Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Raptors NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Raptors on Tuesday, March 28th, 2023 at Scotiabank Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat Raptors matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping
(40-34) Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors (37-38)
Date: Tuesday, March 28th
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: Bankers Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, Ontario
Moneyline NBA Odds: Heat +130 | Raptors -145 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Raptors -2.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 219.5
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As can be seen, the Heat last played Saturday with them getting routed 100-129 to the Nets while the Raptors played Sunday winning 114-104 versus the Wizards.
ATS
The Heat are 27-45-3 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 15-20-1 ATS as the away team. Another key point, the Raptors are 37-36-2 against the spread this season. Also, they are 23-15-1 ATS as the home team
Season Series
Tuesday, March 28th, the Miami Heat and Toronto Raptors meet for the fourth and final time this season. Toronto leads the series 2-1 winning the October 24th match 98-90 and November 16th contest (112-104) while Miami won the first meeting on October 22nd (112-109).
Last season the clubs played four times splitting the season series. All four games were close battles decided by five points or less including a triple-overtime game the Raptors won in Miami. The Heat holds the all-time record with 59 wins in 99 matches versus the Raptors.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, on Monday, March 27th. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Tuesday, March 28th.
Miami Heat
While the Heat has struggled offensively averages the fewest points per game, this month they’ve rediscovered the offense that led them to the best record in the East last season.
Specifically, the Heat are scoring 5.4 more points per game in March (114.58), and that includes the Sunday match where they scored only 100 points.
From an efficiency perspective, they’ve taken a giant leap shooting 49.4% from the field and a blistering 38.8% from the perimeter in the 13 March matches.
Part of the reason is tied to the return of Kyle Lowry who is a skilled playmaker and offers another 3-point sniper to space the floor. In his six games since returning Lowry is shooting 57.1% from deep on 3.5 attempts per game.
Stats
Offensively, the Heat scores 109.1 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 45.7% from the field and 34.1% from the perimeter ranking 26th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.9 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.1% from the field and 37.1% from the perimeter ranking 22nd in both efficiency categories.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Kyle Lowry PG (questionable —knee)
- Cody Zeller C (questionable — broken nose)
- Nikola Jovic SF (OUT— back)
Toronto Raptors
Although the Wizards cut a 21-point lead to a single point with a strong third quarter this match never felt like it was out of Toronto’s grasp. It was a typical Raptors effort where they got a big lead and took their foot off the gas but then reapplied their defensive focus.
Toronto delivered checkmarks in areas they’ve dominated all season forcing 18 turnovers for 25 points (compared to 13 for 11 points) while dominating the paint (54-36), and second chance scoring (27-11) as well as the offensive glass (18-12).
OG Anunoby continued his hot shooting scoring 29 points while the other starters each collected double-figure scores. Yet it was the return of Scottie Barnes which made a palpable difference.
His 13 points, five rebounds, six assists, three steals, and block are indicative of his all-around contributions with the team simply looking more cohesive and comfortable on both ends of the hardwood.
Stats
On offense, the Raptors score 113 points per game ranking 21st while shooting 45.7% from the field and 33.9% from the perimeter ranking 27th and 28th respectively.
Meanwhile, defensively, the Raptors allow 111.9 points per game ranking fifth best with opponents shooting 49.2% from the field and 37.6% from deep ranking 28th and 29th respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Otto Porter Jr., SF (OUT for season, — foot)
- Gary Trent Jr. SG (questionable—elbow)
- Will Barton, SG (doubtful —ankle)
- Joe Wieskamp SG (doubtful—hamstring)
- Dalano Banton PG (OUT—thumb)
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Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors NBA Betting Trends:
- Above all, the Heat are 6-12 ATS in their last 18 games.
- Also, the Heat are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Toronto.
- By comparison, the Raptors are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
- In summary, the Raptors are 14-5 SU in their last 19 games when hosting Miami.
Free Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors NBA Prediction:
Expect playoff-level intensity from two of the more physical teams each invested in improving their seeding. Both teams have seven games remaining with the seventh-seed Heat leading the ninth-place Raptors by 3.0 games.
Miami covets the sixth seed while the Raptors want to move up at least one rung to ensure two play-in games (if necessary) instead of the one-and-done ninth/tenth positions.
4* Free Miami Heat vs. Toronto Raptors NBA Betting Pick: Raptors ATS
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