Free NBA Pick: Nuggets vs. Heat NBA Odds
Looking for Denver Nuggets free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Nuggets taking on the Heat on Monday, February 13th, 2023 at FTX Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Nuggets Heat matchup.
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2023 NBA Handicapping
(39-18) Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat (32-25)
Date: Monday, February 13th
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
Moneyline NBA Odds: Nuggets +110 | Heat -130 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Heat -2
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 223.5
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First, both teams last played on Saturday with the Nuggets defeating the Hornets 119-105 while the Heat beat the Magic 107-103.
ATS
The Nuggets are 31-26 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 11-16 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Heat are 22-33-2 against the spread this season. Also, they are 9-18-1 ATS as the home team
Season Series
Monday, February 13th, finds the Denver Nuggets facing the Miami Heat for the second and final time this season. The Nuggets won the initial meeting 124-119 on December 30th.
Last season the clubs played twice with the Nuggets winning both contests. The Heat holds the all-time record with 37 wins in 71 matches.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, on Sunday, February 12th. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Monday, February 13th.
Denver Nuggets
A bit of a rough stretch for the Nuggets in their last 11 matches with five losses albeit Nikola Jokic didn’t play in three of them.
Jamal Murray also missed a trio in that stint albeit he’s been out the last four in a row dealing with inflammation in his knee.
In spite of the uneven play and the big moves made by their conference opponents at the deadline, this team still feels very much like the best team in the West and are simply in need of the All-Star break and some rest.
Stats
Denver possesses the best offense in the league highlighted by scoring 117.2 points per game ranking sixth. Denver is shooting the best field goal percentage of 51.0% as well as the top-ranked perimeter efficiency of 39.3%.
To be sure, defensively the Nuggets are improving. So far, they allow opponents to score 112.9 points per game which ranks 13th while limiting foes to 48.1% from the field and 34.9% from deep ranking 23rd and eighth respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Jamal Murray PG (questionable – knee)
- Aaron Gordon PF (questionable – rib contusion)
- Zeke Nnaji PF ( (OUT – shoulder)
- Collin Gillespie PG (OUT – leg fracture)
Miami Heat
Although there were multiple teams expected to be busy at the trade deadline, perhaps the most surprising team to not make a big move was the Heat.
Pat Riley rarely is inactive and considering how much this roster struggles to score it seems odd they did very little.
Stats
Offensively, the Heat scores 108.4 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 45.2% from the field and 33.5% from the perimeter ranking 30th and 28th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allow opponents to score 108.1 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 47.5% from the field and 36.5% from the perimeter ranking 17th and 21st respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Bam Adebayo (probable – knee)
- Gabe Vincent SG (probable — ankle)
- Haywood Highsmith, (probable – elbow)
- Max Strus, (probable -shoulder)
- Tyler Herro, G (questionable – knee)
- Udonis Haslem PF (doubtful— personal)
- Victor Oladipo, SG (OUT— ankle)
- Duncan Robinson, SF (OUT indefinitely — finger)
- Omer Yurtseven C (OUT indefinitely — ankle)
- Nikola Jovic SF (OUT indefinitely, — back)
- Kyle Lowry G (OUT—knee)
- Nikola Jovic, (OUT- back)
NBA Bettors we want to hear from you. Comment below. Give us your Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat NBA picks!
Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Trends:
- At this point, the Nuggets are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Denver’s last 8 games.
- Also, the Nuggets are 15-5 SU in their last 20 games.
- By comparison, Miami is 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Miami’s last 11 games.
- Finally, the Heat are 8-0 SU in their last 8 games at home.
Free Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
Injuries have plagued the Heat all season but even when they’re healthy-ish they don’t score the ball.
That might work in the postseason when teams shift to half-court offenses but it has to be concerning for Erik Spoelstra, especially with Miami now ranking dead last in both points per game and field goal percentage.
Denver is also limping into the break but I’m still surprised they are the underdogs in this match even if they haven’t played as well on the road -a few of those losses featured numerous starters being out of the lineup.
Ultimately this match may come down to selecting either the Nuggets’ offense or the Heat’s defense and if that’s a wash then it’s a matter of believing more in the Nuggets’ defense or the Heat’s offense. In both cases I pick Denver.
4* Free Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Pick: Nuggets +2
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