Free Pick: Grizzlies vs. Wolves Odds
Looking for Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Grizzlies taking on the Wolves on 3/3 at the Target Center in Minneapolis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Grizzlies Wolves free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Memphis Grizzlies vs Minnesota Timberwolves
(23-36) Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (38-23)
Date: Mar 3, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: The Target Center, Minnesota
NBA Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +625 | Wolves -745 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Grizzlies +13.5 | Wolves -13.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 237.5
Here’s why I’m backing the favored home team as outlined in my Grizzlies Wolves free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Grizzlies vs. Wolves Gameday
Tuesday offers up a busy day of NBA action with a ten-game slate, including the Memphis Grizzlies facing the Minnesota Timberwolves.
Both clubs last played on Sunday. The Grizzlies arrive on the heels of a 125-106 beatdown of the Indiana Pacers. Seven Grizzlies scored in double figures, with Taylor Hendricks leading the charge, scoring 19 points and grabbing five rebounds.
Meanwhile, the Wolves collected an impressive 117-108 victory in Denver no less to defeat the Nuggets. Six Wolves scored in double-figures, led by Anthony Edwards with 21 points. It was a key win for Minnesota who is currently on a heater.
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2026 NBA Basketball Handicapping
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Odds & Last 5
Last season, the Grizzlies had the upper hand in the regular series, taking two of the three contests. This is the final meeting this season between the clubs with Memphis up 2-1 in the series.
Over the last five games, the Grizzlies are 2-3, but have consecutive victories. Memphis sits in the West’s 11th seed with a record of 23-36. They are 4.5 games away from the final play-in seed.
Conversely, Minnesota has been on fire of late, winning six of its last seven matches helping them climb up to the fourth seed. The Wolves have an overall record of 38-23. Minny trails the Rockets by a half game.
Entering this matchup, the Timberwolves are 13.5 favorites to win with an over/under of 237.5 points.
Grizzlies Stats
Memphis holds the 18th-ranked (113.5) offense, 19th-ranked defense (115.6), 20th-ranked net rating (-2.1), and 10th-ranked pace (101.54).
The Grizzlies are averaging 115.7 points per game while their opponents average 117.7 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Memphis averages 28.9 (tied for fifth) and 44.4 (13th), respectively.
Memphis’ team leaders* are Ty Jerome for scoring (19.6), Ja Morant for assists (8.1), Zach Edey for rebounds (11.1) and blocks (1.9), while John Konchar tops steals (1.0).
Perimeter shooting is a weakness for the Grizz as the club shoots 35.3% from deep while five players shoot above league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
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Wolves Stats
Minnesota ranks ninth offensively (116.6), ninth defensively (112.3), and ninth in net rating (+4.2), running a pace of 101.59, which also ranks ninth overall.
The West’s fourth-place Wolves average 28.9 assists (tied for fifth) and 44.4 rebounds (13th). Minny scores 119.1 points per game while their opponents average 114.6 points.
The Wolves team leaders* are Anthony Edwards for scoring (29.5 points), Rudy Gobert for rebounding (11.5) and blocks (1.7), and Julius Randle for assists (5.4) and Donte DiVincenzo for steals (1.4).
As for the perimeter, it’s a strength for the Wolves, who average 37.5% from deep with seven players shooting above the league average%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves bottom line:
Minnesota has to break the bad habit of playing with their food as they have fallen to a number of tanking teams but then turn around and pound on the elite clubs.
It appears they may have finally snapped that habit, although this match will offer more insight on that matter.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Basketball Betting Trends
- Memphis is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Memphis’ last 13 games.
- Memphis is 5-13 SU in its last 18 games.
- Also, Minnesota is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 7 of Minnesota’s last 9 games against Memphis.
- Additionally, Minnesota is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games.
Grizzlies Wolves Free Pick: Wolves -13.5
Here is my Grizzlies Wolves free pick.
Champions will tell you that luck and health play a big role in their runs, and the Wolves are a team that has benefited greatly from health this season.
To wit, their starters haven’t missed many games as Edwards is the only one to have sat out more than three contests.
Minnesota may have solved the hole left in the lineup from the exiting Nickeil Alexander-Walker with the addition of Ayo Dosunmu. In his eight games with the club he’s averaging 11.1 points and offering decent defense.
A quick glance at the Grizzlies roster showcases the longest list in the association as they resort to using G-Leaguers and 10-day contracts. That can serve up a curveball for opponents who aren’t as familiar with some of the players.
Still, Minny is on a roll and looking like the team that made the last two Western Conference Finals, so I’ll take them to blowout the Grizz tonight.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Anthony Edwards missed a midrange shot and his coach told him to pass the ball. This is what he does the very next possession: pic.twitter.com/IFjmAASEzb
— Jo (@MavsStan41) February 27, 2026
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