Free NBA Pick: Mavericks vs Nuggets NBA Odds
Looking for Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Mavericks taking on the Nuggets on Thursday March 14, 2019 at the Pepsi Center in Denver. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Mavericks Nuggets matchup.
(27-40) Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets (44-22)
Date: Thursday March 14
Time: 10:30PM EST
Venue: Pepsi Center, Denver, CO
NBA Moneyline Odds: OFF
NBA Betting Odds: Nuggets -11
NBA Betting Total: 219.5
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The Mavericks have struggled on the road this year going just 6-27 away from the American Airlines Center. The away woes are a major reason the 2018/19 season will end in a disappointment for Dallas as they are the 2nd worst team in the Western Conference.
The Mavs come into Thursday night’s game losers of six in a row and 9 of their last 10. In the last three defeats Dallas has kept things kind of close however, falling by 7 to the Spurs, 1 to the Rockets, and 5 to the Magic. Therefore is 11 points too many at Denver on Thursday?
While this year is a lost cause for Dallas, their future is bright building around Luka Doncic. He’s averaging 20.9 points and 7.4 rebounds in his rookie season but was held to just 12 Tuesday vs. the Spurs.
Offense has been a major issue for Dallas this season as they rank 22nd in scoring. The Mavs have been held to 106 points or less in 5 of their last 6. Can the Mavs afford to get into a shootout with the high scoring Nuggets offense then?
Oddsmakers have set Thursday’s total at 219, which may seem on the low side with the Nuggets in action. This is because the Dallas offense is somewhat solid, ranking 11th in points / against and holding the explosive Rockets offense to just 94 points on Sunday.
Denver continues to jockey back and forth with Golden State for the top seed in the West. The Nuggets have currently fell a game back of the Warriors but have a very winnable contest from the Pepsi Center on Thursday.
The reason Denver has lost their grip on the top seed is due to a rough 2-4 stretch over their last 6 including a 17 point loss at the Oracle Arena last Friday.
A big question facing Denver ahead of this matchup is what kind of production they get from big man Nikola Jokic. His MVP candidacy seems to have fell by the wayside as Jokic seems to have been ‘solved’. The Nuggets C has broken 20 points scoring just twice in the last six games and has been held to 8 and 6 rebounds over the past two.
Denver likely needs a monster game from Jokic in order to cover the 11 point spread. That, or can Jamal Murray continue his hot streak (30 points Tuesday vs. Minnesota) or somebody like Paul Millsap (23 vs. the Wolves) step up to lead the charge?
NBA Betting Trends:
- Mavericks are 1-5 ATS their last 6 road games
- Mavericks are 3-9 ATS their last 12 overall
- Nuggets are 9-3 ATS their last 12 home games
Free Dallas Mavericks vs. Denver Nuggets NBA Prediction: Play on the side of caution.
The Mavericks have been keeping games close lately while Denver has struggled. The Mavs are a very poor road squad but fell just 118-126 at Denver in December. No reason to think they can’t keep it within 10 in this one.
4* Free NBA Betting Pick: Mavericks +11
NBA Free Score Prediction: Dallas 103 – Nuggets 109
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