Free NBA Pick: Pistons vs. Pacers NBA Odds
Looking for Detroit Pistons vs. Indiana Pacers free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Pistons taking on the Pacers on Friday, October 22, 2022 at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis, IN. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Pistons-Pacers matchup.
2022 NBA Handicapping
(1-1) Detroit Pistons vs. Indiana Pacers (0-2)
Date: Saturday, October 22
Time: 7:00 PM EST
Venue: Gainbridge Fieldhouse
NBA Moneyline Odds: Pistons -116 | Pacers -105 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Pistons -1
NBA Betting Total: 227
This Saturday night contest is a matchup between two teams who have opposite goals this season.
Both may ultimately end up in the lottery, but the Pistons are trying to scrap out wins to fight for the play-in, while the Pacers are waiting for the Lakers to give a bit in their trade negotiations over Russell Westbrook (and significant draft compensation), Myles Turner and Buddy Hield.
Honestly—that’s not entirely fair to say after the Pacers played a tough game against the San Antonio Spurs on Friday night. But trusting a team that scraps to a tough loss against one of the league’s few full-on tankers doesn’t offer much confidence.
Let’s look a bit closer at each team before drawing conclusions.
Detroit Pistons
The Pistons are a one-point favorite entering this contest, but ESPN’s Matchup Predictor has Detroit as just a 30.8 percent favorite in their simulations, compared to 69.2 percent toward Indiana.
The Pistons were on the wrong end of a 130-106 trouncing at the hands of the Knicks in Game 2 of the season, but the starters largely produced. Saddiq Bey, in particular, stood out with 26 points on 9-of-15 shooting, including 4-of-8 from the three-point line.
Bojan Bogdanovic also looks like a wonderfully productive piece on a team that, quite frankly, might not need him as badly as true contenders across the league. But the Pistons are the ones that landed him this offseason, and he got them 18 points on 7-of-9 shooting (1-oif-2 from the three-point line) in the loss against New York.
Indiana Pacers
Indiana was the epitome of a team in tank mode that refused to admit it was tanking entering the season. But with Myles Turner suddenly out after injuring his foot in a collision with a team ball boy, this season looks doomed before it’s really begun.
To Indiana’s credit, it did play well in its latest loss to San Antonio. But without diving too deep (or really at all) into that game…because it’s just not worth it at this point…the Spurs are not a good team. They’re not going to have many wins this season—yet the Pacers are officially one of them.
Indy showed heart in its last outing, but that’s not going to translate most nights. In fact, it won’t even translate against mediocre teams that feel they have more to play for than they actually do.
I think that’s the exact theme we’ll see play out on Saturday.
NBA Betting Trends:
- Pistons are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Saturday games.
- Pistons are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 road games.
- Pistons are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
- Pistons are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings
- Pistons are 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings in Indiana.
Free Detroit Pistons vs. Indiana Pacers NBA Prediction:
The Pistons are quietly a very good team against the spread. Dating back to last season, oddsmakers have pegged them worse than they actually are based on their season-long title odds and straight-up record.
This game is a bit trickier to lean on that analysis, since the spread is as close as it is. But here’s the catch: I still think oddsmakers are underrating the Pistons in this situation.
This is Detroit’s first home game of the season, and being a one-point favorite feels like a disservice not only to what the team is trying to do this year, but, quite frankly, also overrating what the Pacers are capable of.
Pistons win this one, and I think they win it pretty big.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: DET -1
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