Free NBA Pick: Warriors vs. Nuggets NBA Odds
Looking for Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Warriors taking on the Nuggets on Thursday, February 2nd, at Ball Arena, Denver, Colorado. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Warriors Nuggets matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping
(26-25) Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets (35-16)
Date: Thursday, February 2nd
Time: 9:00 PM ET
Venue: Ball Arena Denver, Colorado
Moneyline NBA Odds: Warriors +450 | Nuggets -500 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Nuggets -11.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 239.5
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Thursday, February 2nd, finds the Golden State Warriors playing the Denver Nuggets for the second of three scheduled meetings this season.
Denver won the initial meeting on October 21st (128-123) and will host the final meeting on April 2nd.
The Warriors are completing a back-to-back set having lost 114-119 in overtime to the Timberwolves on Wednesday while the Nuggets played Tuesday defeating the Pelicans 122-113.
The Nuggets have won 101 of the 186 matches played versus the Warriors all-time and took the regular season series 3-1 in 2021-22.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, Wednesday, February 1st. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Thursday, February 2nd.
Golden State Warriors
Oscar Wilde famously said ‘Imitation is the sincerest form of flattery that mediocrity can pay to greatness.’ It’s opined this was meant to be sarcasm about being a copycat.
I’m not sure it applies when you copy yourself, but the recent Warriors improvement sure resembles their championship selves and was frankly missing from the 2022-23 iteration for much of the season.
Some obvious components of the Warriors’ title run were their defensive prowess, unparalleled offensive ball/player movement, and superior perimeter shooting.
One less talked about strength was strong starts and dominant third quarters. This season they haven’t won many third quarters but they rank fourth in scoring in that frame (1Q – are 1st).
With the uptick in winning perhaps the biggest difference is how they are closing games by winning the final frame and clutch time.
Golden State averages 118.1 points per game ranking second overall while shooting 47.4% from the field and 38.0% from deep ranking 13th and fifth respectively.
Warriors opponents score 118.0 points ranking 26th with them shooting 46.9% from the field and 36.3% from deep ranking 12th and 20th respectively.
Andre Iguodala (hip) is questionable for Wednesday.
Although the Nuggets have feasted offensively the entire season their defense took a while to get on track partially due to the road-heavy early schedule which limited practice time.
On November 28th the Nuggets ranked sixth offensively, 24th defensively, and had 12 wins along with the Grizzlies, Clippers, and Jazz (Phoenix had 13). Then they played 19 of the next 27 at home.
It was during this stint that the Nuggets ascended to the top of the West improving their defensive rating to 15th and of note in the last 15 games possess the second-ranked defense!
Credit that defense for playing a big factor in why Denver won 23 games since November 28th while the Grizz (20), Clippers (17), Suns (14), and Jazz (14) couldn’t keep pace.
Denver possesses the best offense in the league highlighted by scoring 116.6 points per game ranking eighth while shooting the second-best field goal percent of 50.8% effectiveness and the top-ranked perimeter efficiency of 39.7%.
To be sure, defensively the Nuggets are improving. So far, they allow opponents to score 112.7 points per game which ranks 13th while limiting foes to 47.9% from the field and 34.9% from deep ranking 23rd and sixth respectively.
Aaron Gordon (ankle) is questionable for Thursday. Jack White (leg) and Collin Gillespie (leg fracture) are out.
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Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Trends:
- At this point, the Warriors are 4-2 SU in their last 6 games.
- Also, the Warriors are 12-6 ATS in their last 18 games against Denver.
- By comparison, Denver is 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when hosting Golden State.
- Finally, the Nuggets are 17-1 SU in their last 18 games at home.
Free Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction:
While the Warriors are playing much better overall including winning four of their last seven road matches (7-19) the Nuggets are a different beast altogether.
Denver is 23-4 at Ball Arena with their typical starting lineup available only once in the losses with Jokic (2), MPJ (2), and Gordon (1) each missing games. Plus the cumulative margin of defeat in the four matches was EIGHT POINTS!
Figuring out the pick is complicated given the Warriors are on a back-to-back and also played in overtime with the Splash Bros and Green logging 39+ minutes but so far haven’t been listed as out.
So, with the assumption they’ll play – I’ll take the points+.
4* Free Golden State Warriors vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Betting Pick: Warriors +11.5
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