Free NBA Pick: Rockets vs. Warriors NBA Odds
Looking for Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors free NBA picks & NBA Playoff odds? NBA betting sees the Rockets taking on the Warriors on Sunday April 28, 2019 at Oracle Arena Oakland, California. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA playoff hoops predictions like this Rockets Warriors Game 1 matchup.
2019 NBA Playoffs – Round 2
(0-0) Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors (0-0)
Game 1
Date: Sunday April 28
Time: 3:30PM EST
Venue: Oracle Arena, Oakland, California
NBA Moneyline Odds: Houston +200 / Golden State -240
NBA Betting Odds: Warriors -5.5
NBA Betting Total: 225
Live NBA Odds
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Houston Rockets
We’ve come a long way since Houston lost five of its first six games, including four by double-digits. Though not to that extent, the poor start lingered into December, when the Rockets were missing Chris Paul, Eric Gordon, and Clint Capela.
Some though Houston’s window was shut, a shame given how close it was to knocking the Warriors off just a year ago. But such sentiment has proven incorrect, with Harden keeping his team alive when everyone else was down. Now, the Rockets are the healthier than the Warriors and, frankly, playing the better basketball ahead of their rematch, this time in the Western Conference Semifinals.
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There are no injuries to report after Houston dispatched Utah in five games to get to this point. Harden only shot thirty-seven percent and turned it over more than five times per game but he scored over twenty-seven per game and dished out eight assists.
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Perhaps more important that Harden, though, are Paul and Gordon, who combined to average close to thirty-three points per game in the Utah series. If Houston is to win this series, it’s imperative both stay healthy and shoot the ball well.
Then there’s Clint Capela, who played thirty minutes a night in the first round and averaged a double-double. With no DeMarcus Cousins, both Capela and Kenneth Faried will go at the Andrew Bogut/Kevon Looney matchup with ferocity because it could be the one spot on the floor the Rockets have the definitive advantage.
Golden State Warriors
The Warriors got fifty from Kevin Durant in Game 6 to close out the Clippers in Los Angeles. Golden State won all three games in LA but lost two of its three home games. It will return to Oracle to begin this series.
Other than Paul’s health, the Warriors’ home court advantage is a difference between last season’s series and this one. A fourth game in Golden State, however badly the Warriors played at home in the first round, will be a hurdle for Houston to jump.
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But now all the talk is about Golden State’s injuries. Both Stephen Curry and Klay Thompson rolled an ankle in Game 6. Curry finished the game; Thompson did not. Steve Kerr didn’t offer much but reports are that Thompson’s ankle is “pretty bad.” Curry’s doesn’t sound as serious but he’s had the ankle problems in the past.
For Vegas to list the Warriors as just -5.5, the injuries are real. Thompson is an iron man and can get around without the explosiveness a little better than Curry can but it’s the playoffs and every little thing matters. It doesn’t look like we’re going to get many questions answered ahead of Game 1 but once the ball tips, we’ll see what the situation is.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Under is 9-3 in HOU last 12 road games.
- HOU are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games overall.
- Under is 21-8-1 in HOU last 30 overall.
- GS are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 Sun. games.
- Under is 10-4 in GS last 14 home games.
- GS are 10-22-1 ATS in their last 33 home games.
Free Houston Rockets vs. Golden State Warriors NBA Prediction: Under.
I’m not sure what to do here. The consensus feels like Warriors -5.5 and hope the Splash Brothers more or less shake off the injuries but this feels real to me.
4* Free NBA Playoff Betting Pick: Under 225
Instead, I’ll play the under and hope the Warriors slow it down a little bit and lean more on the defense to get Game 1.
NBA Free Game 1 Score Prediction: Houston 106 – Golden State 104
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