Free NBA Pick: Bucks vs. Nuggets NBA Odds
Looking for Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Bucks taking on the Nuggets on Saturday, March 25th, at Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Bucks Nuggets matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping
(53-20) Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets (49-24)
Date: Saturday, March 25th
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Ball Arena Denver, Colorado
Moneyline NBA Odds: Bucks +122 | Nuggets -135 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Nuggets -2.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: OFF
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As can be seen, the Bucks are completing a back-to-back set having routed the Jazz 144-116 on Friday while the Nuggets have the major rest advantage having last played Wednesday beating the Wizards 118-104.
ATS
At this time, the Bucks are 39-27-6 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 18-13-4 ATS as the away team. At this time, the Nuggets are 39-33-1 against the spread this season. Also, they are 22-13-1 ATS as the home team
Season Series
Saturday, March 25th, finds the Milwaukee Bucks and Denver Nuggets meeting for the second and final time this season. Milwaukee won the initial meeting on January 25th (107-99)
Last season, the squads split the two regular season contests each winning on the opponent’s court. The Nuggets hold the all-time record having bested the Bucks in 63 of their 102 matches.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, Friday, March 24th. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Saturday, March 25th.
Milwaukee Bucks
Although the Bucks have the rest disadvantage because they jumped on the Jazz early so Mike Budenholzer was able to keep his core’s minutes down with no one playing 30 minutes.
All five starters scored in double-figures with Giannis Antetokounmpo leading the way with a double-double of 24 points and 11 assists in 25 minutes of action.
Brook Lopez also notched a double-double (17 points, 14 rebounds) while Grayson Allen (25) led the scoring with Pat Connaughton (22), and Jrue Holiday (18 points, 8 assists) each contributing to the offensive outburst.
Stats
Opponents score the fifth-fewest points with the Bucks allowing 112.1 per game limiting opponents to 45.1% from the field and 34.8% from deep ranking second and fifth respectively.
Offensively, the Bucks score 116.4 points per game ranking ninth, while shooting 47% from the field and 36.6% from the perimeter ranking 20th and 12th in the latter two categories.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Goran Dragic PG (downgraded to OUT—knee)
- Jae Crowder SF (downgraded to OUT— calf)
- Meyers Leonard C (downgraded to OUT—calf)
- Thanasis Antetokounmpo SF (OUT— personal)
- Khris Middleton SG (was OUT for rest Friday so probable Saturday)
Denver Nuggets
After stumbling through a four-game losing streak the Nuggets seem to have rediscovered their identity winning three of the last four matches. Granted none of those opponents are of the same ilk as the Bucks but being back at Ball Arena where they are 30-6 should bolster their confidence.
MVP Watch
Nikola Jokic, Giannis Antetokounmpo, and Joel Embiid are the leading candidates to win MVP so a standout performance when facing each other will factor into voters’ minds.
The 76ers are in Denver on Monday so if Jokic can lead the Nuggets to consecutive wins with his typical production it could cement his three-peat whereas Giannis and/or Joel leading their teams to victory could sway the results in their favor.
Stats
On the positive side, Denver possesses one of the two best offenses in the league highlighted by scoring 116.7 points per game ranking seventh. Denver is shooting the best field goal percentage of 50.9% as well as the second-best perimeter efficiency of 38.9%.
The recent stumbles are reflecting more on the defensive side of the court with the Nuggets allowing opponents to score 112.8 points per game which ranks 12th while limiting foes to 48.1% from the field and 34.7% from deep ranking 23rd and fourth respectively
Injury Report
- Collin Gillespie PG (OUT—leg fracture)
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Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Bucks are 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Also, the Bucks are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games.
- By comparison, Denver is 3-6 ATS in their last 9 games.
- In conclusion, the Nuggets are 17-3 SU in their last 20 games at home.
Free Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction:
These clubs were my preseason picks to win their conferences and play in the NBA Finals. Per the stats above it’s freaky how close the teams are in terms of points scored and allowed with Denver having the slight offensive edge and Milwaukee the defensive edge.
Neither coach is likely to show their cards with halftime adjustments being a bit more conservative. Conversely, this would be the opportunity to test out theories that could be utilized in a series primarily on the defensive side of the floor.
Matchups to keep an eye on are Brook Lopez defending Nikola Jokic, Jrue Holiday versus Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon (plus tons of help) on Giannis.
I’ve had this game circled since their last meeting in January and am eager to see who comes out on top.
4* Free Milwaukee Bucks vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Pick: Nuggets ATS
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