Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Bucks NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Bucks on Wednesday, April 26th, 2023 at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat Bucks matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping – Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks
(3-1) Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks (1-3)
Date: Wednesday, April 26th
Time: 9:30 PM (ET)
Venue: Fiserv Forum Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Moneyline NBA Odds: Heat +475 | Bucks -590 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Bucks -11.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 219.5
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Game 5 of the first-round series between the eighth-place Miami Heat and top-seeded Milwaukee Bucks tips off on Wednesday, April 26th.
Miami came roaring back from a double-digit deficit behind the heroic efforts of Jimmy Butler who delivered an all-time classic 56-point performance to lead his team to the victory and a 3-1 stranglehold on the series.
ATS
At this time, the Heat are 34-51-3 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 17-25-1 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Bucks are 43-36-7 against the spread this season. Also, they are 24-17-2 ATS as the home team
Season Series
In the four matches, the teams played this season each side won twice. Last season, the squads split the four regular season contests. The Heat hold the all-time record having bested the Bucks in 75 of their 126 matches.
Miami Heat
There is a hand full of players who automatically take a step up when the postseason begins and Jimmy Butler is undeniably among them.
From the tip, Jimmy Buckets was aggressive scoring 22 points in the opening frame then offered 21 in the fourth and finished with an incredible 56 points.
All this while alternating defensive assignments on Antetokounmpo, Holiday, Middleton and virtually every Bucks player who got hot.
Duncan Robinson was the one teammate offering offensive assistance until the final 5:45 of the fourth quarter when Kyle Lowry, Caleb Martin and Bam Adebayo provided lock down defense as Miami went on a 30-13 run.
Stats
Offensively, the Heat scores 109.5 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 46% from the field and 34.4% from the perimeter ranking 26th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.8 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.2% from the field and 36.7% from the perimeter with both efficiency categories ranking 22nd.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Bam Adebayo C (probable —hamstring)
- Tyler Herro SG (OUT— fingers/hand)
- Victor Oladipo SG (OUT— patellar tendon)
Milwaukee Bucks
Giannis Antetokounmpo returned to the court after missing all but 11 minutes of the series and his presence made an immediate difference. Milwaukee built a double-digit lead while their superstar collected a triple-double (26 points, 10 rebounds, 13 assists).
Yet despite looking more like themselves Milwaukee simply weren’t able to quell Jimmy Butler’s will.
Brook Lopez registered a double-double of 36 points and 11 rebounds however Khris Middleton (4 of 12) and Jrue Holiday (6 of 19) scored just 14 points each and got smoked on defense.
Stats
Opponents score the 14th-fewest points with the Bucks allowing 113.3 per game limiting opponents to 45.6% from the field and 35.4% from deep ranking second and eighth respectively.
Offensively, the Bucks score 116.9 points per game ranking eighth, while shooting 47.3% from the field and 36.8% from the perimeter ranking 19th and 10th in the latter two categories.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Wesley Matthews (questionable—calf)
NBA Bettors we want to hear from you. Comment below. Give us your Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA picks!
Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Trends:
- At this point, the Heat are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- Also, the Heat are 10-3 SU in their last 13 games played in April.
- By comparison, the Bucks are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games.
- In conclusion, the Bucks are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games at home.
Free Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Prediction:
With the Heat losing two key contributors to injury and the Bucks considered the much deeper squad a major red flag was the Heat reserves doubled up Milwaukee’s bench scoring (32 to 16).
Another concern is Miami won the rebounding battle despite being the much smaller team.
Butler’s Game 5 heroics are not an outlier, he might not drop 56 but he’ll bring the same effort, intensity and will in every contest.
The trick for the Bucks will be maintaining focus on one game at a time knowing they are the top playoff seed overall and if they can manufacture a victory they’ll return to South Beach where all the pressure will shift to the Heat.
Huge point spread for the Bucks and while I’m expecting a Giannis response showcasing why he’s considered the best player in the league and a physical match where the Bucks try to punch Miami in the mouth early I’ll still take the points.
4* Free Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Pick: Heat +11.5
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