Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Knicks NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Knicks on Sunday, April 30th at Madison Square Garden, New York City, New York. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat Knicks matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping – Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks
(0-0) Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks (0-0)
Date: Sunday, April 30th
Time: 1:00 PM (ET)
Venue: Madison Square Garden New York City, New York
Moneyline NBA Odds: Heat +165 | Knicks -190 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Knicks 4.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 207.5
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The Miami Heat and New York Knicks arrive to the Eastern Conference Semi-Finals having both dispensed of their opponents via gentlemen sweeps.
Common bonds reverberate through this series beginning with Heat President, Pat Riley who coached the Knicks from 1991 to 1995 before taking over the helm with the Heat.
Few rivalries exist in the current era but there is still an existing dislike between these clubs centered on their four consecutive playoff series (1997 – 2000) emphasizing physical defensive battles. Guaranteed, nothing would please Riley more than to beat the Knicks.
Although this era is more about pace and perimeter shooting, these are two of the more physically defensive clubs and things could erupt into a contentious series with likely low-scoring contests.
Another common bond exists between Knicks coach Tom Thibodeau and Jimmy Butler who played for Thibs in Chicago for four seasons plus a year and a bit in Minnesota prior to demanding a trade.
ATS
At this time, the Heat are 35-51-3 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 18-25-1 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Knicks are 49-35-3 against the spread this season. Also, they are 21-20-2 ATS as the home team
Season Series
This season the Knicks won the regular season series 3-1 including victories on February 2nd (106-104), March 3rd (122-120), and March 29th (101-92) while the Heat won the March 22nd match (127-120).
Last season the clubs played three times with the Heat taking two of the three regular-season contests. The Knicks hold the all-time record with 69 wins in 134 matches versus the Heat.
This is the sixth occasion these clubs are meeting in the postseason with the Knicks holding the 3-2 advantage while Miami won the last meeting between the squads 4-1 in 2012.
Miami Heat
Undebatably, Jimmy Butler has been the best player in the first round producing an average of 37.6 points, 6.0 rebounds, 4.8 assists, and 1.8 steals while shooting 59.7% from the field, 44.4% from the perimeter and getting to the line 9.6 times per game.
Additionally, Butler took on the challenge of defending the Bucks best players which sets him a notch above all the other superstars performing well in the postseason.
Erik Spoelstra also coached circles around Mike Budenholzer, particularly in the close out game which has Bud on the hot seat given his lack of adjusments. While I’d still give Spo the advantage in this series, Thibs proved he’s willing to make adjustments (benching Randall in Game 4).
Stats
Offensively, the Heat scores 109.5 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 46% from the field and 34.4% from the perimeter ranking 26th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.8 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.2% from the field and 36.7% from the perimeter with both efficiency categories ranking 22nd.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Bam Adebayo C (probable —hamstring)
- Tyler Herro SG (OUT— fingers/hand)
- Victor Oladipo SG (OUT— patellar tendon)
New York Knicks
For as great as the Knicks have played I’ll caution those who automatically assume they’ll have the same success against the Heat. Sure, Miami struggled to score in the regular season but examination of the stretch run and Bucks series shows a constantly improving offense.
Jalen Brunson led the Knicks but will face guards who’ll be more aggressive defensively with him. The Knicks guard has a lot of similarities to Fred VanVleet whom Kyle Lowry mentored so expect to see that matchup occur.
Mitchell Robinson dominated versus the Cavs talented frontcourt and while he’ll have the height advantage versus Adebayo, he won’t be able to bully him out of the way to grab rebounds like he did Mobley and Allen.
Stats
As can be seen, the Knicks are one of the best defensive teams in the association they limit opponents to 113.1 points which is 13th-ranked while possessing the third-best opponent field goal percentage of 46.2% and also ranks 12th for opponent perimeter percentage of 35.7%.
So far, offensively, the Knicks score 116 points per game ranking 11th while shooting 46.7% from the field and 35.4% from the perimeter ranking 20th and 19th respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Julius Randle PF (questionable—ankle)
- Jericho Sims C (questionable—shoulder)
- Quentin Grimes, SG (probable—shoulder)
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Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games.
- Also, the Heat are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against New York.
- By comparison, the Knicks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- In conclusion, the Knicks are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games at home.
Free Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks NBA Prediction:
The biggest question for the Knicks is whether Randle will play after reinjuring his ankle in the last game although Thibs did get some good news with Quentin Grimes being upgraded to probable (Grimes was the primary defender on Butler in season).
While Butler has demonstrated why he’s considered one of the league’s top clutch performers will his former coach have the elixir to quell his production?
Miami will need to remain hot from the perimeter and have others help Butler with scoring because Thibs (unlike Coach Bud) won’t hesitate to double-team him or make defensive adjustments.
This will be the feel out game for the teams and while the Knicks are rolling it’s on record how much I felt the Cavs record was inflated by facing copious teams without stars.
In direct contrast the Heat were hampered by season long injuries and how they played in the first round is much more reflective of last season when they topped the East. For that reason, I’ll take the points for Game 1.
4* Free Miami Heat vs. New York Knicks NBA Betting Pick: Heat +4.5
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