Free Pick: Grizzlies vs. Hawks Odds
Looking for Memphis Grizzlies vs. Atlanta Hawks Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Grizzlies taking on the Hawks on 3/23 at State Farm Arena in Atlanta. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Grizzlies Hawks free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Memphis Grizzlies vs Atlanta Hawks
(24-46) Memphis Grizzlies vs. Atlanta Hawks (39-32)
Date: Mar 21, 2026
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: State Farm Arena, Atlanta, GA
NBA Moneyline Odds: Grizzlies +625 | Hawks -900 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Grizzlies +13.5 | Hawks -13.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 239.5
Here’s why I’m backing the hometown favorites as per below, in my Grizzlies Hawks free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Grizzlies vs. Hawks Gameday
Monday, the NBA serves up a full 10-game slate, including the Memphis Grizzlies facing the Atlanta Hawks. Both squads last played on Saturday.
Memphis lost its last match, getting routed 101-124 by the Charlotte Hornets. Six Grizzlies scored in double figures. GG Jackson led the way with 19 points, three rebounds, and an assist.
Atlanta got back in the win column, taking down the Warriors 126-110. Five Hawks scored in double figures, with Dyson Daniels leading the way with 28 points, seven rebounds, six assists, and four steals.
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Memphis Grizzlies vs. Atlanta Hawks Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last season, the teams split the two-game series, while this year the Hawks have won the initial contest.
Memphis is doing a grand job of tanking, utilizing end-of-bench players and G-Leaguers to finish out the season. They sit in the 12th seed with a 24-46 record. They are in a virtual tie with the Pelicans and too far behind the Warriors to even consider the play-in.
Atlanta’s win streak was halted at 11, but they quickly got back in the win column to boast a 39-32 record, which places them in sixth in the East. They are in a virtual tie with the 76ers and trail the Raptors by a half-game.
Grizzlies Stats
The Grizzlies rank 20th offensively (113.4), tied for 22nd defensively (116.7), with the 21st-ranked net rating of (-3.3), and run the 10th-fastest pace (101.45).
The Grizzlies are averaging 115.5 points per game while their opponents average 118.7 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Memphis averages 28.3 (tied for eighth) and 43.3 (tied for 20th), respectively.
Memphis’ team leaders* are Ty Jerome for scoring (19.9), Ja Morant for assists (8.1), and steals (1.0), and Zach Edey for rebounds (11.1) and blocks (1.9).
The Grizzlies shoot 35.55 from the perimeter, with four players shooting above league average.
*Minimum 20 games played
**Leads the NBA
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Hawks Stats
With 71 games in the well, the Hawks rank 14th (114.3) on offense and 11th on defense (113.1). Additionally, Atlanta is 11th in net rating (1.2) and runs the second-quickest pace (102.78).
The East’s sixth seed averages 117.9 points per game, while its opponents average 116.5 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Atlanta averages 30.3 (first) and 43.4 ( 17th), respectively.
Team leaders* in key categories for Atlanta feature Jalen Johnson for scoring (22.7 points), rebounding (10.4), and assists (8.0), while Dyson Daniels is the top steal man (1.9) and Onyeka Okongwu (1.1) for blocks.
*Eight Hawks shoot league average or better from the perimeter while the team as a whole shoots 36.7%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Atlanta Hawks bottom line:
The Grizzlies get some help from the tanking gods as they have the second-most-difficult remaining strength of schedule. Memphis has 12 games left to play, with five matches on the road and nine contests versus current playoff or play-in seeds.
The Hawks had their easier schedule segment during the winning streak, but will play the eighth hardest closing strength of schedule. They have 11 games remaining, with six matches on the road and eight versus current playoff seeds.
Memphis Grizzlies vs. Atlanta Hawks Basketball Betting Trends
- Memphis is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Memphis’ last 6 games.
- Memphis is 0-6 SU in its last 6 games on the road.
- Also, Atlanta is 11-2 ATS in its last 13 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Atlanta’s last 5 games against Memphis.
- Additionally, Atlanta is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games.
Grizzlies Hawks Free Pick: Hawks -13.5
Here is my Grizzlies Hawks free pick.
Atlanta made the best of their easy scheduling to jump up the ladder, but has their work cut out to finish the regular season. The teams currently seeded fifth through 10th are separated by 2.5 games, and the fifth through ninth are separated by just 1.5 games.
Pace will be a deciding factor in this match, with the second-fastest Hawks pushing the pace while the 10th ranked Grizzlies will be more than happy to play fast.
For Atlanta, it’s how well they will perform against quality teams, which they’ll find out after this match when they face four of their next five matches against top-ranked clubs.
To this point, the Hawks aren’t falling for the trap games, so given their upcoming schedule, I expect them to take care of business and beat the Grizzlies easily.
With that, take the Hawks to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Jalen Johnson (left shoulder inflammation) is questionable for Monday’s game against Memphis.
Rest of the Hawks injury report is clean.
— Brad Rowland (@BTRowland) March 22, 2026
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