Free NBA Pick: Bucks vs Celtics NBA Odds
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(2-2) Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics (2-2)
Eastern Conference Playoffs: Round 1 – Game 5
Date: Tuesday April 17
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: TD Garden, Boston, MA.
NBA Moneyline Odds: Milwaukee +125 / Boston -145
NBA Betting Odds: Boston -2.5
NBA Betting Total: 204
Live NBA Odds
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The home team has won every game in this series and while Philadelphia has a chance to wrap up its series in five games on Monday night, Milwaukee and Boston will play a pivotal Game 5 on Tuesday, with the winner taking a bit step toward meeting the Sixers.
Milwaukee Bucks
It was mostly Giannis and Kris Middleton in Milwaukee. Middleton led the team in scoring in Game 3 and combined for 50 with Antetokounmpo in Game 4.
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He is Milwaukee’s main man on the perimeter, especially when the Greek Freak needs a breather.
It’s really ugly offense that the Bucks are running but Matthew Dellavedova is helping things operate smoother. I wrote about his absence after Game 1 and was surprised to see Joe Prunty take so long to re-insert him into the lineup. He’s making a difference as a floor general and hard-nosed defender and will get his first crack at the Celtics in Boston in this game.
Thon Maker also made an appearance in both Games 3 & 4 and played well, actually.
I’m not convinced we’ll see more of the same on the road from Maker, who fed off of the energy at the Bradley Center and knocked down some big threes. The Celtics will live with him hoisting up from out there.
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But if Milwaukee is going to win this series, it’s probably got to win this game.
The Bucks have some momentum now, having won two in a row, though Game 4 was a panic down the stretch. If the Bucks can win this one, they have to feel confident about closing things out on their home court in Game 6.
Boston Celtics
But this is what home court advantage buys you: a big edge in a crucial game, which is what Game 5 is. Game 7 will be the same way and the best way Boston can guarantee that is with a win in Game 5; it can’t be confidence about going into Milwaukee and getting a win with its dilapidated offense.
Marcus Smart probably won’t be available for this game but his availability is lurking in a game or two in this series.
Before the series began, he said he could be available for Game 7 but I’ve read that he’s eyeing a Game 6 return and might even be cleared to play for this game. Keep an eye on his status.
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Smart’s defense would be a welcomed edge for Boston to throw at Milwaukee, which is getting into the paint far too easily against a usually stolid Celtics D. He probably won’t be able to keep Giannis out, but could do some nice work on either Middleton or Malcolm Brodgon, who is also getting the best of the C’s.
It really comes down the the offense for Boston. When its at home, it gets enough from role guys: Rozier, Munroe, Baynes, etc.
It just doesn’t have the star power to lift it on the road, which is why I figure it has to win Games 5 and 7 to advance.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Over is 11-0 in MIL last 11 vs. NBA Atlantic.
- Over is 14-2 in MIL last 16 vs. Eastern Conference.
- Over is 13-3 in MIL last 16 road games.
- Over is 10-1 in BOS last 11 overall.
- BOS are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
- Over is 6-2 in BOS last 8 Tue. games.
- Head to Head: Over is 10-1-1 in the last 12 meetings in Boston.
- Head to Head: Over is 13-3-1 in the last 17 meetings.
Free Milwaukee Bucks vs. Boston Celtics NBA Prediction: Milwaukee stunner.
I called this after Game 2: Milwaukee has some momentum now and will storm into Boston and win the seesaw game before closing it out at home.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Milwaukee +2.5
NBA Free Score Prediction: Milwaukee 94 – Boston 91
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