Free NBA Pick: Heat vs. Celtics NBA Odds
Looking for Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Heat taking on the Celtics on Sunday, April 21st, at TD Garden, Boston. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Heat Celtics matchup.
2024 NBA Handicapping Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics
(47-37) Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics (64-18)
Date: Sunday, April 21st
Time: 1:00 PM ET
Venue: TD Garden, Boston, Massachusetts
Moneyline NBA Odds: Heat +750 | Celtics -1099 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Celtics -14
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 209.5
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Day two of the NBA Playoffs tips off with the eight-seeded Miami Heat facing the top-seeded Boston Celtics.
Miami secured their ticket via defeating the Chicago Bulls in the play-in while the Celtics arrive with the best record in the association.
Season Series
The clubs split their four meetings last season each winning once at home and once on the road while the Celtics swept the season series this year. Boston holds the all-time record between the squads with 83 victories in 136 matches.
These teams have met six prior times in the postseason with the Heat holding a 4-2 advantage. The last time they met in 2023 Miami jumped out to a 3-0 lead, Boston rallied to win the next three games before the Heat took Game 7 to move on to the NBA Finals.
Miami Heat
No doubt Erik Spoelstra will use the heavy spread to motivate his charges for this match but without Jimmy Butler, this is going to be an uphill battle for Miami.
Tyler Herro and Bam Adebayo will be tasked with guiding this squad to do the unimaginable, but that’s the type of challenge Miami tends to thrive in.
Heat Stats
Miami ranks 21st offensively (113.3) and fifth defensively (111.5) with a plus net differential of +1.8 ranking in a tie for 16th overall.
The Heat rode the middle ground this season against the spread with a 42-40-2 record through 84 matches.
Heat Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Jimmy Butler, PF (OUT indefinitely— knee)
- Duncan Robinson, SF (questionable — spine)
- Terry Rozier, PG (OUT indefinitely — neck)
- Josh Richardson, SG (OUT for season— shoulder)
Boston Celtics
It’s been a magical season for the Celtics who’ve held the best record virtually throughout. Yet, for as much as they’ve dominated the competition and held many of the top statistical records nothing will matter unless they ride their success to a finals appearance.
Facing the Heat should offer some motivation given the last meeting when Miami sent them home despite being the definitive underdog.
Celtics Stats
Boston ranks first overall offensively (122.2) and are second defensively (110.6) while registering a net differential of plus +111.7 which also ranks first overall.
In terms of the Celtics’ performance against the spread, they offer a 41-36-5 record through 82 matches.
Celtics Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Derrick White, PG (questionable —ankle)
- Al Horford, C (questionable — toe)
- Jrue Holiday, PG (questionable — knee)
- Jaylen Brown, SF (questionable — hand)
- Jayson Tatum, SF (questionable — knee)
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Heat vs. Celtics NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Heat are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- Miami is 33-8 overall when it scores more than 109.2 points.
- Also, the Heat are 3-7 SU in their last 10 games against Boston.
- By comparison, Boston is 7-2 SU in their last 9 games.
- Boston has won 63 of their 79 contests (or 79.7%) when listed as the favorite.
- Additionally, the Celtics are 9-1 SU in their last 10 games at home.
Free Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics NBA Prediction:
Without Butler few will expect the Heat to even win a game in this series but that might be exactly what Spoelstra and his team want. Boston has a tendency to get passive in games they expect to win or build a lead then take their foot off the gas.
As for the Heat, Bam Adebayo offered the following quote that shows their intention: “It’s gonna be a dogfight, it’s gonna be a battle, it’s gonna be in the mud. It’s not gonna be pretty basketball.”
If Joe Mazzulla is smart he’ll post that quote because the last thing Boston can afford to do is get into a dogfight in a slow plodding game. That said, I’m not biting on the huge spread although I do expect the Celts to take the first game.
4* Free Miami Heat vs. Boston Celtics NBA Betting Pick: Heat +14
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
one purpose, one mindset, one heartbeat ☘️
It's #DifferentHere pic.twitter.com/Kii3UUkWuZ
— Boston Celtics (@celtics) April 20, 2024
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