Free Pick: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Odds
Looking for Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies Free NBA predictions? NBA betting sees the Nuggets taking on the Grizzlies on 3/18 at FedEx Forum in Memphis. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups all season long, so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA predictions like this Nuggets Grizzlies free pick.
2026 NBA Handicapping Denver Nuggets – vs Memphis Grizzlies
(42-27) Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies (23-44)
Date: Mar 18, 2026
Time: 8:30 PM ET
Venue: FedEx Forum, Memphis, TN
NBA Moneyline Odds: Nuggets -650 | Grizzlies +500 (Bet Now!)
Today’s NBA Point Spread Betting Odds: Nuggets -13 | Grizzlies +13
NBA Basketball Gambling Total: O/U: 241.5
Here’s why I’m backing the visiting favorites as per below in my Nuggets Grizzlies free pick & gambling prediction for this matchup.
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Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Gameday
On Wednesday, the NBA serves up a full nine-game slate, including the Denver Nuggets traveling to Tennessee to face the Memphis Grizzlies.
Denver is completing a back-to-back set, having defeated the Philadelphia 76ers 124-96 on Tuesday. Five Nuggets scored in double figures, with Christian Braun leading the way with 22 points.
Memphis last played on Monday, losing 107-132 to the Chicago Bulls. Six Grizzlies scored in double figures, led by Cedric Coward with 17 points and five assists. Notably, the list of players was a who’s who of the G-League.
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Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies Odds & Last 5
Head-to-head last season, the Nuggets won the three-game series 2-1. This year, the clubs have played twice, with Denver taking both matches.
Denver resides in the fifth seed in the West with a record of 42-27. The Nuggets are virtually tied with the Rockets, are 1.5 games out of third (Lakers), and are even with the Timberwolves.
Memphis has taken tanking to a new level. Case in point, they were 15-16 on December 26th, but have since gone 8-28 for a record of 23-44. The Grizzlies have lost eight games in a row and are 3-15 through the last 18 contests.
The Nuggets are favored by 13 points with an over/under of 241.5.
Nuggets Stats
Denver ranks first offensively (120.3) and 21st defensively (116.2) while they are tied for seventh in net rating (+4.1) and rank 21st in pace (99.15).
The West’s fifth seed averages 120.7 points per game while its opponents average 116.6 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Denver averages 28.2 (ninth) and 43.3 (19th), respectively.
Team leaders* in key categories are Nikola Jokic for scoring (28.6), **rebounding (12.7), assists (10.5), and steals (1.5), while Peyton Watson leads in blocks (1.2).
As for perimeter efficiency, the Nuggets as a team shoot 39.1% (1st in NBA) with nine players shooting above the league average.
*minimum 20 games
**Leads the NBA
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Grizzlies Stats
The Grizzlies rank 20th offensively (113.5), tied for 22nd defensively (116.7), with the 21st-ranked net rating of (-3.2), and run the 10th-fastest pace (101.45).
The Grizzlies are averaging 115.6 points per game while their opponents average 118.6 points. In terms of dimes and boards, Memphis averages 28.6 (tied for sixth) and 43.5 (tied for 17th), respectively.
Memphis’ team leaders* are Ty Jerome for scoring (20.1), Ja Morant for assists (8.1), and steals (1.0), and Zach Edey for rebounds (11.1) and blocks (1.9).
Perimeter shooting is a weakness for the Grizz as the club shoots 35.6% from deep while only three players shoot above 36.0%.
*minimum 10 games played
Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies bottom line:
The Nuggets survived the absences of Nikola Jokic and Aaron Gordon while they await the return of Peyton Watson (he’s listed as day-to-day). They stumbled a bit, but considering all the core talent that missed time, they did well to remain in the cemented playoff seeds.
Now, with 13 games remaining, they need to reenergize their on-court chemistry plus make tweaks to the defense in order to prepare for the postseason.
Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies Basketball Betting Trends
- Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Denver’s last 6 games.
- Denver is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 games against Memphis.
- Also, Memphis is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 5 of Memphis’ last 7 games.
- Additionally, Memphis is 0-8 SU in its last 8 games.
Nuggets Grizzlies Free Pick: Nuggets -13
Here is my Nuggets Grizzlies free pick.
Teams aren’t just trying to gain a playoff seed or homecourt advantage; they are also looking at matchups. Finishing third in the West, for example, may not be that great if the seeds remain as they are.
As of this posting, that would mean facing the Wolves in round one, likely the Spurs in round two, and then likely the Thunder. That’s a heck of a lineup to get through just to reach the NBA Finals.
For years, whenever Nikola Jokic sat, the team would hold its breath trying not to fall too far behind. If there is anything to take from Jokic’s absence this season its the bench gained confidence and, with that, is performing better in the non-Jokic minutes.
The last time I checked out a Grizzlies game, I recognized less than a handful of the players in the match. To say they are taking tanking seriously would be a major understatement.
With that in mind, coupled with Denver needing the win, I’ll roll with the Nuggets even with them playing the back-to-back and the huge spread.
Today’s NBA Free Pick
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NBA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Nikola Jokic says he would never leave the Denver Nuggets
“I wouldn’t like to imagine that. Even if we never win anything else after this, an organic title, it means more to me than anything. I really found peace here. My two kids were born here. Everyone’s here. Peace, home, I… pic.twitter.com/plM3jqEwtZ
— Fullcourtpass (@Fullcourtpass) March 9, 2026
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