Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Nuggets NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Nuggets on Saturday August 1st, 2020 at Walt Disney World Resort. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat Nuggets matchup.
2020 NBA Handicapping (Orlando Restart)
(41-24) Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets (43-22)
Date: Saturday August 1st, 2020
Time: 1:00 PM EST
Venue: Walt Disney World Resort
NBA Moneyline Odds: Heat +105 | Nuggets -125
NBA Betting Odds: Nuggets -1.5
NBA Betting Total: 211
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The next round of teams set to make their restart includes the Miami Heat and Denver Nuggets squaring off in a 1:00 PM ET afternoon game. Both are assured a playoff spot like most teams in the bubble but there’s seeding in play.
Denver is a game back from the Clippers and would desperately like to get out of the #3 seed where the current matchup is against the Rockets
The Heat are probably destined to be the 4 seed in the Eastern Conference as they are up two games on the Pacers and Sixers but trail Boston by 2.5. Not saying they’ll take it easy, but there’s less on the line for Miami.
The Heat look like a possible dark horse candidate in the Eastern Conference as they have a sneaky good roster. Jimmy Butler is the obvious alpha, but the Heat are riddled with the type of role players every team covets.
Bam Adebayo is a big man that doesn’t need the ball, but knows what to do with it when he gets it. The Heat also have physical presence in Jae Crowder and Derrick Jones, Jr. as well as a versatile big man in Kelly Olynyk.
Throw in the three point shooting of Duncan Robinson and a back court with upside in Kendrick Nunn and Goran Dragic and it’s hard to see a weakness with the Heat. That’s without including electric rookie Tyler Herro.
The game plan for Miami is obvious, slow you down and wear you out with their depth. Miami was 11th in the league in opponents’ points per game prior to the restart at 108.9.
The trouble for the Heat in Saturday’s game is that Denver actually prefers the molasses tempo as well. The Nuggets were ahead of only Charlotte in possessions per game. As a result, the Denver scoring defense ranked 9th.
Miami is also one of the healthiest teams in the bubble with only KZ Okpala on the injury report. Having only one player questionable is very rare for the post-COVID NBA landscape.
Denver needs some wins in the bubble to try and get into the 2 seed and possibly avoid the potent Rockets. The Nuggets may not have the depth like Miami does, but Mike Malone’s team probably has more talent at the top.
What we’ve seen at the bubble through the first two nights is a lot of close games and competitive basketball. Denver is used to that as 40 of their 65 games had a 5 point differential with five minutes to play.
One of the big questions Nuggets fans were awaiting was the condition of Nikola Jokic. The big man came into camp at the start of the season a bit heavy but seems to be in shape for the restart.
Being in shape physically and in shape mentally are two different animals. Jokic seems to be slacking in the latter as he’s averaged 9/7/6 in scrimmage games (20/10/7 regular season) but has also been prone to turnovers.
The Nuggets are far from a one-man team despite the fact that Jokic is their obvious centerpiece. Jamal Murray had 21 and 25 points prior to the pandemic and against quality teams in Dallas and Milwaukee.
The one good thing about the 4-month layoff for Denver is that it allowed Michael Porter, Jr. to rest his knee that cost him nearly a full year of college and his first year in the pros in 2018/19.
Porter, Jr. has shown flashes this season with 13+ points in 6 of 7 games in January. He was losing steam in March (6ppg) in limited minutes but is ready to be an X-factor for the restart.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Over is 9-3 in Heat last 12 overall
- Heat are 5-11 ATS last 16 games
- Heat are 8-19 ATS last 27 head to head
Free Miami Heat vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction:
As much as these two teams are known for their defense, it’s not that they are inept at offense. In fact, the Heat rank 7th in the league in offensive efficiency while Denver is 9th.
The O/U of 211 seems low the way teams have put up points in the bubble. Orlando beat up Brooklyn 128-118 for example and Portland had to outlast Memphis 140-135, albeit in OT.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Over 211
Miami looks like the play on the side as well as Denver hasn’t looked great in scrimmages thus far. The Heat have depth – and not just bodies on the bench – players who can play.
***NOTE*** In case you missed it…When the 2020 NBA 16-team playoff field is set, the NBA Playoffs will proceed in a traditional conference-based format with four rounds and best-of-seven series in each round. The 2020 NBA Finals will end no later than Oct. 13.
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