Free Pick: Rockets vs. Spurs Odds
Looking for Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Rockets taking on the Spurs on 3/8 at Frost Bank Center in San Antonio. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Rockets Spurs free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping – Houston Rockets vs San Antonio Spurs
(39-23) Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs (46-18)
Date: Mar 8, 2026
Time: 8:00 PM ET
Venue: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio, TX
NBA Moneyline Odds: Rockets +185 | Spurs -203 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Rockets +5.5 | Spurs -5.5
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 222
Here’s why I’m backing the hometown favorite below in my Rockets Spurs free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Rockets vs. Spurs Gameday
Sunday serves up a full 10-game slate of NBA action, including a battle of Texas as the Houston Rockets travel to play their hosts, the San Antonio Spurs.
Houston arrives following a 106-99 victory versus the Trail Blazers. Four Rockets scored in double digits, led by Alperen Sengun with 28 points.
As for the Spurs, they delivered another victory, beating the Clippers 116-112 on Friday. Six Spurs scored in double digits, led by Victor Wembanyama with 27 points and 10 rebounds, plus four blocks.
We want to hear from you below! Comments are welcome! Give us your picks for this Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs NBA matchup.
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Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last season, the Rockets prevailed, winning three of the four matches – granted the Spurs were content last year to develop Wemby, seek a play-in spot while simultaneously keeping their draft position high. This season, the Spurs are up 2-1 in the series.
Houston is 3-2 through the last five matches and sits in the third seed in the West with a 39-23 record. They trail the Spurs by 6.5 games and are in a virtual tie with the fourth-place Wolves.
San Antonio is 4-1 through their last five matches and possesses a 46-17 record for the second seed. They trail the Thunder by 3.5 games for the Conference lead.
San Antonio is favored by 5.5 points with an over/under of 222 points.
Rockets Stats
With 62 games in the pocket, Houston ranks tied for seventh (116.8) on offense and fifth on defense (111.6). Additionally, the Rockets hold the sixth-ranked net rating (+5.3) and run the 29th slowest pace (96.70).
The West’s third seed averages 114.5 points per game, while its opponents average 109.3 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Houston averages 24.7 (tied for 26th) and 48.4 (1st), respectively.
Team leaders are Kevin Durant for scoring (26.1), while Alperen Sengun leads for assists (6.2), rebounds (9.1), blocks (1.1), and steals (1.3).
Perimeter shooting is an advantage for Houston, which shoots the deep ball at an average of 36.9%. Seven different players shoot the deep ball above the league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
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Spurs Stats
San Antonio ranks sixth offensively (117.1) and third defensively (110.1), while it is fourth in net rating (+7.0) and 13th in pace (100.89).
The West’s second seed averages 118.2 points per game while its opponents average 111.4 points. In terms of dimes and boards, San Antonio averages 27.1 (11th) and 46.6 (third), respectively.
San Antonio’s team leaders* are Victor Wembanyama, who tops the Spurs in scoring (23.8 points), rebounding (11.2), and **blocks (3.0), while Stephon Castle leads in assists (7.0) and in steals (1.3).our
As for perimeter shooting, the Spurs have four players shooting above the league average, but as a team, they shoot 35.3%.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs bottom line:
Obviously, rebounding is the key area to keep an eye on as the ridiculously long Rockets swarm the glass and Victor Wembanyama brings his one-man wrecking crew to the court.
San Antonio got a huge win over the Pistons and will look to back it up with a victory over the team directly behind them on the ladder.
Houston Rockets vs. San Antonio Spurs Basketball Betting Trends
- Houston is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Houston’s last 7 games.
- Houston is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games on the road.
- Also, San Antonio is 11-4 ATS in its last 15 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Antonio’s last 7 games.
- Additionally, San Antonio is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games.
Rockets Spurs Free Pick: Spurs -5.5
Here is my Rockets Spurs free pick. The last time these teams met, things were still getting settled on the leaderboard, and the Spurs had gotten off to a quick start. Now, with just a third of the season remaining, they’ve solidified their seed and continue to chase the Thunder for the top spot.
Houston, on the other hand, is being chased by the Wolves, who look poised to overtake them.
Both clubs are elite defensively and will offer an intriguing matchup on the glass with Wemby aiding his teams stats by holding opponents to the fewest blocks and rebounds.
I like the Spurs to continue rolling after the high of beating the Pistons for the second time in recent days. Take them to win and cover.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Richard Jefferson says it would be hard for the San Antonio Spurs to win a championship in the first year of their rise to greatness:
“This is year 1 for San Antonio, this is a year where we are real, Wemby is established himself. This is year 1. It’s hard to win a championship… https://t.co/WfoYbw5Z12 pic.twitter.com/mvxKyTaGhV
— NBA Courtside (@NBA__Courtside) March 6, 2026
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