Free NBA Pick: Nets vs. Heat NBA Odds
Looking for Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Nets taking on the Heat on Saturday, March 25th, 2023 at FTX Arena. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Nets Heat matchup.
2023 NBA Handicapping
(39-34) Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat (40-34)
Date: Saturday, March 25th
Time: 8:00 PM EST
Venue: FTX Arena, Miami, Florida
Moneyline NBA Odds: Nets +190 | Heat -210 (Bet Now!)
NBA Betting Odds: Heat -5.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total: 221.5
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As can be seen, the Nets last played Thursday losing a 114-116 heartbreaker to the Cavaliers while the Heat played Wednesday defeating the Knicks 127-120S.
At this time, the Nets are 39-34 overall against the spread this season. Also, they are 21-17 ATS as the away team. Additionally, the Heat are 27-44-3 against the spread this season. Also, they are 12-24-2 ATS as the home team.
Saturday, March 25th, finds the Brooklyn Nets and Miami Heat playing for the third and final time this season. Miami won both prior meetings on January 8th (102-101) and February 15th (116-105).
The Heat holds the all-time record between the clubs with 79 wins in 135 meetings. Last season, the teams played four times with the Heat taking three of the four contests.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, Friday, March 24th. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Saturday, March 25th.
On Thursday the Nets learned just how important every single moment in a game is. Spencer Dinwiddie had given the Nets a four-point lead with 29 seconds remaining but then a comedy of errors led to the loss.
The Cavs had cut the deficit to two on a Donovan Mitchell bucket with 11.1 seconds remaining.
All Brooklyn had to do was protect the ball and wait to get fouled. Instead, Dorian Finney-Smith turned the ball over forcing the Nets to foul Mitchell.
After Mitchell made the first free throw he seemed to intentionally miss the second presumably to take the lead in case the Nets scored on the final play.
Ignoring the fact the refs failed to call a lane violation Mitchell dove in the lane to tip in the shot but missed. Again, all the Nets had to do was grab the rebound but they failed and the ball landed in Isaac Okoro’s hands who drilled a corner 3-pointer for the win.
Brooklyn allows 112.9 points ranking 14th and possesses the fourth-best opponent field goal percentage of 46.3% but ranks 25th on perimeter defense as foes shoot 37.3% from deep.
Brooklyn scores 113.3 points per game ranking 19th. They own the fourth-best field goal percentage, shooting 49%, and also rank fourth on the perimeter shooting 38.1% from deep.
To summarize the injury report…
- Seth Curry PG (OUT—personal)
- Ben Simmons PG (OUT indefinitely—knee)
Winners of four of their last five the Heat are hitting their stride at the perfect time of the season. With the Nets losing that heartbreaker to the Cavs the Heat overtook them for the sixth seed.
A quick glance at the standings chart offers an intriguing stat, however – – Miami is the only team in the East with a negative net differential meaning they give up more points than they allow.
Dive deeper into that fact and the glaring issue is OFFENSE because Miami who ranks second in points allowed actually ranks 30th in scoring.
Offensively, the Heat scores 109.3 points per game ranking 30th while shooting 45.7% from the field and 34.1% from the perimeter ranking 26th and 27th respectively.
Defensively, the Heat allows opponents to score 109.7 points per game ranking second overall. Miami opponents shoot 48.1% from the field and 37% from the perimeter ranking 22nd in both efficiency categories.
To summarize the injury report…
- Kyle Lowry G (questionable—knee)
- Cody Zeller C (downgraded to out — broken nose)
- Caleb Martin SG (questionable — knee)
- Nikola Jovic SF (OUT indefinitely— back)
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Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Nets are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.
- Also, the Nets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.
- By comparison, the Heat are 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games.
- In conclusion, the Heat are 6-1 SU in their last 7 games at home.
Free Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat NBA Prediction:
The Nets arrive riding a five-game losing streak needing the win to reclaim the sixth seed.
Certainly, Miami has the momentum but the Nets have the firepower to take this game if they simply play to their strengths which is why I’ll roll with the points.
4* Free Brooklyn Nets vs. Miami Heat NBA Betting Pick: Nets +5.5
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