Free NBA Pick: Bucks vs. Heat NBA Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Bucks taking on the Heat on Saturday, April 22nd, 2023 at FTX Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Bucks Heat matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping – Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat
(1-1) Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat (1-1)
Date: Saturday, April 22nd
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
Moneyline NBA Odds: Bucks -190 | Heat +175 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Bucks -5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 210
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The first-round series between the Milwaukee Bucks and Miami Heat hits the road for the next two contests in South Beach. Despite missing superstar Giannis Antetokounmpo, the Bucks rallied to even up the series winning 138-122 on Wednesday.
ATS
At this time, the Bucks are 43-34-7 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 19-17-5 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Heat are 32-51-3 against the spread this season. Also, they are 15-26-2 ATS as the home team.
Season Series
Saturday, April 22nd finds the Milwaukee Bucks facing the Miami Heat in game 3 of the first-round playoff series. In the four matches, the teams played this season each side won twice.
Last season, the squads split the four regular season contests. The Heat hold the all-time record having bested the Bucks in 75 of their 126 matches.
Milwaukee Bucks
Of all the series this is the one that has been spread out more between matches with only two games played. That means Giannis has had almost a full week off last playing in the opener and only for a few minutes at that.
While other teams are dealing with missing or injured stars the Bucks showed in Game 2 why they can likely still breeze to a win in this series and allow Giannis to heal up properly.
All five starters plus two reserves scored in double-figures with Brook Lopez (25 points) and Jrue Holiday (24 points, 11 assists) leading the way as the Bucks tied an NBA postseason record by drilling 25 triples.
Stats
Opponents score the 14th-fewest points with the Bucks allowing 113.3 per game limiting opponents to 45.6% from the field and 35.4% from deep ranking second and eighth respectively.
Offensively, the Bucks score 116.9 points per game ranking eighth, while shooting 47.3% from the field and 36.8% from the perimeter ranking 19th and 10th in the latter two categories.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Giannis Antetokounmpo PF (questionable—back)
- Wesley Matthews SG (questionable—calf)
Miami Heat
On the surface, the Heat appeared to play well on Wednesday with six players scoring in double figures while the team shot 53.6% from the field and 44.4% from deep.
The problem was they didn’t play to their identity and defend which equated to Milwaukee lighting up Fiserve Forum from behind the arc. In spite of the Heat connecting on 16 triples, the Bucks outscored them by 27 points just in that category alone.
Per usual, Jimmy Butler led the way scoring 25 points.
Stats
Offensively, the Heat scores 109.5 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 46% from the field and 34.4% from the perimeter ranking 26th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.8 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.2% from the field and 36.7% from the perimeter with both efficiency categories ranking 22nd.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Tyler Herro SG (OUT indefinitely— fingers/hand)
- Nikola Jovic SF (questionable— back)
NBA Bettors we want to hear from you. Comment below. Give us your Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat NBA picks!
Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Bucks are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Also, the Bucks are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games.
- By comparison, the Heat are 6-3 SU in their last 9 games.
- In conclusion, the Heat are 7-2 SU in their last 9 games at home.
Free Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
I’m not sure the Heat returning to their home court is much of an advantage as they seem to be the most uninvested fan base in the league. Countless times this season the arena appeared half full or fans didn’t show up until the first half was almost complete.
Typically, their fans are more invested in the postseason but they’ll need more than a full house and Jimmy Butler to win either of the matches in Miami as the Bucks are just the far superior squad with or without Giannis.
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