Free NBA Pick: Mavericks vs. Heat NBA Odds
Looking for Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Mavericks taking on the Heat on Saturday, April 1st, 2023 at FTX Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Mavericks Heat matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping
(37-40) Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat (40-37)
Date: Saturday, April 1st
Time: 7:30 PM EST
Venue: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
Moneyline NBA Odds: Mavericks +100 | Heat -113 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Heat -1
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 224.5
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As can be seen, both teams last played on Wednesday with the Mavericks losing to the 76ers while the Heat completed a back-to-back set losing to both the Raptors on Tuesday (92-106) and Knicks (92-101) in the second game.
ATS
At this time, the Mavericks are 29-45-3 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 17-22 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Heat are 27-47-3 against the spread this season. Also, they are 12-25-2 ATS as the home team.
Season Series
Saturday, April 1st, finds the Dallas Mavericks and Miami Heat playing for the second and final time this season. Dallas won the initial January 20th meeting 115-90.
Last season, the squads played twice with each team winning on the opponent’s court. The Heat holds the all-time record having bested the Mavericks in 37 of their 72 matches.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, Friday, March 31st. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Saturday, April 1st.
Dallas Mavericks
Adding Kyrie Irving to the team was supposed to offer Luka Doncic something he’d never had — a second superstar that could push the Mavericks over the top.
Instead, the Irving experiment has completely backfired at least in the early going. Granted, the Mavs had to give up much of their defensive depth which has proven costly.
Moreover, having two ball-dominant players hasn’t translated either as Dallas often looks mired in quicksand particularly late in games.
Throw out the stats – the only number you need to know is the Mavs are 4-9 in games with both superstars in the lineup.
Stats
The Mavericks score 113.8 points per game ranking 16th overall. As for their efficiency, they shoot 47.4% from the field and 37.2%.from the perimeter ranking 17th and eighth respectively.
Meanwhile, on defense, the Mavs allow 113.3 points per game which ranks 15th. In terms of efficiency, opponents are shooting 48.5% from the field and 35.2% from the perimeter ranking 24th and seventh respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Frank Ntilikina, PG (questionable—knee)
Miami Heat
A three-game losing streak coinciding with the Nets collecting two wins has put some distance between the two clubs. While that doesn’t rule out the possibility of Miami getting out of the play-in tournament the challenge just got much more difficult.
To wit, Brooklyn owns the tiebreak having swept the series plus they have a two-game edge over Miami which means the Heat would have to finish a game ahead of the Nets to move up.
With both teams having just five games to play the prospect of the teams swapping positions isn’t likely.
Stats
Offensively, the Heat scores 108.7 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 45.6% from the field and 34.1% from the perimeter ranking 28th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.8 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.1% from the field and 37% from the perimeter ranking 21st and 2nd respectively.
Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Kyle Lowry G (questionable—knee)
- Bam Adebayo C (questionable — hip)
- Nikola Jovic SF (downgraded to OUT— back)
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Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Mavericks are 1-5 SU in their last 6 games.
- Also, the Mavericks are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Miami.
- By comparison, the Heat are 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games.
- In conclusion, the Heat are 2-4 SU in their last 6 games.
Free Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
Both teams are motivated to win and improve their seeding but the Mavericks are the more desperate club having fallen outside the play-in portion of the ladder.
Dallas got some assistance from the Pacers who beat the Thunder on Friday and since the Mavs own the tiebreak all they need to do is tie OKC to move up which is what they’ll do if they can win this match.
Conversely, the Heat can’t just focus on the Nets as they’re being chased by the trio of the Hawks/Raptors (-2) and Bulls (-3) who want to swap positions to gain the home-court advantage in the play-in.
4* Free Dallas Mavericks vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Pick: Mavericks +1
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