 | Nuggets -275 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Nuggets -7.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 226.5
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As can be seen, the Minnesota Timberwolves move into the first round as the eighth seed and the right to face the top-seeded Denver Nuggets.
While the Nuggets haven’t played since the final day of the season the Wolves arrive having just played on Friday to cement the final playoff berth.
ATS
At this time, the Timberwolves are 39-43 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 21-21 ATS as the away team. At this time, the Nuggets are 41-35-1 against the spread this season. Also, they are 23-15-1 ATS as the home team
Season Series
This season the clubs played on four occasions splitting those matches with Minnesota winning the initial meeting 124-111 on January 2nd and February 5th (128-98) while the Nuggets won on January 18th (122-118) and February 7th (146-112).
Additionally, the Nuggets hold the all-time record having bested the Wolves in 87 of their 141 meetings. Last season the squads played three times with Denver sweeping the season series.
This is just the second playoff series between the club, with the last meeting in 2004 when the Wolves won 4-1.
Minnesota Timberwolves
A blow-out victory versus the youthful undersized Thunder led to the Wolves securing the eighth seed and their reward is a series against the top-ranked Western team and a date facing the two-time MVP Nikola Jokic.
While the Wolves have Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns to matchup against the Joker they’ll surely be missing Naz Reid who would’ve given them a scrappy versatile two-way center.
More importantly, the absence of Jaden McDaniels removes their best defender and best option to place on Jamal Murray or Michael Porter Jr.
Stats
Minnesota opponents score 115.8 points per game ranking 18th while the Wolves limit them to 47.1% from the field and 36.9% from deep ranking 11th and 24th respectively.
On offense, the Wolves score 115.8 points per game ranking 13th while shooting 49% from the field and 36.5% from the perimeter ranking third and 13th respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Rudy Gobert (questionable —back)
- Jaylen Nowell SG (questionable — knee, tendinopathy)
- Jaden McDaniels SF (OUT indefinitely —hand)
- Naz Reid, C (OUT indefinitely —wrist, scaphoid fracture)
Denver Nuggets
Clearly, the Nuggets took their foot off the gas to close out the season knowing they’d secured the top seed. That led to some bad losses and tongue-lashings from head coach Michael Malone.
While the Nuggets are viewed as an offensive juggernaut the reality is when they apply themselves defensively they are among the better squads.
To wit, Denver possesses the third-best clutch defense which was most present in games against the West’s upper echelon (Grizzlies, Kings, Suns, Clippers, Warriors) where they registered a 13-4 record.
Stats
On the positive side, Denver possesses one of the two best offenses in the league highlighted by scoring 115.8 points per game ranking 12th. Denver is shooting the best field goal percentage of 50.4% as well as the fourth-best perimeter efficiency of 37.9%.
Denver allows opponents to score 112.5 points per game which ranks eighth while limiting foes to 47.8% from the field and 34.4% from deep ranking 20th and third respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Several Nuggets are all listed as probable: Aaron Gordon (shoulder), Nikola Jokic (calf), Jamal Murray (thumb) Jeff Green (facial), Michael Porter Jr. (heel), and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (illness).
- Collin Gillespie PG (OUT—leg fracture)
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Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Wolves are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.
- Also, the Wolves are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
- By comparison, Denver is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning straight-up record.
- In conclusion, the under is 6-1 in the Nuggets’ last 7 games following an ATS win.
Free Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction:
Denver’s regular starting lineup has been off since April 8th meaning they’ve had a full week to rest and heal while the Wolves last played on Friday.
That could lead to some rust showing up in this first game of the series although the Nuggets have practiced all week.
The obvious matchup between Jokic and Gobert takes center stage but with Murray nursing a sore thumb his matchup could prove more interesting.
Chris Finch started Nickeil Alexander-Walker against his cousin (Shai Gilgeous-Alexander) Friday and he’s also very familiar with fellow Canadian Murray.
Still, the depth of the Nuggets should prevail and despite the rust of being off so long I like the Nuggets to come out and make a statement in Game 1.
4* Free Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Pick: Nuggets ATS
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