Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Celtics NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Celtics on Thursday, May 25th, 2023 at TD Garden. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat Celtics matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping – Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics
(3-1) Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics (1-3)
Date: Thursday, May 25th
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
Moneyline NBA Odds: Heat +255 | Celtics -305 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Celtics -8
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 215.5
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The Eastern Conference Finals between the Miami Heat and Boston Celtics continues on Thursday back in Bean Town. Boston forced a Game 5 by finally collecting their first win via a 116-99 victory on Tuesday in South Beach.
ATS
At this time, the Heat are 42-54-3 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 22-26-1 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Celtics are 54-44-1 against the spread this season. Also, they are 28-22 ATS as the home team
Season Series
The teams split the regular season series 2-2 with Boston winning the first two meetings on October 21st (111-104) and November 30th (134-121) while the Heat took the latter two contests on December 2nd (120-116 in overtime) and January 24th (98-95).
This is the sixth time the clubs are facing each other in the postseason with Miami ahead 3-2 all-time. It’s the third time in the last four seasons the teams have met in the Conference Finals with the Celtics winning last season 4-3.
Miami Heat
They say the hardest game to win in a series is the close-out game which the Heat got first-hand evidence of on Tuesday.
It was also the first time in the series Miami had more turnovers than Boston which accounted for 27 points and a differential of 13 extra points for the Celtics.
Although Jimmy Butler sent a calm, steady message in his postgame response health may be a question again for the Heat as Gabe Vincent turned his ankle.
On the positive front, Tyler Herro’s brace was off his hand and he’s begun practicing using the hand.
Stats
Offensively, the Heat scores 109.5 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 46% from the field and 34.4% from the perimeter ranking 26th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.8 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.2% from the field and 36.7% from the perimeter with both efficiency categories ranking 22nd.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Gabe Vincent SG (questionable — ankle)
- Victor Oladipo SG (OUT— knee)
- Tyler Herro SG (OUT— fingers/hand)
Boston Celtics
A couple of things occurred in Game 4 that were first for the Celtics. Most notably, Jayson Tatum who hadn’t scored a field goal in the final frame in the prior games got over the hump.
Boston also found their 3-point range dropping 18 triples and winning that category for the first time and also forced more turnovers than they made.
Joe Mazzulla stuck with his small starting lineup instead of going with Robert Williams with the biggest difference being they moved the ball and pushed pace on makes or misses not allowing Miami to set up their defense.
Stats
On the positive side, Boston claims the fourth-best point production averaging 117.9 points per game. In terms of efficiency, they shoot 47.5% from the field and 37.6% from the perimeter ranking 15th and sixth respectively.
Presently, opponents average 111.4 points per game which rank fifth. Celtics opponents are limited to 46.3% from the field and 34.5% from the perimeter ranking fifth and fourth respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Danilo Gallinari, SF (OUT indefinitely — ACL)
NBA Bettors we want to hear from you. Comment below. Give us your Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtic NBA picks!
Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Heat are 10-3 ATS in their last 13 games.
- Also, the Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against Boston.
- By comparison, the Celtics are 2-4 ATS in their last 6 games when playing as the favorite.
- In conclusion, the Celtics are 6-2 SU in their last 8 games played on a Thursday when playing at home.
Free Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics NBA Prediction:
While the Celtics are at home it’s interesting the oddsmakers have them favored by such a large margin. It’s true they could take advantage of the lessons learned in Game 4 and channel the energy of the crowd.
Likewise, it’s highly unlikely the Heat replicate their effort by shooting so poorly and coughing the ball so much.
Although it won’t surprise me if Boston wins I’m taking the points and expect a Nuggets – Heat Final. Whether Miami secures that on Thursday or Saturday is the question.
4* Free Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics NBA Betting Pick: Heat +8
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