Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Bucks NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Bucks on Sunday, April 16th, 2023 at Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat Bucks matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping – Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks
(45-39) Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks (58-24)
Date: Sunday, April 16th
Time: 5:30 PM (ET)
Venue: Fiserv Forum Milwaukee, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Moneyline NBA Odds: Heat +350 | Bucks -390 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Bucks -9
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 218.5
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As can be seen, the Milwaukee Bucks begin their postseason play as the top overall seed and will host the Miami Heat who defeated the Bulls in the play-in match to earn the eighth seed.
ATS
At this time, the Heat are 31-50-3 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 16-24-1 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Bucks are 42-33-7 against the spread this season. Also, they are 23-16-2 ATS as the home team
Season Series
Sunday, April 16th finds the Miami Heat playing the Milwaukee Bucks in game 1 of the first-round playoff series. In the four matches the teams played this season each side won twice.
Last season, the squads split the four regular season contests. The Heat hold the all-time record having bested the Bucks in 75 of their 126 matches.
Miami Heat
For much of the game on Friday it looked like the Bulls would be the victors but then Jimmy Butler took over. Butler was a maestro on the court vacillating between scoring and dishing dimes.
Miami closed the game on a 15-1 run locking down the Bulls defensively. Butler and Max Strus both scored 31 points in the victory.
Stats
Offensively, the Heat scores 109.5 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 46% from the field and 34.4% from the perimeter ranking 26th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.8 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.2% from the field and 36.7% from the perimeter with both efficiency categories ranking 22nd.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Nikola Jovic (OUT— back)
Milwaukee Bucks
Last season the Bucks were on a mission to repeat as champions but an untimely Khris Middleton injury left the squad without their secondary closer. Giannis Antetokounmpo and Jrue Holiday pushed the Celtics to seven games in the semis but came up short.
Milwaukee’s front office responded by bolstering the team’s depth and they enter this postseason with the best record in the association but once again with some questions about the core’s health.
Middleton left his last game with a minor injury but is probable for Sunday but the bigger concern is Giannis who is listed as questionable nursing a knee injury that has plagued him for a while.
Stats
Opponents score the 14th-fewest points with the Bucks allowing 113.3 per game limiting opponents to 45.6% from the field and 35.4% from deep ranking second and eighth respectively.
Offensively, the Bucks score 116.9 points per game ranking eighth, while shooting 47.3% from the field and 36.8% from the perimeter ranking 19th and 10th in the latter two categories.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Grayson Allen SG (probable—ankle)
- Giannis Antetokounmpo (questionable—knee)
- Khris Middleton SG (probable—knee)
- Pat Connaughton (probable— ankle)
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Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Trends:
- At this point, the Heat are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
- Also, the Heat are 4-9 SU in their last 13 games against Milwaukee.
- By comparison, the Bucks are 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 games.
- In conclusion, the Bucks are 13-6 SU in their last 19 games.
Free Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Prediction:
Although the play-in tournament offers drama for fans, it also serves as a major advantage to the top seeds in the conferences.
To wit, the Bucks’ last game was on April 9th but the core starting unit hasn’t played since April 5th (Antetokounmpo last played on the 4th) giving that unit 10 days off whereas the Heat played on Friday.
This could end up being a rest versus rust game but the anemic Heat offense will be problematic, especially in the first match of the series.
4* Free Miami Heat vs. Milwaukee Bucks NBA Betting Pick: Bucks ATS
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