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2024 NBA Playoff Handicapping Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers
(2-0) Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers (0-2)
Date: Thursday, April 25th
Time: 10:00 PM ET
Venue: Crypto.com Arena, Los Angeles
Moneyline NBA Odds: Nuggets -106 | Lakers -105 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Nuggets -1
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 216
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Game 3 of the series between the Denver Nuggets and Los Angeles Lakers is on tap Thursday. The defending champions lead the series 2-0 after erasing a 20-point deficit in Game 2 capped by a game-winning walk-off shot by Jamal Murray to win 101-99.
Season Series
LA holds the all-time record having won 113 of the 192 meetings between the clubs however the Nuggets have owned the Lakers in recent years sweeping them this season and holding a current 10-game win streak.
To that end, this is the ninth time the clubs have met in the postseason with LA possessing a 7-1 record in those series albeit Denver got the most recent series win.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, Wednesday, April 24th Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Thursday, April 25th.
Denver Nuggets
Jamal Murray is still finding his rhythm as he shakes off the rust after taking some time at the end of the season to rest and get healthy.
Through the initial three quarters, Murray had just six points on an inefficient 3 of 16 but the Canadian shook off his previous misses and shot 6 of 8 in the final frame scoring 14 points including his first-ever buzzer-beater.
While everyone on the Nuggets contributed to the comeback and Murray cemented the win one play by Aaron Gordon stood out. AG beat Austin Reeves to the ball, managed to stay in bounds, and found MPJ on the perimeter who then tied the game at 96.
Nuggets Stats
Denver ranks fifth offensively (117.8) and eighth defensively (112.3) with a net differential of plus +5.5 which ranked fourth overall.
Through the second game of the playoffs, they rank fifth offensively (115.0) and eighth defensively (107.4) with a plus +7.5 net differential ranking fourth.
Despite their overall placement, the Nuggets weren’t as solid against the spread with a 39-43-2 record through 84 contests.
Nuggets Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Vlatko Cancar, SF (OUT indefinitely— knee)
Los Angeles Lakers
Game 2 featured big nights from Anthony Davis (32 points 11 rebounds), LeBron James (26 points, 12 assists), and D’Angelo Russell (seven 3-pointers) but a collapse late in the game headlined the reason for the loss.
LA jumped on the Nuggets once again building an early lead but they couldn’t maintain their dominance particularly late in the match.
Darvin Ham takes part of the blame for not reacting to the adjustments the Nuggets made shifting Aaron Gordon onto AD who took just a single shot in the final frame.
Lakers Stats
LA ranks 15th offensively (115.4), and 17th defensively (114.8), with a plus net differential of +0.6 ranking 19th overall.
Through the second game of the playoffs, they rank ninth offensively (107.4) and 12th defensively (115.0) with a minus -7.5 net differential also ranking 13th.
The Lakers performed below the middle ground against the spread with a 41-45 record through the season.
Lakers Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Cam Reddish, SG (questionable — ankle)
- Christian Wood, PF (OUT indefinitely— knee)
- Jarred Vanderbilt, SF (OUT indefinitely —foot)
- Jalen Hood-Schifino, SG (OUT for season —back)
NBA Bettors we want to hear from you. Comment below. Give us your Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers NBA picks!
Nuggets vs. Lakers NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
- Denver is 9-3 SU in their last 12 games on the road.
- Also, the Nuggets are 10-0 SU in their last 10 games against LA Lakers.
- By comparison, the Lakers are 12-5 SU in their last 17 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LA Lakers’ last 6 games against Denver.
- Also, the Lakers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games when hosting Denver.
Free Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers NBA Prediction:
The Nuggets win streak is now 10 games in a row versus the Lakers including last season’s playoff sweep. While pundits (raises hand) and fans have cited Darvin Ham for not making quick in-game adjustments, Denver is the superior team with the best player.
Ham may be getting some assistance if Christian Wood and or Jarred Vanderbilt return although they remain listed as out as of this posting.
It’s worth noting LA has held double-digit leads in both matches (and did in several last year too) but faded in the fourth quarter. I don’t think that’s an accident. Rather Michael Malone likely game plans to increase the pace knowing LeBron and AD will be spent by that point.
For those who are keeping the faith in their Lakers, they should get more from their supporting cast back at home. Alternatively, Denver hasn’t played to their full potential yet, plus Jamal Murray is due to have one of his typical tip-to-buzzer heater games.
4* Free Denver Nuggets vs. Los Angeles Lakers NBA Betting Pick: Nuggets ATS
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
Darvin Ham said he took Anthony Davis’ comments after G2 that the Lakers “have stretches when we don’t know what we’re doing” as “frustration”, and he’ll “agree to disagree” with AD.
Ham said the Lakers coaching staff prides itself on being organized. pic.twitter.com/WtEzhYiW4I
— Michael Corvo (@michaelcorvo_) April 24, 2024
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