Free NBA Pick: Nuggets vs. Mavericks NBA Odds
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2024 NBA Handicapping Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks
(46-20) Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks (38-29)
Date: Thursday, March 7th
Time: 3:30 PM EST
Venue: American Airlines Center, Dallas TX
Moneyline NBA Odds: Nuggets -160 | Mavericks +135 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Nuggets -3
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 225.5
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The Denver Nuggets travel to Texas to play the Dallas Mavericks for the third and final time this season. Denver is up 2-0 in the season series.
Denver last played on Friday defeating the Spurs 117-106 while Dallas last played Thursday in a losing 119-126 effort versus the Thunder.
Season Series
Last season, the squads played four times with the each team winning two contests. The Mavericks holds the all-time record having bested the Nuggets in 96 of their 188 matches.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, on Saturday, March 16th. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Sunday, March 17th.
Denver Nuggets
The top of the Western Conference is a three-way race for first with the Nuggets and Thunder currently possessing identical records but OKC sitting in first because they own the tiebreak.
Denver has by far the easiest closing schedule which gives them the best shot at winning the conference with seven matches against sub .500 teams but have two three-game stretches against upper-tier squads with one beginning against the Mavericks.
Nuggets Stats
Denver ranks fifth offensively (117.7) and 10th defensively (112.9) with a net differential of plus +4.8 which ranks fifth overall.
Despite their overall placement, the Nuggets aren’t as solid against the spread with a 31-34-2 record through 67 contests.
Nuggets Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Vlatko Cancar, SF (OUT indefinitely— knee)
Dallas Mavericks
Inexplicably the Mavericks struggle defensively and while Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving aren’t going to blow you away with their defensive chops Jason Kidd should have enough around them to be better than 27th.
Luka Doncic was on a tear but his hamstring injury could be problematic if he has to miss much time given their precarious positioning (8th) on the ladder.
Mavericks Stats
Dallas ranks sixth offensively (118.0) and 27th in defensive rating (116.8) with a net differential of plus +1.2 which ranks 13th overall.
The Mavericks perform well against the spread with a 37-30 record through 67 contests this season.
Mavericks Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Luka Doncic, PG (questionable — hamstring)
- Dante Exum, PG (questionable—foot)
- Josh Green, SF (downgraded to OUT— ankle)
- Brandon Williams, PG (OUT Sunday — wrist)
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Nuggets vs. Mavericks NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Nuggets are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- Denver is 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
- Also, the Nuggets are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
- By comparison, Dallas is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas’ last 7 games at home.
- Additionally, the Mavericks are 11-5 SU in their last 16 games when playing at home against Denver.
Free Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Prediction:
This is a must-win for the Mavericks as the Warriors have closed the gap to 2.5 games but have played one less game (two after today).
Dallas and Golden State have easier closing schedules but the Mavs have to approach this game aggressively because they can still overtake the Kings and Suns who sit a half-game, and game ahead of them.
All this to say, no team has been as hot as the Nuggets (11-1) since returning from the break and they resemble the well-oiled machine that won the title last season.
4* Free Denver Nuggets vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Pick: Nuggets ATS
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2024 NBA Basketball Handicapping
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
Luka was lovin’ his surprise guests 🇸🇮🪗 #MFFL pic.twitter.com/PxcoTCwm3l
— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) March 16, 2024
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